\
  The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
BackRefresh Options Favorite

ITT you try to explain confidence intervals and I pedantically ridicule you for

... your pathetic layman's knowledge of statistics. What ...
Vengeful menage
  02/17/19
a lot of times this idea gets muddled for people because the...
mint chapel mediation
  02/17/19
Psshh, retard. You have no fucking idea what you are talking...
Vengeful menage
  02/17/19
Good poast moniker synergy
Razzmatazz house quadroon
  02/19/19
idk why would i remember any of that faggy nerd shit i could...
Ruby floppy hall giraffe
  02/17/19
No you couldn't, bird-brain.
Vengeful menage
  02/18/19
youre right it would probably take me 5 minutes but yeah...
Ruby floppy hall giraffe
  02/18/19
Bro, you didn't go further than Algebra II
Vengeful menage
  02/19/19
Observed phenomenon is due to chance and does not represent ...
sienna wonderful knife
  02/18/19
Lol, no. Read a textbook, you innumerate retard.
Vengeful menage
  02/19/19
Uchicago profs sure are stupid huh https://galton.uchicago.e...
sienna wonderful knife
  02/19/19
Delete your account, retard.
Vengeful menage
  02/22/19
You’re actually wrong. You sound like you’re in ...
sienna wonderful knife
  02/23/19
Lol, holy shit an **ECON TUTOR**. Wow, that's a super-comple...
Vengeful menage
  03/09/19
they're basically derivatives of zeno's paradox in several o...
Histrionic narrow-minded garrison
  02/19/19
lol, no.
Vengeful menage
  02/22/19
as the number of samplings of the population increases, the ...
hateful lemon kitty address
  02/19/19
Read. A. Textbook.
Vengeful menage
  02/22/19
I got it right, you ape.
hateful lemon kitty address
  02/23/19
No you didn't
Vengeful menage
  03/09/19
What does it mean when we say that a candidate will get 51% ...
Cheese-eating motley center foreskin
  02/22/19
Wrong.
Vengeful menage
  03/09/19
You're 95% certain that the vote will fall between 50% and 5...
buff principal's office reading party
  02/22/19
Completely inaccurate.
Vengeful menage
  03/09/19


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: February 17th, 2019 5:38 PM
Author: Vengeful menage

... your pathetic layman's knowledge of statistics.

What does it mean when we say that a candidate will get 51% of the vote +/- 1% with a 95% confidence interval?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4203709&forum_id=2#37798274)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 17th, 2019 5:50 PM
Author: mint chapel mediation

a lot of times this idea gets muddled for people because there is some machinery that has to be in place to fully get it.

you need the idea of a known or assumed probability distribution of outcomes (both the distribution for a single trial and the sampling distribution). the idea of success or failure as a binary event based on a subset of the outcomes. and finally the idea that randomness will mean that in some cases what is true will not be observed.

the p value gets at the point that, if a distribution is assumed for individual trials, the observed outcome would only be observed in p proportion of experiments, which is itself a collection of trials. it is a measure of how unlikely the observed outcome is with respect to the reference distribution.

confidence intervals are related to this idea and define an expected range of values that correspond to a given p value or confidence level.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4203709&forum_id=2#37798332)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 17th, 2019 11:38 PM
Author: Vengeful menage

Psshh, retard. You have no fucking idea what you are talking about.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4203709&forum_id=2#37799975)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 19th, 2019 9:43 PM
Author: Razzmatazz house quadroon

Good poast moniker synergy

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4203709&forum_id=2#37810958)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 17th, 2019 11:39 PM
Author: Ruby floppy hall giraffe

idk why would i remember any of that faggy nerd shit i could just read it over on wikipedia in 10 minutes

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4203709&forum_id=2#37799982)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 18th, 2019 12:00 AM
Author: Vengeful menage

No you couldn't, bird-brain.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4203709&forum_id=2#37800046)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 18th, 2019 12:19 AM
Author: Ruby floppy hall giraffe

youre right it would probably take me 5 minutes

but yeah congrats on getting an A- in intro to stats you navel-gazing chink lol

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4203709&forum_id=2#37800097)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 19th, 2019 9:39 PM
Author: Vengeful menage

