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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?

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dashing stead wagecucks
  07/21/18
0%
French swashbuckling candlestick maker
  07/21/18
Reply Favorite Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: ...
aggressive anal generalized bond
  11/07/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=1...
Ungodly Rambunctious Coldplay Fan Spot
  11/07/18
I would be shocked if they don't. 1. In the post-WWII er...
Marvelous gaped keepsake machete stage
  07/21/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&foru...
Purple university
  07/21/18
jfc
bateful chest-beating friendly grandma antidepressant drug
  07/21/18
90%
Concupiscible disturbing menage
  07/21/18
them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump...
insecure wine box office
  07/21/18
They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be bet...
Fighting Jap
  07/21/18
65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%
metal bright garrison
  07/21/18
...
Magical cerebral hospital
  07/21/18
Correct. It's 90%+.
Marvelous gaped keepsake machete stage
  07/21/18
You need to get a life outside xo bro
Vigorous Deep Goal In Life
  07/21/18
45%
hairless really tough guy
  07/21/18
75%
sick temple
  07/21/18
Every single day the same thread
Burgundy genital piercing pozpig
  07/21/18
...
Razzle Dingle Berry Stock Car
  07/21/18
80%
Vigorous Deep Goal In Life
  07/21/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM
Author: dashing stead wagecucks



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM
Author: French swashbuckling candlestick maker

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: aggressive anal generalized bond

Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM

Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185461)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Ungodly Rambunctious Coldplay Fan Spot

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2

Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM

Author: ...,.........,.........,....

I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported.

Gillum is doing too well in central florida.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185465)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM
Author: Marvelous gaped keepsake machete stage

I would be shocked if they don't.

1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.

2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.

3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.

4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.

5. Democratic base is far more energized.

6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469583)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM
Author: Purple university

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2

https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469584)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: bateful chest-beating friendly grandma antidepressant drug

jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM
Author: Concupiscible disturbing menage

90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM
Author: insecure wine box office

them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM
Author: Fighting Jap

They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM
Author: metal bright garrison

65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Magical cerebral hospital



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: Marvelous gaped keepsake machete stage

Correct. It's 90%+.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Vigorous Deep Goal In Life

You need to get a life outside xo bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: hairless really tough guy

45%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: sick temple

75%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: Burgundy genital piercing pozpig

Every single day the same thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM
Author: Razzle Dingle Berry Stock Car



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Vigorous Deep Goal In Life

80%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986)