"Reopenings" Are Totally Arbitrary Frauds. Either Lockdown Is Good, Or It's Bad
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Date: May 27th, 2020 1:52 AM Author: mewling station
these "reopenings" have nothing to do with any scientific data/evidence that we're less at risk, and they're entirely political decisions by the elites that people have had enough of them and they'll hurt their re-election chances by crippling the economy.
given that the virus threat hasnt actually changed one bit, either:
1) the lockdowns were good in the first place, and they should still remain, or
2) the lockdowns were dumb in the first place, and should never have happened.
is there any principled position to justify 2.5 months of lockdowns and then reopening now? i dont think so
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4542996&forum_id=2#40283052) |
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Date: May 27th, 2020 3:16 AM Author: narrow-minded smoky laser beams factory reset button
I waited tables for 3.5 years off and on late HS/college. I have some concept of the restaurant business and how that industry makes money.
I said I could understand *guidelines* for *some* *temporary* reduction in one specific type of volume restaurant setup where tables are packed very close together. I never said anything like hurr durr all restaurants should just do be profitable again on 75% less business than they were set up for.
mostly I worked at a fairly nice steakhouse (non-chain but doing the same kind of schtick as Ruths Chris, maybe a tiny bit less pricy) where the tables and booths tended to be large and spacing was generous, and wouldn't see anything wrong at all with them recapturing as much of their bignight capacity as there's demand for. but even given total free reign and zero guidelines I think it would be tough for restaurants whose schtick was elbow-to-elbow seating in a packed urban setting to reclaim the kind of business they were doing back in January because customers just won't have much appetite for those places the next few months. they're going have to adjust their layout or pivot towards take away regardless. restauranting is a tough racket in good times, and some of them may have to fold so that someone more innovative has a shot to figure out what the highest and best use of those types of properties is a post Covid economy.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4542996&forum_id=2#40283232) |
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Date: May 27th, 2020 5:34 AM Author: narrow-minded smoky laser beams factory reset button
okay, okay. I'm not familiar with all the reopening red tape, particularly wrt NE states so gif there are cities/states that are only allowing restaurants to reopen in a counterproductive value destructive way, as you intimate, then that's dumb AF.
but if it's simply unsafe to reopen certain kinds of service business or if, as I suspect, there would be only lukewarm demand for certain restaurant/business 'setups' that heretofore made high volume of patrons per sq/ft of floorspace a central part of their concept, there can still be value in them partially reopening. it doesn't do the restaurant owner, or the employees, or the PE firm that developed the space or the bank holding the PE firm's mortgage for the properties to simply lay dormant and it also wipes out any multiplicative benefits the economy could realize from 40% patronage of a formerly crowded restaurant, as would-be diners stay home instead of visiting additional bars, shops, and businesses before or after dinner. I get that unemployment spending is part of necessary stimulus spending ITE, but to the extent possible I'd much rather channel it in such a way that instead of just paying out on the dole we encourage businesses to reopen, even if for a time it's unsustainable on a strictly ledger basis, and direct stimulus funds to wherever they're needed somewhere in the chain of operator>landlord>developer>mortgage holder until the right stakeholder guts a temporary haircut that allows the business to reopen even if in a half-cocked format, as that restores some sense of normalcy, consumer confidence, and invites those secondary capital effects rather than leaving the property a bomed out smoldering hole in the ground.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4542996&forum_id=2#40283375) |
Date: May 27th, 2020 2:13 AM Author: misanthropic idea he suggested gaping
In hindsight, no, the shut down wasn't worth it. Sweden got it right. But hindsight is 20/20.
Remember in March, we had little reliable information about the virus and there were a lot of unknowns; it wasn't unreasonable to have erred on the side of caution at that time.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4542996&forum_id=2#40283118)
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Date: May 27th, 2020 4:35 AM Author: narrow-minded smoky laser beams factory reset button
no argument from me as to the utter TTT level of discourse throughout are country.
I think that covering the pandemic has significantly exacerbated the already abysmal level of journalism seen in the modern 24hr newscycle. back in January, even if you despised CNN as much as someone like me does, you could take a half step back and appreciate that over 40 years of doing their schtick they'd learned to steadily execute a well-enough packaged product that was fairly consistent and tended to come out the oven looking more-or-less like what they had intended to bake. they studied their viewership and learned to deliver the customer's desired mix of apolitical event-driven coverage of planes crashing/earths quaking/kittens in trees etc, politically tinted event-driven coverage of cabinet revolving door, trade negotiations, whatever, and unhinged TDS editorializing from their primetime commentators.
it was never really journalism for the benefit of viewers who wanted to BE informed, but slickly packaged kind-of-looks-like journalism for 90 IQ viewers who want to FEEL informed. FOX baked up a similar product flavored for the tastes of their viewers. a full day of their coverage never had half as much information as you'd find in a 8,000 word article in the New Yorker or FT The Economist going in-depth on diamond mining or the long term impact of new mineral extraction techniques on the global energy market or something, but occasionally they'd interview the people who wrote those types of articles for 5 min if they had a new book out or something.
but because of the rona the 24hr news cycle suddenly had ONE | STORY and unlike the few other examples of ONE | STORY situations they were adept enough at covering, say a war or 9/11 breaking out, this one involved specialized knowledge in fields like epidemiology and things approximating closely enough to right and wrong answers so that 90 IQ dullards like Wolf Blitzer got exposed to their viewers as nakedly seeming full retard when someone mashes their nose in their own mess by juxtaposing their MASKS BAD | MASKS NOW! minor curiosity developing in china but experts say no worse than flu | DRUMPF KILLING 100K flip flopping coverage.
