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LOL, Nate Silver, never not DONE HERE, says 80% chance libs will take Congress

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-f...
Ocher abode candlestick maker
  09/19/18
This seems too low.
Violent nursing home
  09/19/18
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM Author: Mark Wohlers ...
Ocher abode candlestick maker
  09/19/18
LOL@ incorporating data going back to 1926 to calculate your...
Swollen Background Story
  09/19/18
...
Ocher abode candlestick maker
  09/19/18
data seems skewed right?
Lavender confused church building
  09/19/18
...
Ocher abode candlestick maker
  09/19/18
What is the actual percentage?
Lavender confused church building
  09/19/18
Believe that says House, brother. And thats probably right....
Judgmental ruddy cumskin
  09/19/18
(guy who doesn't know what "Congress" means)
Lavender confused church building
  09/19/18
I wouldn't call it "taking congress" like OP unles...
Judgmental ruddy cumskin
  09/19/18
Are you suggesting we should all adopt your incorrect unders...
Lavender confused church building
  09/19/18
Explain how I have incorrect understanding?
Judgmental ruddy cumskin
  09/19/18
I'm just joking around man, but technically the House is &qu...
Lavender confused church building
  09/19/18
Lol what?
Judgmental ruddy cumskin
  09/19/18
Technically, that’s completely wrong
Trip mad cow disease coldplay fan
  09/19/18
Ha ha I'm just joking around guys, but *technically* (makes ...
milky greedy area kitty cat
  09/19/18
Grow a beard
dashing honey-headed piazza associate
  09/19/18
...
Trip mad cow disease coldplay fan
  09/20/18
any other esl foreigners out there who'd like to share their...
hairless buck-toothed degenerate property
  09/19/18
180 sub thread would read again
Ultramarine free-loading office toaster
  09/20/18
lmfao
brindle razzle ceo messiness
  09/20/18
"technically"
mint arousing indirect expression indian lodge
  09/20/18
...
Trip mad cow disease coldplay fan
  09/19/18
"The United States Congress is the bicameral legislatur...
milky greedy area kitty cat
  09/19/18
can't believe we've come to this.
fragrant range
  09/20/18
Hey! This is law bort!
mint arousing indirect expression indian lodge
  09/20/18
Do you?
mint arousing indirect expression indian lodge
  09/20/18
He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the s...
Supple Church Therapy
  09/19/18
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM Author: Dickey Simpkins ...
Ocher abode candlestick maker
  09/19/18
Cons will never listen to this. Also silver gave trump a...
cowardly lascivious toilet seat
  09/20/18
Cons: Not understanding how probability works
white friendly grandma
  09/20/18
Lmao stats are for libfaggots faggot
cowardly lascivious toilet seat
  09/20/18
...
white friendly grandma
  09/20/18
...
mint arousing indirect expression indian lodge
  09/20/18
His model had Trump at nearly 30 percent and he was getting ...
mint arousing indirect expression indian lodge
  09/20/18
Libs were going INSANE on him.
cowardly lascivious toilet seat
  09/20/18
days without jewish tricks: 0
Floppy turquoise feces site
  09/19/18
Lol at all this emphasis on an imaginary national popular vo...
puce frisky meetinghouse tank
  09/20/18
What about when you adjust for the 5-10% of voters who choos...
cream beady-eyed senate patrolman
  09/20/18
This is probably a figment of your imagination
cowardly lascivious toilet seat
  09/20/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 AM
Author: Ocher abode candlestick maker

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/?ex_cid=rrpromo

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838246)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM
Author: Violent nursing home

This seems too low.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:14 AM
Author: Ocher abode candlestick maker

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM

Author: Mark Wohlers

This seems too low.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838272)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 AM
Author: Swollen Background Story

LOL@ incorporating data going back to 1926 to calculate your "average." That shit been red since the 90s. The only way it comes out blue on "average" is of you reach back another 70 years LJL

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838262)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:15 AM
Author: Ocher abode candlestick maker



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838274)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: Lavender confused church building

data seems skewed right?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840795)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 12:54 PM
Author: Ocher abode candlestick maker



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840739)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 12:58 PM
Author: Lavender confused church building

What is the actual percentage?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840774)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:00 PM
Author: Judgmental ruddy cumskin

Believe that says House, brother. And thats probably right.

