\
  The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
BackRefresh Options Favorite

what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?

...
Lime Stage Wagecucks
  07/21/18
0%
Adulterous giraffe
  07/21/18
Reply Favorite Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: ...
Hyperventilating ticket booth marketing idea
  11/07/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=1...
exhilarant space
  11/07/18
I would be shocked if they don't. 1. In the post-WWII er...
Excitant coral fortuitous meteor
  07/21/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&foru...
fiercely-loyal peach scourge upon the earth double fault
  07/21/18
jfc
bateful jade pocket flask
  07/21/18
90%
Thriller Theatre Famous Landscape Painting
  07/21/18
them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump...
Stirring hall
  07/21/18
They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be bet...
Electric nubile sanctuary
  07/21/18
65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%
Provocative haunted graveyard
  07/21/18
...
bearded odious telephone
  07/21/18
Correct. It's 90%+.
Excitant coral fortuitous meteor
  07/21/18
You need to get a life outside xo bro
Obsidian Incel
  07/21/18
45%
frisky brass piazza feces
  07/21/18
75%
Big personal credit line water buffalo
  07/21/18
Every single day the same thread
arousing native kitty
  07/21/18
...
titillating mahogany jap
  07/21/18
80%
Obsidian Incel
  07/21/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM
Author: Lime Stage Wagecucks



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM
Author: Adulterous giraffe

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Hyperventilating ticket booth marketing idea

Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM

Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185461)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: exhilarant space

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2

Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM

Author: ...,.........,.........,....

I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported.

Gillum is doing too well in central florida.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185465)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM
Author: Excitant coral fortuitous meteor

I would be shocked if they don't.

1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.

2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.

3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.

4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.

5. Democratic base is far more energized.

6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469583)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM
Author: fiercely-loyal peach scourge upon the earth double fault

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2

https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469584)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: bateful jade pocket flask

jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM
Author: Thriller Theatre Famous Landscape Painting

90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM
Author: Stirring hall

them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM
Author: Electric nubile sanctuary

They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM
Author: Provocative haunted graveyard

65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: bearded odious telephone



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: Excitant coral fortuitous meteor

Correct. It's 90%+.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Obsidian Incel

You need to get a life outside xo bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: frisky brass piazza feces

45%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Big personal credit line water buffalo

75%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: arousing native kitty

Every single day the same thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM
Author: titillating mahogany jap



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Obsidian Incel

80%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986)