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LOL, Nate Silver, never not DONE HERE, says 80% chance libs will take Congress

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-f...
jade violent selfie old irish cottage
  09/19/18
This seems too low.
Maniacal obsidian hairy legs
  09/19/18
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM Author: Mark Wohlers ...
jade violent selfie old irish cottage
  09/19/18
LOL@ incorporating data going back to 1926 to calculate your...
Yapping marketing idea
  09/19/18
...
jade violent selfie old irish cottage
  09/19/18
data seems skewed right?
Coiffed gaped chapel
  09/19/18
...
jade violent selfie old irish cottage
  09/19/18
What is the actual percentage?
Coiffed gaped chapel
  09/19/18
Believe that says House, brother. And thats probably right....
Self-absorbed dun whorehouse
  09/19/18
(guy who doesn't know what "Congress" means)
Coiffed gaped chapel
  09/19/18
I wouldn't call it "taking congress" like OP unles...
Self-absorbed dun whorehouse
  09/19/18
Are you suggesting we should all adopt your incorrect unders...
Coiffed gaped chapel
  09/19/18
Explain how I have incorrect understanding?
Self-absorbed dun whorehouse
  09/19/18
I'm just joking around man, but technically the House is &qu...
Coiffed gaped chapel
  09/19/18
Lol what?
Self-absorbed dun whorehouse
  09/19/18
Technically, that’s completely wrong
Canary Contagious Macaca Parlour
  09/19/18
Ha ha I'm just joking around guys, but *technically* (makes ...
Soul-stirring plaza
  09/19/18
Grow a beard
Disturbing multi-colored church building
  09/19/18
...
Canary Contagious Macaca Parlour
  09/20/18
any other esl foreigners out there who'd like to share their...
Razzle filthpig bawdyhouse
  09/19/18
180 sub thread would read again
poppy bateful queen of the night step-uncle's house
  09/20/18
lmfao
ultramarine den affirmative action
  09/20/18
"technically"
Magenta aggressive trump supporter
  09/20/18
...
Canary Contagious Macaca Parlour
  09/19/18
"The United States Congress is the bicameral legislatur...
Soul-stirring plaza
  09/19/18
can't believe we've come to this.
Hairraiser Purple Location Pistol
  09/20/18
Hey! This is law bort!
Magenta aggressive trump supporter
  09/20/18
Do you?
Magenta aggressive trump supporter
  09/20/18
He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the s...
zombie-like trust fund business firm
  09/19/18
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM Author: Dickey Simpkins ...
jade violent selfie old irish cottage
  09/19/18
Cons will never listen to this. Also silver gave trump a...
Topaz Trip Locale Mental Disorder
  09/20/18
Cons: Not understanding how probability works
sick odious base
  09/20/18
Lmao stats are for libfaggots faggot
Topaz Trip Locale Mental Disorder
  09/20/18
...
sick odious base
  09/20/18
...
Magenta aggressive trump supporter
  09/20/18
His model had Trump at nearly 30 percent and he was getting ...
Magenta aggressive trump supporter
  09/20/18
Libs were going INSANE on him.
Topaz Trip Locale Mental Disorder
  09/20/18
days without jewish tricks: 0
Slap-happy Newt
  09/19/18
Lol at all this emphasis on an imaginary national popular vo...
bespoke goyim internal respiration
  09/20/18
What about when you adjust for the 5-10% of voters who choos...
Provocative Property Blood Rage
  09/20/18
This is probably a figment of your imagination
Topaz Trip Locale Mental Disorder
  09/20/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 AM
Author: jade violent selfie old irish cottage

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/?ex_cid=rrpromo

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838246)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM
Author: Maniacal obsidian hairy legs

This seems too low.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:14 AM
Author: jade violent selfie old irish cottage

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM

Author: Mark Wohlers

This seems too low.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838272)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 AM
Author: Yapping marketing idea

LOL@ incorporating data going back to 1926 to calculate your "average." That shit been red since the 90s. The only way it comes out blue on "average" is of you reach back another 70 years LJL

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838262)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:15 AM
Author: jade violent selfie old irish cottage



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838274)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: Coiffed gaped chapel

data seems skewed right?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840795)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 12:54 PM
Author: jade violent selfie old irish cottage



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840739)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 12:58 PM
Author: Coiffed gaped chapel

What is the actual percentage?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840774)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:00 PM
Author: Self-absorbed dun whorehouse

Believe that says House, brother. And thats probably right.

