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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?

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provocative toilet seat
  07/21/18
0%
Bipolar bearded boltzmann
  07/21/18
Reply Favorite Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: ...
learning disabled ratface stage
  11/07/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=1...
Claret Bat Shit Crazy Juggernaut
  11/07/18
I would be shocked if they don't. 1. In the post-WWII er...
Ruby Public Bath
  07/21/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&foru...
filthy antidepressant drug office
  07/21/18
jfc
Laughsome swollen sanctuary blood rage
  07/21/18
90%
nubile forum
  07/21/18
them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump...
Pearly Vengeful Legal Warrant Church Building
  07/21/18
They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be bet...
slate comical dilemma twinkling uncleanness
  07/21/18
65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%
salmon business firm
  07/21/18
...
vigorous useless brakes market
  07/21/18
Correct. It's 90%+.
Ruby Public Bath
  07/21/18
You need to get a life outside xo bro
Tripping Ceo
  07/21/18
45%
Ocher chest-beating windowlicker kitchen
  07/21/18
75%
Translucent voyeur electric furnace
  07/21/18
Every single day the same thread
cracking whorehouse
  07/21/18
...
Dun site
  07/21/18
80%
Tripping Ceo
  07/21/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM
Author: provocative toilet seat



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM
Author: Bipolar bearded boltzmann

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: learning disabled ratface stage

Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM

Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185461)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Claret Bat Shit Crazy Juggernaut

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2

Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM

Author: ...,.........,.........,....

I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported.

Gillum is doing too well in central florida.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185465)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM
Author: Ruby Public Bath

I would be shocked if they don't.

1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.

2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.

3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.

4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.

5. Democratic base is far more energized.

6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469583)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM
Author: filthy antidepressant drug office

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2

https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469584)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: Laughsome swollen sanctuary blood rage

jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM
Author: nubile forum

90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM
Author: Pearly Vengeful Legal Warrant Church Building

them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM
Author: slate comical dilemma twinkling uncleanness

They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM
Author: salmon business firm

65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: vigorous useless brakes market



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: Ruby Public Bath

Correct. It's 90%+.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Tripping Ceo

You need to get a life outside xo bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: Ocher chest-beating windowlicker kitchen

45%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Translucent voyeur electric furnace

75%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: cracking whorehouse

Every single day the same thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM
Author: Dun site



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Tripping Ceo

80%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986)