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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?

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Razzle fanboi
  07/21/18
0%
gaped well-lubricated mad cow disease
  07/21/18
Reply Favorite Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: ...
Stirring gas station
  11/07/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=1...
costumed set
  11/07/18
I would be shocked if they don't. 1. In the post-WWII er...
passionate heaven goal in life
  07/21/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&foru...
Yellow liquid oxygen trailer park
  07/21/18
jfc
soggy state factory reset button
  07/21/18
90%
charismatic field
  07/21/18
them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump...
Fighting international law enforcement agency
  07/21/18
They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be bet...
dull parlour
  07/21/18
65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%
Splenetic irradiated pit cuckoldry
  07/21/18
...
Buff thriller orchestra pit
  07/21/18
Correct. It's 90%+.
passionate heaven goal in life
  07/21/18
You need to get a life outside xo bro
Boyish mahogany plaza windowlicker
  07/21/18
45%
bonkers drunken bawdyhouse
  07/21/18
75%
Coiffed Ratface
  07/21/18
Every single day the same thread
histrionic pervert really tough guy
  07/21/18
...
Umber shaky hospital round eye
  07/21/18
80%
Boyish mahogany plaza windowlicker
  07/21/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM
Author: Razzle fanboi



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM
Author: gaped well-lubricated mad cow disease

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Stirring gas station

Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM

Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185461)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: costumed set

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2

Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM

Author: ...,.........,.........,....

I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported.

Gillum is doing too well in central florida.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185465)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM
Author: passionate heaven goal in life

I would be shocked if they don't.

1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.

2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.

3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.

4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.

5. Democratic base is far more energized.

6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469583)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM
Author: Yellow liquid oxygen trailer park

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2

https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469584)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: soggy state factory reset button

jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM
Author: charismatic field

90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM
Author: Fighting international law enforcement agency

them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM
Author: dull parlour

They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM
Author: Splenetic irradiated pit cuckoldry

65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Buff thriller orchestra pit



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: passionate heaven goal in life

Correct. It's 90%+.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Boyish mahogany plaza windowlicker

You need to get a life outside xo bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: bonkers drunken bawdyhouse

45%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Coiffed Ratface

75%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: histrionic pervert really tough guy

Every single day the same thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM
Author: Umber shaky hospital round eye



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Boyish mahogany plaza windowlicker

80%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986)