Sadly Russia is just stronger than Ukraine in broad-front battles
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Date: May 24th, 2022 11:12 PM Author: violet crusty nursing home haunted graveyard
At Kiev, Ukraine could rely on the fact that the Russian convoys had to travel that single road. When it's just a broad-front campaign like in the Donbas, the Russian superiority in artillery, etc apparently can't be overcome.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5116221&forum_id=2#44568668)
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Date: May 24th, 2022 11:14 PM Author: flirting drab crackhouse
they have more ammo, but they are not better at arty
as more M777s arrive at the front this advantage will be degraded by the superior range
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5116221&forum_id=2#44568677) |
Date: May 25th, 2022 10:10 AM Author: umber clown
if UKR can mount a wide ranging counter offensive by mid July based on mobilization RF will be done here, if not, UKR will be done here (kind of).
there is good reason for RF to push as much as possible before UKR's supposed mobilized force is ready.
this push is costly, and looking at maps, its a tiny encirclement attempt based on prior efforts.
the world holds its breath.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5116221&forum_id=2#44570159) |
Date: May 25th, 2022 10:23 AM Author: boyish aqua lay
Why it is sad?
Why should I care about a bunch of Slavs fighting each other?
Why should anyone?
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5116221&forum_id=2#44570241) |
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Date: May 25th, 2022 12:47 PM Author: exhilarant step-uncle's house
sure. russia will take all of eastern and southern ukraine, going as slowly as they need to in order to maximize their artillery advantage (which is also beneficial because the US media doesn't have the attention span to follow slow grinds). this prediction assumes (1) the US decides not to start ww3 by getting directly involved (which they might do, being led by jews, homosexuals and women) and (2) it is subject to putin not backing down and settling only for the donbass, which is POSSIBLE because of how poorly he handled the CIA backed maiden revolution and his endless giving into the west (i.e. his failure to take Kharkiv or Odessa in 2014 when the population literally begged him to enter, and his willingness to let ukraine shell the russian controlled donbass for 8 years and 12,000 donbass casualties with no response).
the amount of US "aid" to ukraine (which is really 90% graft back to US politicians and defense contractors and supplying ukraine with shitty, outdated equipment) is not a significant factor in this analysis, nor is the amount of conscripts ukraine raises to send to their deaths.
i assume poland and hungary will take western ukraine, but it's not a sure thing. russia could try to take western ukraine, or more realistically just leave it as a landlocked rump state and just shell it indefinitely.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5116221&forum_id=2#44571231) |
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