What could explain an increase in homicides? Some experts have cited the protests over the police killings of George Floyd and others — which could’ve had a range of effects, from officers pulling back from their duties to greater community distrust in police, leading to more unchecked violence. Others point to the bad economy. Another potential factor is a huge increase in gun purchases this year. Still others posit boredom and social displacement as a result of physical distancing leading people to cause more trouble.

Above all, though, experts caution it’s simply been a very unusual year with the coronavirus pandemic. That makes it difficult to say what, exactly, is happening with crime rates. “The current year, 2020, is an extreme deviation from baseline — extreme,” Tracey Meares, founding director at the Justice Collaboratory at Yale Law School, told me.

Even a Yale Law Collaborator is stumped! Very unusual!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4599271&forum_id=2#40719414)

Cause and effect: would the Floyd protests be so bad if Coronavirus had not already locked down the economy and forced everyone to stay home?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4599271&forum_id=2#40719418)

very SCHOLAR

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4599271&forum_id=2#40719474)

“Briefly stated, the Gell-Mann Amnesia effect is as follows. You open the newspaper to an article on some subject you know well. In Murray's case, physics. In mine, show business. You read the article and see the journalist has absolutely no understanding of either the facts or the issues. Often, the article is so wrong it actually presents the story backward—reversing cause and effect. I call these the "wet streets cause rain" stories. Paper's full of them."

Vox: "Another potential factor is a huge increase in gun purchases this year."

Vox: "Wet streets cause rain."

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4599271&forum_id=2#40719537)

Vox: "Wet streets potentially cause rain!"

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4599271&forum_id=2#40719567)

"…in order for [shitlibs, etc.] to continue their illogical belief systems they have to pretend not to know a lot of things."

Vox can explain anything except for things that are obviously awful for libs -- in which case they pretend not to know what's obvious. That's when you get those "it's complicated" articles.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4599271&forum_id=2#40719608)