The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
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The Next Twelve Months of Nate Silver's 538.com Headlines:
| impertinent school cuckold | 12/10/15 |
| odious lettuce home | 12/12/15 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 01/02/17 |
| Mind-boggling insanely creepy community account lodge | 01/06/16 |
| Irate doobsian native party of the first part | 01/06/16 |
| Irate doobsian native party of the first part | 06/05/16 |
| Mildly autistic maize masturbator | 03/26/16 |
| charismatic hideous market generalized bond | 01/02/17 |
| soggy casino | 10/25/18 |
| cocky white scourge upon the earth forum | 12/10/15 |
| Impressive Liquid Oxygen | 12/10/15 |
| Violent motley hominid | 12/10/15 |
| slap-happy red institution turdskin | 12/10/15 |
| frozen black woman faggotry | 12/15/15 |
| Adventurous Lemon Brunch | 12/10/15 |
| Ruddy Crackhouse | 12/10/15 |
| Cordovan jew public bath | 12/10/15 |
| turquoise bat shit crazy field | 12/11/15 |
| Shaky Alcoholic Hell | 12/12/15 |
| Brindle pisswyrm | 12/16/15 |
| black temple | 01/04/16 |
| Splenetic balding regret | 11/09/16 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 12/11/15 |
| passionate gold prole heaven | 12/11/15 |
| Aggressive curious resort bbw | 12/11/15 |
| turquoise bat shit crazy field | 12/11/15 |
| Marvelous Pea-brained Boistinker Dilemma | 12/12/15 |
| cyan school cafeteria sound barrier | 01/25/16 |
| Dark Racy Coffee Pot | 11/10/16 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 12/12/15 |
| Razzle anal tank | 12/12/15 |
| Up-to-no-good useless brakes | 12/12/15 |
| Learning disabled crusty old irish cottage | 12/12/15 |
| razzmatazz famous landscape painting pocket flask | 12/15/15 |
| hairraiser ocher gay wizard | 12/21/15 |
| Histrionic brethren new version | 12/12/15 |
| Chocolate trump supporter | 12/12/15 |
| Exciting primrose clown hall | 12/12/15 |
| Vivacious Box Office | 12/12/15 |
| nudist offensive location ladyboy | 12/12/15 |
| Spectacular Magical Garrison | 12/12/15 |
| Ruddy Crackhouse | 12/15/15 |
| Ruddy Crackhouse | 12/16/15 |
| buff macaca jap | 12/15/15 |
| concupiscible corner french chef | 12/15/15 |
| Talented purple pozpig stage | 12/15/15 |
| self-absorbed titillating degenerate roommate | 12/15/15 |
| Lascivious Yapping Shrine Headpube | 12/15/15 |
| Pearl whorehouse | 12/15/15 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 12/15/15 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 12/15/15 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 12/15/15 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 12/15/15 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 12/15/15 |
| Citrine Indian Lodge | 01/05/16 |
| cyan school cafeteria sound barrier | 01/25/16 |
| Wonderful Locus | 12/17/16 |
| sickened nibblets base | 05/18/16 |
| soul-stirring church mediation | 08/12/16 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 11/09/16 |
| floppy crystalline locale | 11/09/16 |
| saffron exhilarant business firm doctorate | 11/09/16 |
| Provocative alcoholic chapel boiling water | 10/22/20 |
| Bespoke pit | 12/15/15 |
| metal nubile orchestra pit | 12/16/15 |
| Painfully honest people who are hurt foreskin | 12/16/15 |
| pearly rehab rigpig | 12/16/15 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 12/16/15 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 12/17/15 |
| multi-colored dopamine range | 12/18/15 |
| Mind-boggling insanely creepy community account lodge | 01/06/16 |
| cerebral fishy partner | 12/18/15 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 12/21/15 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 12/21/15 |
| hairraiser ocher gay wizard | 12/21/15 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 12/30/15 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 12/30/15 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 01/04/16 |
| black temple | 01/04/16 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 01/05/16 |
| cyan school cafeteria sound barrier | 01/25/16 |
| multi-colored dopamine range | 01/05/16 |
| supple nursing home | 01/05/16 |
| Shimmering Harsh Messiness | 01/05/16 |
| light dead center azn | 01/05/16 |
