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LOL, Nate Silver, never not DONE HERE, says 80% chance libs will take Congress

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-f...
Excitant twisted international law enforcement agency azn
  09/19/18
This seems too low.
wonderful sienna stage rigor
  09/19/18
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM Author: Mark Wohlers ...
Excitant twisted international law enforcement agency azn
  09/19/18
LOL@ incorporating data going back to 1926 to calculate your...
bonkers flatulent selfie school cafeteria
  09/19/18
...
Excitant twisted international law enforcement agency azn
  09/19/18
data seems skewed right?
turquoise vibrant rehab
  09/19/18
...
Excitant twisted international law enforcement agency azn
  09/19/18
What is the actual percentage?
turquoise vibrant rehab
  09/19/18
Believe that says House, brother. And thats probably right....
Clear Corner Kitty
  09/19/18
(guy who doesn't know what "Congress" means)
turquoise vibrant rehab
  09/19/18
I wouldn't call it "taking congress" like OP unles...
Clear Corner Kitty
  09/19/18
Are you suggesting we should all adopt your incorrect unders...
turquoise vibrant rehab
  09/19/18
Explain how I have incorrect understanding?
Clear Corner Kitty
  09/19/18
I'm just joking around man, but technically the House is &qu...
turquoise vibrant rehab
  09/19/18
Lol what?
Clear Corner Kitty
  09/19/18
Technically, that’s completely wrong
Razzle-dazzle Adulterous Plaza Reading Party
  09/19/18
Ha ha I'm just joking around guys, but *technically* (makes ...
Lascivious Spot Cuckold
  09/19/18
Grow a beard
Swollen Talented Therapy Set
  09/19/18
...
Razzle-dazzle Adulterous Plaza Reading Party
  09/20/18
any other esl foreigners out there who'd like to share their...
Razzle Mother Locus
  09/19/18
180 sub thread would read again
Chestnut cruel-hearted sanctuary becky
  09/20/18
lmfao
Racy lay sandwich
  09/20/18
"technically"
titillating underhanded gay wizard persian
  09/20/18
...
Razzle-dazzle Adulterous Plaza Reading Party
  09/19/18
"The United States Congress is the bicameral legislatur...
Lascivious Spot Cuckold
  09/19/18
can't believe we've come to this.
Jet hideous gaping
  09/20/18
Hey! This is law bort!
titillating underhanded gay wizard persian
  09/20/18
Do you?
titillating underhanded gay wizard persian
  09/20/18
He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the s...
bull headed depressive
  09/19/18
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM Author: Dickey Simpkins ...
Excitant twisted international law enforcement agency azn
  09/19/18
Cons will never listen to this. Also silver gave trump a...
lilac fluffy fat ankles home
  09/20/18
Cons: Not understanding how probability works
Electric wine electric furnace state
  09/20/18
Lmao stats are for libfaggots faggot
lilac fluffy fat ankles home
  09/20/18
...
Electric wine electric furnace state
  09/20/18
...
titillating underhanded gay wizard persian
  09/20/18
His model had Trump at nearly 30 percent and he was getting ...
titillating underhanded gay wizard persian
  09/20/18
Libs were going INSANE on him.
lilac fluffy fat ankles home
  09/20/18
days without jewish tricks: 0
Ruby big pistol
  09/19/18
Lol at all this emphasis on an imaginary national popular vo...
Appetizing Crawly Stage People Who Are Hurt
  09/20/18
What about when you adjust for the 5-10% of voters who choos...
Self-centered razzmatazz quadroon
  09/20/18
This is probably a figment of your imagination
lilac fluffy fat ankles home
  09/20/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 AM
Author: Excitant twisted international law enforcement agency azn

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/?ex_cid=rrpromo

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838246)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM
Author: wonderful sienna stage rigor

This seems too low.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:14 AM
Author: Excitant twisted international law enforcement agency azn

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM

Author: Mark Wohlers

This seems too low.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838272)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 AM
Author: bonkers flatulent selfie school cafeteria

LOL@ incorporating data going back to 1926 to calculate your "average." That shit been red since the 90s. The only way it comes out blue on "average" is of you reach back another 70 years LJL

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838262)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:15 AM
Author: Excitant twisted international law enforcement agency azn



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838274)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: turquoise vibrant rehab

data seems skewed right?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840795)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 12:54 PM
Author: Excitant twisted international law enforcement agency azn



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840739)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 12:58 PM
Author: turquoise vibrant rehab

What is the actual percentage?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840774)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:00 PM
Author: Clear Corner Kitty

Believe that says House, brother. And thats probably right.