I think journalists were and are full-on Yosemite Sam fuming MAF at the way these naked flip flops and their consistent inability understand and report intelligently on term-of-art concepts like contact tracing or herd immunity has seriously put the the sober and erudite adults-in-the-room image of themselves they thought they'd successfully cultivated for themselves during the past three years, when they'd never been challenged to develop any depth or breadth in covering a complicated substantive topic, or really do anything more difficult than think up slight variations of spin in reciting an Orange Man Bad script that was largely pre-written for them. that and the requirement they've also been cultivating the last three years (or perhaps much longer) that every breaking story have a good/bad/winners/losers political Angle forced them to double down on directionalizing every story past the point of absurdity to where there's unironic reference in coverage of Georgia;s reopening to 'Human Sacrifice,' and people wanting to party at the pool or the beach like they have every other Memorial Day are monsters that need to be legislatively expunged from society like jews under the Nuremberg laws.
it's just such complete and total fucking flame what a TTT cesspool of shit journalism has become over the past three years and so much moreso the last three months it's horrifying.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4542996&forum_id=2#40283353) |
Date: May 27th, 2020 2:14 AM Author: Pearly floppy pistol
They made total sense when the death rate was pegged at 5%. They fell apart when the numerous serological studies placed it at .1%, off by a factor of 50 and that basically every death was extremely old or unhealthy.
At this point, It became clear not only that the lockdowns were a failure, but that we should have been pumping billions into nursing homes on an insane lockdown protocol and had instead murdered these people by not focusing on their health and many times admitting covid people around them.
Now, you are a politician, there is no coming clean to this. Virus scary and blaring out 100k deaths is your only viable path. Deep down even the lib governors know there should be a full reopening with distancing encouraged coupled with a military style lockdown of nursing homes until the vaccine, except you can’t do that, because it acknowledges your failings.
As a result we have this chaos and a bunch of people irrationally scared out of their minds or not nearly scared enough. The craziest part is that there is a correlation between virus fear and young age. Whole thing is just out of hand and people aren’t ready for the narrative shift.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4542996&forum_id=2#40283122) |
Date: May 27th, 2020 2:34 AM Author: emerald swollen corner
if you had perfect foresight, the best plan (other than just closing borders and preventing all incoming vectors in the first place) would be to strongly isolate the at-risk population in nursing homes etc., and maybe lock down for two weeks in order to slow the spread among middle-age adults, then use practical measures like social distancing and N-95 masks to further control the spread
without perfect foresight, however, we had no idea what was going on and what the mortality rate was. there were no masks whatsoever and no one was used to social distancing. if we had not locked down initially, it's plausible that NYC -- which got bad but was not overwhelmed -- would actually have been overwhelmed and caused the nation to panic and to go into an unnecessary and prolonged lockdown
the fact that the nation panicked and went into a prolonged lockdown anyway just reflects the retarded politicization of the bat flu
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4542996&forum_id=2#40283160)
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Date: May 27th, 2020 2:46 AM Author: Pearly floppy pistol
Everyone harps too much on the lockdowns being dumb for the general pop and not enough on the fact that we did nothing for seniors and in some way increased the danger in our response.
One tough aspect of this whole thing is staring soberly at the fact that we put seniors in nursing homes, which are depressive scummy death traps which are essentially the trash bin for our elderly.
Our society generally treats the 80 plus elderly like absolute trash and it’s an unwriten rule that we just all disregard these people and throw them away like garbage. We also keep them alive in physical or mental condition that is undignified. We are unwilling to have a mature conversation on what to do with these people and when is the right time to go. We all just want to throw them away and ignore them because we are too scared to face our own mortality. More than anything, I think it’s time to actually address these societal issues.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4542996&forum_id=2#40283177) |
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Date: May 27th, 2020 3:31 AM Author: Hot doctorate cuckold
It still ends up being pretty damn hard from a lot of angles.
The staffing ratio in old person facilities is pretty fucking huge. There's a reason why long term care costs as much as it does, and it's not because the operators of these places are completely balling out of control.
Also, the PPE shortage is real. My sister is a hospital pharmacist in a fairly bougie locale and has yet to wear an N95.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4542996&forum_id=2#40283261) |
Date: May 27th, 2020 8:25 PM Author: outnumbered cordovan mediation native
I posted this a bunch when virusbadmos kept pushing to extend the lockdown. There was never any difference between opening back up in May vs June vs October.
There was a plausible argument that during the beginning of the lockdown we needed to "flatten the curve" and/or assess the nature of the virus. This was a bit of a weak argument given that we new back in March the death rate was 0.6 max.
But once it became clear that the hospitals would not be overwhelmed and the virus was not that deadly, there was really only 2 camps a smart person could be in - either we open things up, or we stay huddled in our houses until a vaccine came in 2021.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4542996&forum_id=2#40288591) |
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