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LOL, Nate Silver, never not DONE HERE, says 80% chance libs will take Congress

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-f...
Elite Charismatic Area Candlestick Maker
  09/19/18
This seems too low.
curious dead coldplay fan
  09/19/18
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM Author: Mark Wohlers ...
Elite Charismatic Area Candlestick Maker
  09/19/18
LOL@ incorporating data going back to 1926 to calculate your...
cobalt home national security agency
  09/19/18
...
Elite Charismatic Area Candlestick Maker
  09/19/18
data seems skewed right?
Contagious Sable Jewess
  09/19/18
...
Elite Charismatic Area Candlestick Maker
  09/19/18
What is the actual percentage?
Contagious Sable Jewess
  09/19/18
Believe that says House, brother. And thats probably right....
bateful balding cuckoldry
  09/19/18
(guy who doesn't know what "Congress" means)
Contagious Sable Jewess
  09/19/18
I wouldn't call it "taking congress" like OP unles...
bateful balding cuckoldry
  09/19/18
Are you suggesting we should all adopt your incorrect unders...
Contagious Sable Jewess
  09/19/18
Explain how I have incorrect understanding?
bateful balding cuckoldry
  09/19/18
I'm just joking around man, but technically the House is &qu...
Contagious Sable Jewess
  09/19/18
Lol what?
bateful balding cuckoldry
  09/19/18
Technically, that’s completely wrong
titillating hall
  09/19/18
Ha ha I'm just joking around guys, but *technically* (makes ...
nighttime whorehouse tattoo
  09/19/18
Grow a beard
cowardly glittery skinny woman pistol
  09/19/18
...
titillating hall
  09/20/18
any other esl foreigners out there who'd like to share their...
rose patrolman
  09/19/18
180 sub thread would read again
multi-colored charcoal masturbator
  09/20/18
lmfao
Laughsome Pink Community Account
  09/20/18
"technically"
sticky generalized bond brunch
  09/20/18
...
titillating hall
  09/19/18
"The United States Congress is the bicameral legislatur...
nighttime whorehouse tattoo
  09/19/18
can't believe we've come to this.
cyan filthy laser beams
  09/20/18
Hey! This is law bort!
sticky generalized bond brunch
  09/20/18
Do you?
sticky generalized bond brunch
  09/20/18
He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the s...
fishy odious mad-dog skullcap
  09/19/18
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM Author: Dickey Simpkins ...
Elite Charismatic Area Candlestick Maker
  09/19/18
Cons will never listen to this. Also silver gave trump a...
black windowlicker
  09/20/18
Cons: Not understanding how probability works
Chartreuse godawful crackhouse headpube
  09/20/18
Lmao stats are for libfaggots faggot
black windowlicker
  09/20/18
...
Chartreuse godawful crackhouse headpube
  09/20/18
...
sticky generalized bond brunch
  09/20/18
His model had Trump at nearly 30 percent and he was getting ...
sticky generalized bond brunch
  09/20/18
Libs were going INSANE on him.
black windowlicker
  09/20/18
days without jewish tricks: 0
big-titted regret temple
  09/19/18
Lol at all this emphasis on an imaginary national popular vo...
Crimson toilet seat
  09/20/18
What about when you adjust for the 5-10% of voters who choos...
Slippery puce liquid oxygen
  09/20/18
This is probably a figment of your imagination
black windowlicker
  09/20/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 AM
Author: Elite Charismatic Area Candlestick Maker

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/?ex_cid=rrpromo

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838246)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM
Author: curious dead coldplay fan

This seems too low.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:14 AM
Author: Elite Charismatic Area Candlestick Maker

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM

Author: Mark Wohlers

This seems too low.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838272)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 AM
Author: cobalt home national security agency

LOL@ incorporating data going back to 1926 to calculate your "average." That shit been red since the 90s. The only way it comes out blue on "average" is of you reach back another 70 years LJL

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838262)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:15 AM
Author: Elite Charismatic Area Candlestick Maker



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838274)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: Contagious Sable Jewess

data seems skewed right?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840795)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 12:54 PM
Author: Elite Charismatic Area Candlestick Maker



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840739)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 12:58 PM
Author: Contagious Sable Jewess

What is the actual percentage?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840774)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:00 PM
Author: bateful balding cuckoldry

Believe that says House, brother. And thats probably right.

Senate, GOP is 70% favorite.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840785)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: Contagious Sable Jewess

(guy who doesn't know what "Congress" means)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840790)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: bateful balding cuckoldry

I wouldn't call it "taking congress" like OP unless they take both houses of congress.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840794)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:02 PM
Author: Contagious Sable Jewess

Are you suggesting we should all adopt your incorrect understanding of the word?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840803)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:03 PM
Author: bateful balding cuckoldry

Explain how I have incorrect understanding?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840809)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: Contagious Sable Jewess

I'm just joking around man, but technically the House is "Congress" and the Senate is the Senate.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840815)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: bateful balding cuckoldry

Lol what?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840819)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:05 PM
Author: titillating hall

Technically, that’s completely wrong

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840825)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: nighttime whorehouse tattoo

Ha ha I'm just joking around guys, but *technically* (makes shit up)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840830)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: cowardly glittery skinny woman pistol

Grow a beard

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840831)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 12:36 AM
Author: titillating hall



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846400)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:37 PM
Author: rose patrolman

any other esl foreigners out there who'd like to share their understanding of american poritics with the bort?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36841047)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 4:53 AM
Author: multi-colored charcoal masturbator

180 sub thread would read again

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846930)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:35 AM
Author: Laughsome Pink Community Account

lmfao

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847006)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: sticky generalized bond brunch

"technically"

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847041)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: titillating hall



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840817)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: nighttime whorehouse tattoo

"The United States Congress is the bicameral legislature of the Federal government of the United States. The legislature consists of two chambers: the House of Representatives and the Senate."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Congress

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840828)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 4:55 AM
Author: cyan filthy laser beams

can't believe we've come to this.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846931)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: sticky generalized bond brunch

Hey! This is law bort!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847042)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: sticky generalized bond brunch

Do you?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847040)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM
Author: fishy odious mad-dog skullcap

He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.

His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840839)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:29 PM
Author: Elite Charismatic Area Candlestick Maker

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM

Author: Dickey Simpkins

He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.

His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840839)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840986)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:40 AM
Author: black windowlicker

Cons will never listen to this.

Also silver gave trump a 35% chance and wrote an article two days before about how overconfident the media was.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-dont-ignore-the-polls-clinton-leads-but-its-a-close-race/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847021)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:43 AM
Author: Chartreuse godawful crackhouse headpube

Cons: Not understanding how probability works

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847026)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:44 AM
Author: black windowlicker

Lmao stats are for libfaggots faggot

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847028)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:45 AM
Author: Chartreuse godawful crackhouse headpube



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847029)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:57 AM
Author: sticky generalized bond brunch



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847047)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:56 AM
Author: sticky generalized bond brunch

His model had Trump at nearly 30 percent and he was getting called out hardcore for that before the election.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847045)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:59 AM
Author: black windowlicker

Libs were going INSANE on him.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847052)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 PM
Author: big-titted regret temple

days without jewish tricks: 0

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840863)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 12:38 AM
Author: Crimson toilet seat

Lol at all this emphasis on an imaginary national popular vote

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846412)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 4:49 AM
Author: Slippery puce liquid oxygen

What about when you adjust for the 5-10% of voters who choose not to tell their rabid shitlib pollsters that they'll be voting for pro-TRUMP candidates

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846927)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:41 AM
Author: black windowlicker

This is probably a figment of your imagination

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847024)