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LOL, Nate Silver, never not DONE HERE, says 80% chance libs will take Congress

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-f...
Shimmering thriller volcanic crater gas station
  09/19/18
This seems too low.
flesh striped hyena
  09/19/18
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM Author: Mark Wohlers ...
Shimmering thriller volcanic crater gas station
  09/19/18
LOL@ incorporating data going back to 1926 to calculate your...
awkward regret point
  09/19/18
...
Shimmering thriller volcanic crater gas station
  09/19/18
data seems skewed right?
bearded glittery spot masturbator
  09/19/18
...
Shimmering thriller volcanic crater gas station
  09/19/18
What is the actual percentage?
bearded glittery spot masturbator
  09/19/18
Believe that says House, brother. And thats probably right....
Offensive Dilemma Codepig
  09/19/18
(guy who doesn't know what "Congress" means)
bearded glittery spot masturbator
  09/19/18
I wouldn't call it "taking congress" like OP unles...
Offensive Dilemma Codepig
  09/19/18
Are you suggesting we should all adopt your incorrect unders...
bearded glittery spot masturbator
  09/19/18
Explain how I have incorrect understanding?
Offensive Dilemma Codepig
  09/19/18
I'm just joking around man, but technically the House is &qu...
bearded glittery spot masturbator
  09/19/18
Lol what?
Offensive Dilemma Codepig
  09/19/18
Technically, that’s completely wrong
embarrassed to the bone athletic conference site
  09/19/18
Ha ha I'm just joking around guys, but *technically* (makes ...
talented church internal respiration
  09/19/18
Grow a beard
fragrant address water buffalo
  09/19/18
...
embarrassed to the bone athletic conference site
  09/20/18
any other esl foreigners out there who'd like to share their...
beady-eyed sexy lettuce
  09/19/18
180 sub thread would read again
walnut odious newt
  09/20/18
lmfao
disrespectful library
  09/20/18
"technically"
bonkers vigorous tattoo casino
  09/20/18
...
embarrassed to the bone athletic conference site
  09/19/18
"The United States Congress is the bicameral legislatur...
talented church internal respiration
  09/19/18
can't believe we've come to this.
Elite fortuitous meteor people who are hurt
  09/20/18
Hey! This is law bort!
bonkers vigorous tattoo casino
  09/20/18
Do you?
bonkers vigorous tattoo casino
  09/20/18
He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the s...
glassy geriatric state
  09/19/18
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM Author: Dickey Simpkins ...
Shimmering thriller volcanic crater gas station
  09/19/18
Cons will never listen to this. Also silver gave trump a...
boyish persian
  09/20/18
Cons: Not understanding how probability works
Filthy patrolman
  09/20/18
Lmao stats are for libfaggots faggot
boyish persian
  09/20/18
...
Filthy patrolman
  09/20/18
...
bonkers vigorous tattoo casino
  09/20/18
His model had Trump at nearly 30 percent and he was getting ...
bonkers vigorous tattoo casino
  09/20/18
Libs were going INSANE on him.
boyish persian
  09/20/18
days without jewish tricks: 0
Avocado marvelous lodge associate
  09/19/18
Lol at all this emphasis on an imaginary national popular vo...
Bateful scourge upon the earth
  09/20/18
What about when you adjust for the 5-10% of voters who choos...
Up-to-no-good ratface new version
  09/20/18
This is probably a figment of your imagination
boyish persian
  09/20/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 AM
Author: Shimmering thriller volcanic crater gas station

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/?ex_cid=rrpromo

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838246)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM
Author: flesh striped hyena

This seems too low.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:14 AM
Author: Shimmering thriller volcanic crater gas station

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM

Author: Mark Wohlers

This seems too low.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838272)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 AM
Author: awkward regret point

LOL@ incorporating data going back to 1926 to calculate your "average." That shit been red since the 90s. The only way it comes out blue on "average" is of you reach back another 70 years LJL

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838262)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:15 AM
Author: Shimmering thriller volcanic crater gas station



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838274)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: bearded glittery spot masturbator

data seems skewed right?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840795)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 12:54 PM
Author: Shimmering thriller volcanic crater gas station



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840739)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 12:58 PM
Author: bearded glittery spot masturbator

What is the actual percentage?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840774)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:00 PM
Author: Offensive Dilemma Codepig

Believe that says House, brother. And thats probably right.

