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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?

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Bateful pozpig bawdyhouse
  07/21/18
0%
jet talented generalized bond
  07/21/18
Reply Favorite Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: ...
aromatic walnut den
  11/07/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=1...
Sickened station therapy
  11/07/18
I would be shocked if they don't. 1. In the post-WWII er...
thriller anal hairy legs
  07/21/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&foru...
ultramarine dilemma
  07/21/18
jfc
razzmatazz violent windowlicker market
  07/21/18
90%
Concupiscible Institution
  07/21/18
them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump...
hot navy death wish mood
  07/21/18
They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be bet...
supple mentally impaired shrine gaping
  07/21/18
65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%
excitant ungodly space
  07/21/18
...
Geriatric exhilarant azn
  07/21/18
Correct. It's 90%+.
thriller anal hairy legs
  07/21/18
You need to get a life outside xo bro
cordovan beady-eyed blood rage
  07/21/18
45%
flesh sexy gas station quadroon
  07/21/18
75%
Splenetic Drab Goyim Ladyboy
  07/21/18
Every single day the same thread
French ivory halford
  07/21/18
...
underhanded native
  07/21/18
80%
cordovan beady-eyed blood rage
  07/21/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM
Author: Bateful pozpig bawdyhouse



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM
Author: jet talented generalized bond

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: aromatic walnut den

Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM

Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185461)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Sickened station therapy

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2

Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM

Author: ...,.........,.........,....

I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported.

Gillum is doing too well in central florida.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185465)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM
Author: thriller anal hairy legs

I would be shocked if they don't.

1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.

2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.

3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.

4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.

5. Democratic base is far more energized.

6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469583)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM
Author: ultramarine dilemma

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2

https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469584)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: razzmatazz violent windowlicker market

jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM
Author: Concupiscible Institution

90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM
Author: hot navy death wish mood

them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM
Author: supple mentally impaired shrine gaping

They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM
Author: excitant ungodly space

65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Geriatric exhilarant azn



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: thriller anal hairy legs

Correct. It's 90%+.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: cordovan beady-eyed blood rage

You need to get a life outside xo bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: flesh sexy gas station quadroon

45%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Splenetic Drab Goyim Ladyboy

75%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: French ivory halford

Every single day the same thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM
Author: underhanded native



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: cordovan beady-eyed blood rage

80%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986)