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LOL, Nate Silver, never not DONE HERE, says 80% chance libs will take Congress
| floppy sooty lodge really tough guy | 09/19/18 |
| Racy jet-lagged whorehouse laser beams | 09/19/18 |
| floppy sooty lodge really tough guy | 09/19/18 |
| Wine irate trump supporter office | 09/19/18 |
| floppy sooty lodge really tough guy | 09/19/18 |
| maniacal crimson macaca | 09/19/18 |
| floppy sooty lodge really tough guy | 09/19/18 |
| maniacal crimson macaca | 09/19/18 |
| bronze slippery pistol double fault | 09/19/18 |
| maniacal crimson macaca | 09/19/18 |
| bronze slippery pistol double fault | 09/19/18 |
| maniacal crimson macaca | 09/19/18 |
| bronze slippery pistol double fault | 09/19/18 |
| maniacal crimson macaca | 09/19/18 |
| bronze slippery pistol double fault | 09/19/18 |
| sticky step-uncle's house | 09/19/18 |
| Puce sanctuary | 09/19/18 |
| infuriating awkward fanboi | 09/19/18 |
| sticky step-uncle's house | 09/20/18 |
| Arousing old irish cottage | 09/19/18 |
| mind-boggling idea he suggested shrine | 09/20/18 |
| Ebony Comical Water Buffalo | 09/20/18 |
| Bateful sienna address | 09/20/18 |
| sticky step-uncle's house | 09/19/18 |
| Puce sanctuary | 09/19/18 |
| Hilarious Ladyboy Locus | 09/20/18 |
| Bateful sienna address | 09/20/18 |
| Bateful sienna address | 09/20/18 |
| Offensive friendly grandma | 09/19/18 |
| floppy sooty lodge really tough guy | 09/19/18 |
| Obsidian arrogant stage incel | 09/20/18 |
| pearl cuckoldry boistinker | 09/20/18 |
| Obsidian arrogant stage incel | 09/20/18 |
| pearl cuckoldry boistinker | 09/20/18 |
| Bateful sienna address | 09/20/18 |
| Bateful sienna address | 09/20/18 |
| Obsidian arrogant stage incel | 09/20/18 |
| Swashbuckling School | 09/19/18 |
| blue meetinghouse affirmative action | 09/20/18 |
| underhanded native patrolman | 09/20/18 |
| Obsidian arrogant stage incel | 09/20/18 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 AM Author: floppy sooty lodge really tough guy https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/?ex_cid=rrpromo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838246) |
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM Author: Racy jet-lagged whorehouse laser beams This seems too low. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:14 AM Author: floppy sooty lodge really tough guy Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM Author: Mark Wohlers
This seems too low.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 AM Author: Wine irate trump supporter office LOL@ incorporating data going back to 1926 to calculate your "average." That shit been red since the 90s. The only way it comes out blue on "average" is of you reach back another 70 years LJL (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838262) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:15 AM Author: floppy sooty lodge really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838274) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM Author: maniacal crimson macaca data seems skewed right? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840795) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 12:54 PM Author: floppy sooty lodge really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840739) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 12:58 PM Author: maniacal crimson macaca What is the actual percentage? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840774) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:00 PM Author: bronze slippery pistol double fault Believe that says House, brother. And thats probably right.
Senate, GOP is 70% favorite. |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM Author: maniacal crimson macaca (guy who doesn't know what "Congress" means) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840790) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM Author: bronze slippery pistol double fault I wouldn't call it "taking congress" like OP unless they take both houses of congress. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840794) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:02 PM Author: maniacal crimson macaca Are you suggesting we should all adopt your incorrect understanding of the word? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840803) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:03 PM Author: bronze slippery pistol double fault Explain how I have incorrect understanding? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840809) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM Author: maniacal crimson macaca I'm just joking around man, but technically the House is "Congress" and the Senate is the Senate. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840815) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM Author: bronze slippery pistol double fault Lol what? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840819) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:05 PM Author: sticky step-uncle's house Technically, that’s completely wrong (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840825) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM Author: Puce sanctuary Ha ha I'm just joking around guys, but *technically* (makes shit up) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840830) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM Author: infuriating awkward fanboi Grow a beard (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840831) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 12:36 AM Author: sticky step-uncle's house (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846400) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:37 PM Author: Arousing old irish cottage any other esl foreigners out there who'd like to share their understanding of american poritics with the bort? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36841047) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 4:53 AM Author: mind-boggling idea he suggested shrine 180 sub thread would read again (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846930) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:35 AM Author: Ebony Comical Water Buffalo lmfao (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847006) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM Author: Bateful sienna address "technically" (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847041) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM Author: sticky step-uncle's house (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840817) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM Author: Puce sanctuary "The United States Congress is the bicameral legislature of the Federal government of the United States. The legislature consists of two chambers: the House of Representatives and the Senate."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Congress |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 4:55 AM Author: Hilarious Ladyboy Locus can't believe we've come to this. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846931) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM Author: Bateful sienna address Hey! This is law bort! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847042) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM Author: Bateful sienna address Do you? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847040) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM Author: Offensive friendly grandma He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.
His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either. |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:29 PM Author: floppy sooty lodge really tough guy Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM Author: Dickey Simpkins
He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.
His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840839) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:40 AM Author: Obsidian arrogant stage incel Cons will never listen to this.
Also silver gave trump a 35% chance and wrote an article two days before about how overconfident the media was.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-dont-ignore-the-polls-clinton-leads-but-its-a-close-race/ |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:43 AM Author: pearl cuckoldry boistinker Cons: Not understanding how probability works (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847026) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:44 AM Author: Obsidian arrogant stage incel Lmao stats are for libfaggots faggot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847028) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:45 AM Author: pearl cuckoldry boistinker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847029) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:57 AM Author: Bateful sienna address (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847047) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:56 AM Author: Bateful sienna address His model had Trump at nearly 30 percent and he was getting called out hardcore for that before the election.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/ |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:59 AM Author: Obsidian arrogant stage incel Libs were going INSANE on him. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847052) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 PM Author: Swashbuckling School days without jewish tricks: 0 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840863) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 12:38 AM Author: blue meetinghouse affirmative action Lol at all this emphasis on an imaginary national popular vote (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846412) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 4:49 AM Author: underhanded native patrolman What about when you adjust for the 5-10% of voters who choose not to tell their rabid shitlib pollsters that they'll be voting for pro-TRUMP candidates (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846927) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:41 AM Author: Obsidian arrogant stage incel This is probably a figment of your imagination (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847024) |