GO ON THE RECORD: WILL TRUMP BE PRESIDENT IN 2025?
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Date: May 9th, 2024 12:04 PM Author: Carnelian cruise ship
I'm in a similar boat.
I grew up in Europe partially. I can only go by my personal opinions.
England sucks and is really trashy and most people are genuinely retarded. France is a fine place but it's really boring. I don't think I could ever adjust to a Catholic country. There is something about the culture that is really off putting to Americans if you live there. I can't explain it well but France is a bummer for anything other than vacation.
Germany is extremely insular and the people are off putting. Unless you're from there it's pretty depressing. I'm not the only one that dislikes the Germans. I had an Italian friend who grew up in Stuttgart and he never got on with the Krauts. They're super weird.
The French aren't weird they're just lazy Catholics and NO ONE has an ounce of motivation. Switzerland is rich and spooky and they have creepy rituals and everyone is a globalist. Same with Belgium. Everyone in Belgium is like dcpoast.
Spain is a festering ttt in decline. I've never been to Holland but it seems cr. They're language sounds atrocious but the Dutch seem pretty 177. Poland is nice but they never let anyone move there.
Best place in Europe is obviously Scandinavia. It's 180. The whole place is like Vermont. It's just rich white people hanging out working on their hobbies. Sweden is by far the best part. Norway #2. Denmark is fine but also sucks. Everyone from these places has a nerd job like mathematician. Also they all speak English and are protestants. It's 180.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5526792&forum_id=2#47647974)
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Date: May 10th, 2024 10:16 AM Author: Carnelian cruise ship
I am very pro Sweden what can I say.
Also despite being one of the most socially progressive countries in terms of gender equality and all that Sweden also has the most conservative gender roles of any European nation, i.e. most women are giga trads and stick to women shit. Men are expected to make money and women are expected to make the home. Equality is a huge cultural thing over there but in practice women are very submissive. They're also really into riding horses. Horses are a big deal. And you can get a gun if you join a hunting club. It's not completely impossible to get one.
Downside of Sweden: the government owns all the liquor stores and booze is expensive. The joke in Sweden is that everyone pregames and then goes to the bar for 1 drink. Also restaurant service can be slow (no tipping) and there's no air conditioning during the two weeks a year when it's hot in the summer you will be miserable. But this is everywhere in Europe.
Also all the major cities are flooded with third world mud people. You have to go to the countryside to see the tall beautiful Nordic blonde people. Stockholm is particularly egregious with the mudfolk. Everything wrong with Sweden is embodied by the far left cultural elites in Stockholm and you will routinely see a tall blonde Nordic Chad walking around with a jet black Congo negress and a bunch of mixed kids. The coastal elites absolutely love the thought of destroying their genetic lineage. However, right now the rural areas are die hard MAGA types (their party is called Sweden Democrats) and the suburbs are like Dallas suburb neocon types. So right now they have a coalition where the neocons are in charge but they have to work with the far right. Everyone is sick of the Socialists who were in power for like a century.
A fun fact is there's no concept of conservatism in Sweden because Sweden was never right wing for centuries so they never talk about going back to some prior Sweden buy advancing right wing politics is like some political experiment no one has tried before. It's 180.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5526792&forum_id=2#47650317) |
Date: May 9th, 2024 11:12 AM Author: big slap-happy public bath
i think biden will win, but barely. there will be lots of allegations of fuckery and perhaps some riots.
either way, i feel like it'll be close af like it has been the last couple times.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5526792&forum_id=2#47647754) |
Date: May 9th, 2024 11:26 AM Author: Bonkers ultramarine striped hyena
"we"??
ur the fucking great satan and i want no part of a "we" with fags like you
DEATH TO AMERICA
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5526792&forum_id=2#47647814) |
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Date: May 9th, 2024 12:49 PM Author: frum elastic band property
Jewish power is the sole reason he may be allowed to "win".
Most likely at this point is polls will shift massively in secomd half of 2024 as the israel shot dies down and shitlib protest energy is channelled into something else (tbd).
Biden will win az, pa, mich etc by .25%.
Cons will riot a la j6 which will be used to brutally suppress the populist movement going forward.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5526792&forum_id=2#47648175) |
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Date: May 9th, 2024 3:07 PM Author: frum elastic band property
I dont think jewish power is a monolith.
