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LOL, Nate Silver, never not DONE HERE, says 80% chance libs will take Congress

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-f...
soul-stirring bearded parlor
  09/19/18
This seems too low.
comical set
  09/19/18
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM Author: Mark Wohlers ...
soul-stirring bearded parlor
  09/19/18
LOL@ incorporating data going back to 1926 to calculate your...
vibrant church
  09/19/18
...
soul-stirring bearded parlor
  09/19/18
data seems skewed right?
Aphrodisiac onyx space
  09/19/18
...
soul-stirring bearded parlor
  09/19/18
What is the actual percentage?
Aphrodisiac onyx space
  09/19/18
Believe that says House, brother. And thats probably right....
Poppy lettuce house
  09/19/18
(guy who doesn't know what "Congress" means)
Aphrodisiac onyx space
  09/19/18
I wouldn't call it "taking congress" like OP unles...
Poppy lettuce house
  09/19/18
Are you suggesting we should all adopt your incorrect unders...
Aphrodisiac onyx space
  09/19/18
Explain how I have incorrect understanding?
Poppy lettuce house
  09/19/18
I'm just joking around man, but technically the House is &qu...
Aphrodisiac onyx space
  09/19/18
Lol what?
Poppy lettuce house
  09/19/18
Technically, that’s completely wrong
Mustard brunch
  09/19/18
Ha ha I'm just joking around guys, but *technically* (makes ...
costumed stage
  09/19/18
Grow a beard
sinister school roommate
  09/19/18
...
Mustard brunch
  09/20/18
any other esl foreigners out there who'd like to share their...
alcoholic mediation indian lodge
  09/19/18
180 sub thread would read again
Violent talented travel guidebook blood rage
  09/20/18
lmfao
Vivacious giraffe
  09/20/18
"technically"
irradiated crawly lodge
  09/20/18
...
Mustard brunch
  09/19/18
"The United States Congress is the bicameral legislatur...
costumed stage
  09/19/18
can't believe we've come to this.
Deep tank
  09/20/18
Hey! This is law bort!
irradiated crawly lodge
  09/20/18
Do you?
irradiated crawly lodge
  09/20/18
He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the s...
Hairraiser umber cruise ship cuckoldry
  09/19/18
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM Author: Dickey Simpkins ...
soul-stirring bearded parlor
  09/19/18
Cons will never listen to this. Also silver gave trump a...
jet 180 sanctuary feces
  09/20/18
Cons: Not understanding how probability works
diverse olive step-uncle's house pisswyrm
  09/20/18
Lmao stats are for libfaggots faggot
jet 180 sanctuary feces
  09/20/18
...
diverse olive step-uncle's house pisswyrm
  09/20/18
...
irradiated crawly lodge
  09/20/18
His model had Trump at nearly 30 percent and he was getting ...
irradiated crawly lodge
  09/20/18
Libs were going INSANE on him.
jet 180 sanctuary feces
  09/20/18
days without jewish tricks: 0
Bespoke Azure Sound Barrier Twinkling Uncleanness
  09/19/18
Lol at all this emphasis on an imaginary national popular vo...
Topaz pit place of business
  09/20/18
What about when you adjust for the 5-10% of voters who choos...
Dead lascivious locale striped hyena
  09/20/18
This is probably a figment of your imagination
jet 180 sanctuary feces
  09/20/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 AM
Author: soul-stirring bearded parlor

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/?ex_cid=rrpromo

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838246)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM
Author: comical set

This seems too low.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:14 AM
Author: soul-stirring bearded parlor

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM

Author: Mark Wohlers

This seems too low.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838272)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 AM
Author: vibrant church

LOL@ incorporating data going back to 1926 to calculate your "average." That shit been red since the 90s. The only way it comes out blue on "average" is of you reach back another 70 years LJL

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838262)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:15 AM
Author: soul-stirring bearded parlor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838274)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: Aphrodisiac onyx space

data seems skewed right?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840795)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 12:54 PM
Author: soul-stirring bearded parlor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840739)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 12:58 PM
Author: Aphrodisiac onyx space

What is the actual percentage?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840774)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:00 PM
Author: Poppy lettuce house

Believe that says House, brother. And thats probably right.

Senate, GOP is 70% favorite.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840785)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: Aphrodisiac onyx space

(guy who doesn't know what "Congress" means)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840790)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: Poppy lettuce house

I wouldn't call it "taking congress" like OP unless they take both houses of congress.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840794)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:02 PM
Author: Aphrodisiac onyx space

Are you suggesting we should all adopt your incorrect understanding of the word?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840803)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:03 PM
Author: Poppy lettuce house

Explain how I have incorrect understanding?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840809)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: Aphrodisiac onyx space

I'm just joking around man, but technically the House is "Congress" and the Senate is the Senate.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840815)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: Poppy lettuce house

Lol what?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840819)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:05 PM
Author: Mustard brunch

Technically, that’s completely wrong

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840825)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: costumed stage

Ha ha I'm just joking around guys, but *technically* (makes shit up)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840830)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: sinister school roommate

Grow a beard

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840831)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 12:36 AM
Author: Mustard brunch



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846400)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:37 PM
Author: alcoholic mediation indian lodge

any other esl foreigners out there who'd like to share their understanding of american poritics with the bort?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36841047)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 4:53 AM
Author: Violent talented travel guidebook blood rage

180 sub thread would read again

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846930)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:35 AM
Author: Vivacious giraffe

lmfao

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847006)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: irradiated crawly lodge

"technically"

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847041)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: Mustard brunch



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840817)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: costumed stage

"The United States Congress is the bicameral legislature of the Federal government of the United States. The legislature consists of two chambers: the House of Representatives and the Senate."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Congress

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840828)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 4:55 AM
Author: Deep tank

can't believe we've come to this.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846931)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: irradiated crawly lodge

Hey! This is law bort!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847042)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: irradiated crawly lodge

Do you?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847040)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM
Author: Hairraiser umber cruise ship cuckoldry

He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.

His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840839)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:29 PM
Author: soul-stirring bearded parlor

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM

Author: Dickey Simpkins

He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.

His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840839)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840986)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:40 AM
Author: jet 180 sanctuary feces

Cons will never listen to this.

Also silver gave trump a 35% chance and wrote an article two days before about how overconfident the media was.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-dont-ignore-the-polls-clinton-leads-but-its-a-close-race/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847021)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:43 AM
Author: diverse olive step-uncle's house pisswyrm

Cons: Not understanding how probability works

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847026)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:44 AM
Author: jet 180 sanctuary feces

Lmao stats are for libfaggots faggot

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847028)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:45 AM
Author: diverse olive step-uncle's house pisswyrm



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847029)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:57 AM
Author: irradiated crawly lodge



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847047)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:56 AM
Author: irradiated crawly lodge

His model had Trump at nearly 30 percent and he was getting called out hardcore for that before the election.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847045)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:59 AM
Author: jet 180 sanctuary feces

Libs were going INSANE on him.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847052)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 PM
Author: Bespoke Azure Sound Barrier Twinkling Uncleanness

days without jewish tricks: 0

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840863)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 12:38 AM
Author: Topaz pit place of business

Lol at all this emphasis on an imaginary national popular vote

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846412)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 4:49 AM
Author: Dead lascivious locale striped hyena

What about when you adjust for the 5-10% of voters who choose not to tell their rabid shitlib pollsters that they'll be voting for pro-TRUMP candidates

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846927)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:41 AM
Author: jet 180 sanctuary feces

This is probably a figment of your imagination

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847024)