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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?

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indigo gas station hairy legs
  07/21/18
0%
infuriating ceo gunner
  07/21/18
Reply Favorite Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: ...
provocative alcoholic stead immigrant
  11/07/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=1...
Bossy Floppy Principal's Office Mental Disorder
  11/07/18
I would be shocked if they don't. 1. In the post-WWII er...
Pontificating Lake People Who Are Hurt Casino
  07/21/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&foru...
buck-toothed topaz haunted graveyard
  07/21/18
jfc
Tripping meetinghouse
  07/21/18
90%
Abusive bull headed depressive
  07/21/18
them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump...
Fighting Amber School
  07/21/18
They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be bet...
Cordovan insane tank heaven
  07/21/18
65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%
Self-centered bearded pocket flask
  07/21/18
...
chartreuse self-absorbed french chef piazza
  07/21/18
Correct. It's 90%+.
Pontificating Lake People Who Are Hurt Casino
  07/21/18
You need to get a life outside xo bro
diverse costumed deer antler
  07/21/18
45%
Citrine rebellious wrinkle karate
  07/21/18
75%
razzle-dazzle wine dilemma
  07/21/18
Every single day the same thread
Hairraiser mustard idea he suggested
  07/21/18
...
Exhilarant Clear Tattoo
  07/21/18
80%
diverse costumed deer antler
  07/21/18


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Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM
Author: indigo gas station hairy legs



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM
Author: infuriating ceo gunner

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: provocative alcoholic stead immigrant

Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM

Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185461)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Bossy Floppy Principal's Office Mental Disorder

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2

Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM

Author: ...,.........,.........,....

I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported.

Gillum is doing too well in central florida.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185465)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM
Author: Pontificating Lake People Who Are Hurt Casino

I would be shocked if they don't.

1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.

2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.

3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.

4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.

5. Democratic base is far more energized.

6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469583)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM
Author: buck-toothed topaz haunted graveyard

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2

https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469584)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: Tripping meetinghouse

jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM
Author: Abusive bull headed depressive

90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM
Author: Fighting Amber School

them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM
Author: Cordovan insane tank heaven

They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM
Author: Self-centered bearded pocket flask

65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: chartreuse self-absorbed french chef piazza



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: Pontificating Lake People Who Are Hurt Casino

Correct. It's 90%+.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: diverse costumed deer antler

You need to get a life outside xo bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: Citrine rebellious wrinkle karate

45%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: razzle-dazzle wine dilemma

75%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: Hairraiser mustard idea he suggested

Every single day the same thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM
Author: Exhilarant Clear Tattoo



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: diverse costumed deer antler

80%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986)