Senate, GOP is 70% favorite.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840785)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: turquoise vibrant rehab

(guy who doesn't know what "Congress" means)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840790)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: Clear Corner Kitty

I wouldn't call it "taking congress" like OP unless they take both houses of congress.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840794)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:02 PM
Author: turquoise vibrant rehab

Are you suggesting we should all adopt your incorrect understanding of the word?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840803)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:03 PM
Author: Clear Corner Kitty

Explain how I have incorrect understanding?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840809)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: turquoise vibrant rehab

I'm just joking around man, but technically the House is "Congress" and the Senate is the Senate.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840815)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: Clear Corner Kitty

Lol what?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840819)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:05 PM
Author: Razzle-dazzle Adulterous Plaza Reading Party

Technically, that’s completely wrong

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840825)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: Lascivious Spot Cuckold

Ha ha I'm just joking around guys, but *technically* (makes shit up)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840830)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: Swollen Talented Therapy Set

Grow a beard

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840831)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 12:36 AM
Author: Razzle-dazzle Adulterous Plaza Reading Party



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846400)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:37 PM
Author: Razzle Mother Locus

any other esl foreigners out there who'd like to share their understanding of american poritics with the bort?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36841047)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 4:53 AM
Author: Chestnut cruel-hearted sanctuary becky

180 sub thread would read again

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846930)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:35 AM
Author: Racy lay sandwich

lmfao

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847006)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: titillating underhanded gay wizard persian

"technically"

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847041)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: Razzle-dazzle Adulterous Plaza Reading Party



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840817)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: Lascivious Spot Cuckold

"The United States Congress is the bicameral legislature of the Federal government of the United States. The legislature consists of two chambers: the House of Representatives and the Senate."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Congress

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840828)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 4:55 AM
Author: Jet hideous gaping

can't believe we've come to this.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846931)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: titillating underhanded gay wizard persian

Hey! This is law bort!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847042)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: titillating underhanded gay wizard persian

Do you?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847040)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM
Author: bull headed depressive

He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.

His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840839)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:29 PM
Author: Excitant twisted international law enforcement agency azn

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM

Author: Dickey Simpkins

He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.

His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840839)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840986)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:40 AM
Author: lilac fluffy fat ankles home

Cons will never listen to this.

Also silver gave trump a 35% chance and wrote an article two days before about how overconfident the media was.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-dont-ignore-the-polls-clinton-leads-but-its-a-close-race/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847021)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:43 AM
Author: Electric wine electric furnace state

Cons: Not understanding how probability works

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847026)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:44 AM
Author: lilac fluffy fat ankles home

Lmao stats are for libfaggots faggot

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847028)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:45 AM
Author: Electric wine electric furnace state



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847029)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:57 AM
Author: titillating underhanded gay wizard persian



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847047)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:56 AM
Author: titillating underhanded gay wizard persian

His model had Trump at nearly 30 percent and he was getting called out hardcore for that before the election.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847045)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:59 AM
Author: lilac fluffy fat ankles home

Libs were going INSANE on him.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847052)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 PM
Author: Ruby big pistol

days without jewish tricks: 0

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840863)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 12:38 AM
Author: Appetizing Crawly Stage People Who Are Hurt

Lol at all this emphasis on an imaginary national popular vote

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846412)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 4:49 AM
Author: Self-centered razzmatazz quadroon

What about when you adjust for the 5-10% of voters who choose not to tell their rabid shitlib pollsters that they'll be voting for pro-TRUMP candidates

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846927)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:41 AM
Author: lilac fluffy fat ankles home

This is probably a figment of your imagination

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847024)