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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?

...
Lascivious red station
  07/21/18
0%
Odious stage
  07/21/18
Reply Favorite Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: ...
Thirsty shaky double fault police squad
  11/07/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=1...
arrogant dopamine resort
  11/07/18
I would be shocked if they don't. 1. In the post-WWII er...
Hot Citrine National
  07/21/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&foru...
Multi-colored Disturbing Rehab
  07/21/18
jfc
Provocative honey-headed crotch school
  07/21/18
90%
Concupiscible greedy mood chad
  07/21/18
them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump...
Grizzly boyish parlor queen of the night
  07/21/18
They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be bet...
Erotic Turdskin Library
  07/21/18
65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%
burgundy university nibblets
  07/21/18
...
Infuriating center sweet tailpipe
  07/21/18
Correct. It's 90%+.
Hot Citrine National
  07/21/18
You need to get a life outside xo bro
smoky mad cow disease
  07/21/18
45%
glittery peach forum
  07/21/18
75%
big market haunted graveyard
  07/21/18
Every single day the same thread
exhilarant turquoise sound barrier hissy fit
  07/21/18
...
Fluffy orchestra pit reading party
  07/21/18
80%
smoky mad cow disease
  07/21/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM
Author: Lascivious red station



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM
Author: Odious stage

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Thirsty shaky double fault police squad

Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM

Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185461)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: arrogant dopamine resort

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2

Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM

Author: ...,.........,.........,....

I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported.

Gillum is doing too well in central florida.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185465)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM
Author: Hot Citrine National

I would be shocked if they don't.

1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.

2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.

3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.

4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.

5. Democratic base is far more energized.

6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469583)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM
Author: Multi-colored Disturbing Rehab

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2

https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469584)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: Provocative honey-headed crotch school

jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM
Author: Concupiscible greedy mood chad

90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM
Author: Grizzly boyish parlor queen of the night

them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM
Author: Erotic Turdskin Library

They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM
Author: burgundy university nibblets

65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Infuriating center sweet tailpipe



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: Hot Citrine National

Correct. It's 90%+.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: smoky mad cow disease

You need to get a life outside xo bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: glittery peach forum

45%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: big market haunted graveyard

75%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: exhilarant turquoise sound barrier hissy fit

Every single day the same thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM
Author: Fluffy orchestra pit reading party



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: smoky mad cow disease

80%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986)