Trumps kowtowing to israel was purposeful. He was shocked when bibi didnt come out supporting him. This is because trump is kind of an idiot. But hes smart enough to know you wont be elected for anything in this country without jewish lobby support.
Necessary but not sufficient condition. Theres an element within the israel lobby that likes trump cuz of his ass kissing and the embassy shit. Its a minority position.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5526792&forum_id=2#47648668) |
Date: May 9th, 2024 1:59 PM Author: light hairraiser parlor affirmative action
Trump likely loses. Nearly all the people who will decide this election, like over 80% of the actual persuadable voters, will still tell you today that they don’t believe it will be Trump v Biden. Many of these people won’t vote, as is true of a very large chunk of partisans on both sides, though Trump’s loss of partisans is likely to be bigger, especially if he is convicted in NY. But no excuse mail in voting means that the GOP candidate has to get pretty close to 75M votes and the Dem has to get close to 80M. They will both likely fall short of those numbers, but Trump’s campaign is starting with so much less money and infrastructure and will not be able to match the Dems ability to turn out their lower propensity voters.
One other major factor that is still significantly underdiscussed: the social media algorithm change means that roughly a billion fewer pro-Trump messages will make their way to the voters he needs to turn out v the 2020 media environment. This is a massive impediment that any kind of analytics-based view of turn out would highlight. The ability of Trump to tie himself to a motivation for the voter requires omnipresence and repetition/amplification by allies. 90+% of what will be amplified over the next six months will be about his trials and his bitching about the last election. The primary reason he’s not already way behind is that he has strong brand equity on the economy and immigration, but he’s basically spotting the Biden campaign an 80/20 attention share on those issues over the next six months. In an election where turning out low intensity partisans will matter a lot this is a massive problem.
Second underdiscussed major factor: the high likelihood that one of the two candidates produces a gaffe that is extremely damaging, with Biden being an 80/20 favorite on this question. It’s hilarious to me that Biden can give one coked up SOTU speech and the Dems are like “see he’s fine nothing to see here moving on.” If Biden were to glitch out half as bad as McConnell does it would be devastating. And Biden has been a bizarrely low profile POtUS, so the impact of any negative images during the campaign will be magnified, and the public is also broadly bought in to the idea that he’s too old and cognitively impaired, so any gaffe is just walking through a wide open door. Trump has less of a hard-coded stigma wrt his age and cognitive function, but a sufficiently big slip up, eg at the debates, would be very damaging because it will work as a permission structure for his soft partisans to stay home and for Biden’s soft partisans and the persuadables to quiet their own concerns about Biden’s age. It seems like 40% of the likely outcomes of this election are determined by one or the other of the candidates having a major gaffe. And if Biden makes it to Election Day without a major gaffe that is memorable/becomes a shorthand for the entire race (like a POTUS level version of Quayle and potatoe), then he would be a solid favorite and if Trump is convicted or on trial with an empaneled jury in either the January 6th case or the documents case by the fall then Trump becomes a very likely loser.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5526792&forum_id=2#47648416) |
Date: May 9th, 2024 10:07 PM Author: cordovan motley cuckold
Trump is ahead in literally every swing state AND nationally
His lead exists with or without random third party candidates included
Biden is historically unpopular and most people believe he has done a dogshit job
Trump isn't everpresent which means fence-sitters aren't constantly reminded of how much his personality annoys them
Dem-Harvest machine will still drive votes but unlikely it will be as effective as it was in 2020
I expected Trump to lose in both 2016 and (especially, definitely, 100%) in 2020 and he overperformed in both. Biden has been a historically shitty president and was hit with a random chaos-inducing war tailor made to pit his brown horde base against his kike donor backers.
Trump could win a squeaker but an inverse of 2012 seems more likely, with one side coping and UNSKEWing polls and then getting trounced on election day
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5526792&forum_id=2#47649590) |
Date: May 10th, 2024 9:56 AM Author: razzmatazz preventive strike
I am 100%, stone cold, lock certain that Trump will NOT be president on January 1, 2025
staking my entire neck & reputation on this one
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5526792&forum_id=2#47650273) |
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