Senate, GOP is 70% favorite.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840785)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: Coiffed gaped chapel

(guy who doesn't know what "Congress" means)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840790)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: Self-absorbed dun whorehouse

I wouldn't call it "taking congress" like OP unless they take both houses of congress.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840794)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:02 PM
Author: Coiffed gaped chapel

Are you suggesting we should all adopt your incorrect understanding of the word?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840803)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:03 PM
Author: Self-absorbed dun whorehouse

Explain how I have incorrect understanding?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840809)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: Coiffed gaped chapel

I'm just joking around man, but technically the House is "Congress" and the Senate is the Senate.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840815)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: Self-absorbed dun whorehouse

Lol what?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840819)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:05 PM
Author: Canary Contagious Macaca Parlour

Technically, that’s completely wrong

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840825)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: Soul-stirring plaza

Ha ha I'm just joking around guys, but *technically* (makes shit up)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840830)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: Disturbing multi-colored church building

Grow a beard

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840831)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 12:36 AM
Author: Canary Contagious Macaca Parlour



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846400)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:37 PM
Author: Razzle filthpig bawdyhouse

any other esl foreigners out there who'd like to share their understanding of american poritics with the bort?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36841047)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 4:53 AM
Author: poppy bateful queen of the night step-uncle's house

180 sub thread would read again

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846930)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:35 AM
Author: ultramarine den affirmative action

lmfao

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847006)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: Magenta aggressive trump supporter

"technically"

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847041)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: Canary Contagious Macaca Parlour



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840817)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: Soul-stirring plaza

"The United States Congress is the bicameral legislature of the Federal government of the United States. The legislature consists of two chambers: the House of Representatives and the Senate."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Congress

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840828)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 4:55 AM
Author: Hairraiser Purple Location Pistol

can't believe we've come to this.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846931)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: Magenta aggressive trump supporter

Hey! This is law bort!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847042)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: Magenta aggressive trump supporter

Do you?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847040)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM
Author: zombie-like trust fund business firm

He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.

His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840839)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:29 PM
Author: jade violent selfie old irish cottage

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM

Author: Dickey Simpkins

He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.

His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840839)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840986)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:40 AM
Author: Topaz Trip Locale Mental Disorder

Cons will never listen to this.

Also silver gave trump a 35% chance and wrote an article two days before about how overconfident the media was.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-dont-ignore-the-polls-clinton-leads-but-its-a-close-race/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847021)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:43 AM
Author: sick odious base

Cons: Not understanding how probability works

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847026)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:44 AM
Author: Topaz Trip Locale Mental Disorder

Lmao stats are for libfaggots faggot

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847028)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:45 AM
Author: sick odious base



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847029)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:57 AM
Author: Magenta aggressive trump supporter



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847047)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:56 AM
Author: Magenta aggressive trump supporter

His model had Trump at nearly 30 percent and he was getting called out hardcore for that before the election.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847045)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:59 AM
Author: Topaz Trip Locale Mental Disorder

Libs were going INSANE on him.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847052)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 PM
Author: Slap-happy Newt

days without jewish tricks: 0

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840863)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 12:38 AM
Author: bespoke goyim internal respiration

Lol at all this emphasis on an imaginary national popular vote

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846412)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 4:49 AM
Author: Provocative Property Blood Rage

What about when you adjust for the 5-10% of voters who choose not to tell their rabid shitlib pollsters that they'll be voting for pro-TRUMP candidates

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846927)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:41 AM
Author: Topaz Trip Locale Mental Disorder

This is probably a figment of your imagination

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847024)