Bro, you didn't go further than Algebra II

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4203709&forum_id=2#37810941)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 18th, 2019 12:22 AM
Author: sienna wonderful knife

Observed phenomenon is due to chance and does not represent the underlying structure 5 times out of 100

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4203709&forum_id=2#37800107)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 19th, 2019 9:39 PM
Author: Vengeful menage

Lol, no. Read a textbook, you innumerate retard.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4203709&forum_id=2#37810940)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 19th, 2019 9:41 PM
Author: sienna wonderful knife

Uchicago profs sure are stupid huh https://galton.uchicago.edu/~thisted/Distribute/pvalue.pdf

By the way this “ridicule” of yours isn’t the least bit pedantic. Were you a psychology major who eeked through stat 100?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4203709&forum_id=2#37810948)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 22nd, 2019 11:39 PM
Author: Vengeful menage

Delete your account, retard.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4203709&forum_id=2#37829191)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 23rd, 2019 8:53 AM
Author: sienna wonderful knife

You’re actually wrong. You sound like you’re in college and are struggling to understand basic statistical concepts. I was an economics tutor in colleg so if you want help let me know.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4203709&forum_id=2#37830281)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 9th, 2019 1:13 PM
Author: Vengeful menage

Lol, holy shit an **ECON TUTOR**. Wow, that's a super-complex academic discipline basically on par with any other field in math or science.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4203709&forum_id=2#37903790)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 19th, 2019 9:42 PM
Author: Histrionic narrow-minded garrison

they're basically derivatives of zeno's paradox in several orders.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4203709&forum_id=2#37810957)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 22nd, 2019 11:39 PM
Author: Vengeful menage

lol, no.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4203709&forum_id=2#37829192)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 19th, 2019 9:44 PM
Author: hateful lemon kitty address

as the number of samplings of the population increases, the expected percentage of those samplings with mean between 50% and 52% approaches 95%.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4203709&forum_id=2#37810966)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 22nd, 2019 11:39 PM
Author: Vengeful menage

Read. A. Textbook.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4203709&forum_id=2#37829194)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 23rd, 2019 4:36 PM
Author: hateful lemon kitty address

I got it right, you ape.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4203709&forum_id=2#37831939)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 9th, 2019 1:12 PM
Author: Vengeful menage

No you didn't

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4203709&forum_id=2#37903786)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 22nd, 2019 11:46 PM
Author: Cheese-eating motley center foreskin

What does it mean when we say that a candidate will get 51% of the vote +/- 1% with a 95% confidence interval?

i had a good prof explain it to me a long time ago. it means the true value of the experiment will be within the interval of 50 to 52 percent 19 out of 20 times that we had ran the experiment. in other words, we will have captured the true value to within 1 percentage point 95 percent of the time we ran this experiment, so its very likely.. ie 95 percent likely, ie VERY LIKELY, that the value lies between 50 and 52 percent. there is a 5 percent chance though that the we fucked up and the value is not between 50 and 52. thats called the error margin, ie 5 percent.

or no wait, its something about being the sampling distribution being close to the real distribution.. i dunno, this shit is confusing.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4203709&forum_id=2#37829240)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 9th, 2019 1:12 PM
Author: Vengeful menage

Wrong.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4203709&forum_id=2#37903787)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 22nd, 2019 11:55 PM
Author: buff principal's office reading party

You're 95% certain that the vote will fall between 50% and 52% based on your sample size and standard deviation. A larger sample size and/or smaller standard deviation in your sample would allow you to predict at higher confidence levels (for example 99%) or tighten the interval (for example 50.5%-51.5% at 95% confidence). The reverse is true as well.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4203709&forum_id=2#37829290)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 9th, 2019 1:12 PM
Author: Vengeful menage

Completely inaccurate.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4203709&forum_id=2#37903788)