Senate, GOP is 70% favorite.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840785)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: Lavender confused church building

(guy who doesn't know what "Congress" means)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840790)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: Judgmental ruddy cumskin

I wouldn't call it "taking congress" like OP unless they take both houses of congress.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840794)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:02 PM
Author: Lavender confused church building

Are you suggesting we should all adopt your incorrect understanding of the word?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840803)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:03 PM
Author: Judgmental ruddy cumskin

Explain how I have incorrect understanding?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840809)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: Lavender confused church building

I'm just joking around man, but technically the House is "Congress" and the Senate is the Senate.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840815)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: Judgmental ruddy cumskin

Lol what?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840819)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:05 PM
Author: Trip mad cow disease coldplay fan

Technically, that’s completely wrong

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840825)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: milky greedy area kitty cat

Ha ha I'm just joking around guys, but *technically* (makes shit up)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840830)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: dashing honey-headed piazza associate

Grow a beard

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840831)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 12:36 AM
Author: Trip mad cow disease coldplay fan



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846400)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:37 PM
Author: hairless buck-toothed degenerate property

any other esl foreigners out there who'd like to share their understanding of american poritics with the bort?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36841047)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 4:53 AM
Author: Ultramarine free-loading office toaster

180 sub thread would read again

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846930)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:35 AM
Author: brindle razzle ceo messiness

lmfao

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847006)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: mint arousing indirect expression indian lodge

"technically"

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847041)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: Trip mad cow disease coldplay fan



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840817)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: milky greedy area kitty cat

"The United States Congress is the bicameral legislature of the Federal government of the United States. The legislature consists of two chambers: the House of Representatives and the Senate."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Congress

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840828)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 4:55 AM
Author: fragrant range

can't believe we've come to this.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846931)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: mint arousing indirect expression indian lodge

Hey! This is law bort!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847042)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: mint arousing indirect expression indian lodge

Do you?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847040)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM
Author: Supple Church Therapy

He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.

His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840839)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:29 PM
Author: Ocher abode candlestick maker

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM

Author: Dickey Simpkins

He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.

His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840839)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840986)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:40 AM
Author: cowardly lascivious toilet seat

Cons will never listen to this.

Also silver gave trump a 35% chance and wrote an article two days before about how overconfident the media was.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-dont-ignore-the-polls-clinton-leads-but-its-a-close-race/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847021)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:43 AM
Author: white friendly grandma

Cons: Not understanding how probability works

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847026)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:44 AM
Author: cowardly lascivious toilet seat

Lmao stats are for libfaggots faggot

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847028)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:45 AM
Author: white friendly grandma



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847029)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:57 AM
Author: mint arousing indirect expression indian lodge



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847047)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:56 AM
Author: mint arousing indirect expression indian lodge

His model had Trump at nearly 30 percent and he was getting called out hardcore for that before the election.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847045)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:59 AM
Author: cowardly lascivious toilet seat

Libs were going INSANE on him.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847052)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 PM
Author: Floppy turquoise feces site

days without jewish tricks: 0

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840863)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 12:38 AM
Author: puce frisky meetinghouse tank

Lol at all this emphasis on an imaginary national popular vote

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846412)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 4:49 AM
Author: cream beady-eyed senate patrolman

What about when you adjust for the 5-10% of voters who choose not to tell their rabid shitlib pollsters that they'll be voting for pro-TRUMP candidates

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846927)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:41 AM
Author: cowardly lascivious toilet seat

This is probably a figment of your imagination

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847024)