Senate, GOP is 70% favorite.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840785)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: bearded glittery spot masturbator

(guy who doesn't know what "Congress" means)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840790)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: Offensive Dilemma Codepig

I wouldn't call it "taking congress" like OP unless they take both houses of congress.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840794)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:02 PM
Author: bearded glittery spot masturbator

Are you suggesting we should all adopt your incorrect understanding of the word?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840803)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:03 PM
Author: Offensive Dilemma Codepig

Explain how I have incorrect understanding?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840809)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: bearded glittery spot masturbator

I'm just joking around man, but technically the House is "Congress" and the Senate is the Senate.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840815)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: Offensive Dilemma Codepig

Lol what?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840819)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:05 PM
Author: embarrassed to the bone athletic conference site

Technically, that’s completely wrong

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840825)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: talented church internal respiration

Ha ha I'm just joking around guys, but *technically* (makes shit up)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840830)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: fragrant address water buffalo

Grow a beard

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840831)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 12:36 AM
Author: embarrassed to the bone athletic conference site



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846400)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:37 PM
Author: beady-eyed sexy lettuce

any other esl foreigners out there who'd like to share their understanding of american poritics with the bort?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36841047)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 4:53 AM
Author: walnut odious newt

180 sub thread would read again

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846930)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:35 AM
Author: disrespectful library

lmfao

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847006)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: bonkers vigorous tattoo casino

"technically"

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847041)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: embarrassed to the bone athletic conference site



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840817)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: talented church internal respiration

"The United States Congress is the bicameral legislature of the Federal government of the United States. The legislature consists of two chambers: the House of Representatives and the Senate."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Congress

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840828)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 4:55 AM
Author: Elite fortuitous meteor people who are hurt

can't believe we've come to this.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846931)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: bonkers vigorous tattoo casino

Hey! This is law bort!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847042)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: bonkers vigorous tattoo casino

Do you?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847040)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM
Author: glassy geriatric state

He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.

His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840839)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:29 PM
Author: Shimmering thriller volcanic crater gas station

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM

Author: Dickey Simpkins

He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.

His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840839)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840986)



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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:40 AM
Author: boyish persian

Cons will never listen to this.

Also silver gave trump a 35% chance and wrote an article two days before about how overconfident the media was.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-dont-ignore-the-polls-clinton-leads-but-its-a-close-race/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847021)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:43 AM
Author: Filthy patrolman

Cons: Not understanding how probability works

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847026)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:44 AM
Author: boyish persian

Lmao stats are for libfaggots faggot

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847028)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:45 AM
Author: Filthy patrolman



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847029)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:57 AM
Author: bonkers vigorous tattoo casino



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847047)



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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:56 AM
Author: bonkers vigorous tattoo casino

His model had Trump at nearly 30 percent and he was getting called out hardcore for that before the election.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847045)



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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:59 AM
Author: boyish persian

Libs were going INSANE on him.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847052)



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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 PM
Author: Avocado marvelous lodge associate

days without jewish tricks: 0

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840863)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 12:38 AM
Author: Bateful scourge upon the earth

Lol at all this emphasis on an imaginary national popular vote

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846412)



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Date: September 20th, 2018 4:49 AM
Author: Up-to-no-good ratface new version

What about when you adjust for the 5-10% of voters who choose not to tell their rabid shitlib pollsters that they'll be voting for pro-TRUMP candidates

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846927)



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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:41 AM
Author: boyish persian

This is probably a figment of your imagination

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847024)