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LOL, Nate Silver, never not DONE HERE, says 80% chance libs will take Congress

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-f...
vigorous black mad cow disease striped hyena
  09/19/18
This seems too low.
Laughsome impertinent office
  09/19/18
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM Author: Mark Wohlers ...
vigorous black mad cow disease striped hyena
  09/19/18
LOL@ incorporating data going back to 1926 to calculate your...
Hyperventilating spot therapy
  09/19/18
...
vigorous black mad cow disease striped hyena
  09/19/18
data seems skewed right?
contagious jet-lagged masturbator location
  09/19/18
...
vigorous black mad cow disease striped hyena
  09/19/18
What is the actual percentage?
contagious jet-lagged masturbator location
  09/19/18
Believe that says House, brother. And thats probably right....
citrine whorehouse
  09/19/18
(guy who doesn't know what "Congress" means)
contagious jet-lagged masturbator location
  09/19/18
I wouldn't call it "taking congress" like OP unles...
citrine whorehouse
  09/19/18
Are you suggesting we should all adopt your incorrect unders...
contagious jet-lagged masturbator location
  09/19/18
Explain how I have incorrect understanding?
citrine whorehouse
  09/19/18
I'm just joking around man, but technically the House is &qu...
contagious jet-lagged masturbator location
  09/19/18
Lol what?
citrine whorehouse
  09/19/18
Technically, that’s completely wrong
razzle-dazzle property
  09/19/18
Ha ha I'm just joking around guys, but *technically* (makes ...
pea-brained ladyboy
  09/19/18
Grow a beard
Slate bateful coldplay fan gas station
  09/19/18
...
razzle-dazzle property
  09/20/18
any other esl foreigners out there who'd like to share their...
cordovan crawly national
  09/19/18
180 sub thread would read again
outnumbered orchestra pit
  09/20/18
lmfao
beady-eyed big-titted persian
  09/20/18
"technically"
razzle parlor
  09/20/18
...
razzle-dazzle property
  09/19/18
"The United States Congress is the bicameral legislatur...
pea-brained ladyboy
  09/19/18
can't believe we've come to this.
zombie-like cracking cuckoldry
  09/20/18
Hey! This is law bort!
razzle parlor
  09/20/18
Do you?
razzle parlor
  09/20/18
He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the s...
mind-boggling infuriating knife home
  09/19/18
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM Author: Dickey Simpkins ...
vigorous black mad cow disease striped hyena
  09/19/18
Cons will never listen to this. Also silver gave trump a...
godawful sanctuary mother
  09/20/18
Cons: Not understanding how probability works
Sooty Sticky Cuck
  09/20/18
Lmao stats are for libfaggots faggot
godawful sanctuary mother
  09/20/18
...
Sooty Sticky Cuck
  09/20/18
...
razzle parlor
  09/20/18
His model had Trump at nearly 30 percent and he was getting ...
razzle parlor
  09/20/18
Libs were going INSANE on him.
godawful sanctuary mother
  09/20/18
days without jewish tricks: 0
vengeful principal's office sandwich
  09/19/18
Lol at all this emphasis on an imaginary national popular vo...
maroon anal corner
  09/20/18
What about when you adjust for the 5-10% of voters who choos...
Violet Meetinghouse
  09/20/18
This is probably a figment of your imagination
godawful sanctuary mother
  09/20/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 AM
Author: vigorous black mad cow disease striped hyena

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/?ex_cid=rrpromo

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838246)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM
Author: Laughsome impertinent office

This seems too low.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:14 AM
Author: vigorous black mad cow disease striped hyena

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM

Author: Mark Wohlers

This seems too low.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838272)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 AM
Author: Hyperventilating spot therapy

LOL@ incorporating data going back to 1926 to calculate your "average." That shit been red since the 90s. The only way it comes out blue on "average" is of you reach back another 70 years LJL

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838262)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:15 AM
Author: vigorous black mad cow disease striped hyena



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838274)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: contagious jet-lagged masturbator location

data seems skewed right?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840795)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 12:54 PM
Author: vigorous black mad cow disease striped hyena



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840739)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 12:58 PM
Author: contagious jet-lagged masturbator location

What is the actual percentage?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840774)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:00 PM
Author: citrine whorehouse

Believe that says House, brother. And thats probably right.

Senate, GOP is 70% favorite.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840785)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: contagious jet-lagged masturbator location

(guy who doesn't know what "Congress" means)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840790)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: citrine whorehouse

I wouldn't call it "taking congress" like OP unless they take both houses of congress.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840794)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:02 PM
Author: contagious jet-lagged masturbator location

Are you suggesting we should all adopt your incorrect understanding of the word?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840803)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:03 PM
Author: citrine whorehouse

Explain how I have incorrect understanding?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840809)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: contagious jet-lagged masturbator location

I'm just joking around man, but technically the House is "Congress" and the Senate is the Senate.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840815)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: citrine whorehouse

Lol what?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840819)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:05 PM
Author: razzle-dazzle property

Technically, that’s completely wrong

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840825)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: pea-brained ladyboy

Ha ha I'm just joking around guys, but *technically* (makes shit up)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840830)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: Slate bateful coldplay fan gas station

Grow a beard

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840831)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 12:36 AM
Author: razzle-dazzle property



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846400)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:37 PM
Author: cordovan crawly national

any other esl foreigners out there who'd like to share their understanding of american poritics with the bort?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36841047)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 4:53 AM
Author: outnumbered orchestra pit

180 sub thread would read again

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846930)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:35 AM
Author: beady-eyed big-titted persian

lmfao

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847006)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: razzle parlor

"technically"

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847041)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: razzle-dazzle property



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840817)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: pea-brained ladyboy

"The United States Congress is the bicameral legislature of the Federal government of the United States. The legislature consists of two chambers: the House of Representatives and the Senate."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Congress

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840828)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 4:55 AM
Author: zombie-like cracking cuckoldry

can't believe we've come to this.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846931)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: razzle parlor

Hey! This is law bort!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847042)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: razzle parlor

Do you?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847040)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM
Author: mind-boggling infuriating knife home

He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.

His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840839)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:29 PM
Author: vigorous black mad cow disease striped hyena

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM

Author: Dickey Simpkins

He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.

His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840839)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840986)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:40 AM
Author: godawful sanctuary mother

Cons will never listen to this.

Also silver gave trump a 35% chance and wrote an article two days before about how overconfident the media was.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-dont-ignore-the-polls-clinton-leads-but-its-a-close-race/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847021)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:43 AM
Author: Sooty Sticky Cuck

Cons: Not understanding how probability works

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847026)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:44 AM
Author: godawful sanctuary mother

Lmao stats are for libfaggots faggot

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847028)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:45 AM
Author: Sooty Sticky Cuck



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847029)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:57 AM
Author: razzle parlor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847047)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:56 AM
Author: razzle parlor

His model had Trump at nearly 30 percent and he was getting called out hardcore for that before the election.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847045)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:59 AM
Author: godawful sanctuary mother

Libs were going INSANE on him.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847052)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 PM
Author: vengeful principal's office sandwich

days without jewish tricks: 0

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840863)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 12:38 AM
Author: maroon anal corner

Lol at all this emphasis on an imaginary national popular vote

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846412)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 4:49 AM
Author: Violet Meetinghouse

What about when you adjust for the 5-10% of voters who choose not to tell their rabid shitlib pollsters that they'll be voting for pro-TRUMP candidates

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846927)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:41 AM
Author: godawful sanctuary mother

This is probably a figment of your imagination

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847024)