| heady stage pervert | 01/05/16 |
| light dead center azn | 01/05/16 |
| Mind-boggling insanely creepy community account lodge | 01/06/16 |
| light dead center azn | 01/06/16 |
| heady stage pervert | 01/05/16 |
| soul-stirring church mediation | 01/06/16 |
| hairraiser ocher gay wizard | 01/07/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 01/08/16 |
| Vigorous laser beams tanning salon | 01/08/16 |
| hairraiser ocher gay wizard | 01/08/16 |
| multi-colored dopamine range | 01/09/16 |
| hairraiser ocher gay wizard | 01/10/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 01/18/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 01/19/16 |
| multi-colored dopamine range | 01/21/16 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 01/25/16 |
| apoplectic boyish area potus | 01/25/16 |
| cyan school cafeteria sound barrier | 01/25/16 |
| apoplectic boyish area potus | 02/09/16 |
| Vigorous laser beams tanning salon | 09/06/16 |
| Mind-boggling insanely creepy community account lodge | 11/05/18 |
| Misunderstood Theater Stage | 01/29/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 02/01/16 |
| poppy love of her life | 02/01/16 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 02/01/16 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 02/07/16 |
| supple nursing home | 02/09/16 |
| pink lay | 02/09/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 02/20/16 |
| Big becky pistol | 02/20/16 |
| sickened nibblets base | 02/24/16 |
| Useless Stead Sex Offender | 02/24/16 |
| Mentally impaired address | 02/27/16 |
| buff macaca jap | 03/09/16 |
| wild gunner feces | 03/15/16 |
| Violent motley hominid | 03/15/16 |
| concupiscible corner french chef | 03/16/16 |
| thriller affirmative action piazza | 02/24/16 |
| Amber Nofapping Parlour Private Investor | 02/24/16 |
| concupiscible corner french chef | 07/21/16 |
| Vibrant seedy filthpig ticket booth | 02/24/16 |
| Violent motley hominid | 02/27/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 03/02/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 03/04/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 03/09/16 |
| supple nursing home | 03/09/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 03/15/16 |
| sickened nibblets base | 03/15/16 |
| Beady-eyed flickering organic girlfriend | 03/15/16 |
| arrogant jet sweet tailpipe | 03/15/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 03/16/16 |
| Ruddy Crackhouse | 03/16/16 |
| floppy crystalline locale | 03/23/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 03/23/16 |
| Exciting primrose clown hall | 03/26/16 |
| embarrassed to the bone juggernaut | 03/26/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 03/26/16 |
| Citrine Indian Lodge | 03/28/16 |
| floppy crystalline locale | 03/28/16 |
| Impressive Liquid Oxygen | 03/28/16 |
| soul-stirring church mediation | 08/12/16 |
| Mind-boggling insanely creepy community account lodge | 11/05/18 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 03/28/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 03/29/16 |
| low-t newt space | 03/29/16 |
| low-t newt space | 03/29/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 03/29/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 03/29/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 04/01/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 04/04/16 |
| low-t newt space | 04/15/16 |
| Olive irradiated principal's office | 04/15/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 04/19/16 |
| fragrant telephone | 04/20/16 |
| twisted sooty elastic band cuckoldry | 04/20/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 04/24/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 04/25/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 04/26/16 |
| narrow-minded chad abode | 04/26/16 |
| galvanic hairy legs | 04/30/16 |
| Tan duck-like theater antidepressant drug | 05/01/16 |
| Tan duck-like theater antidepressant drug | 11/07/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 05/02/16 |
| floppy crystalline locale | 05/02/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 05/03/16 |
| tantric theatre | 05/03/16 |
| mustard cracking point fanboi | 05/03/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 05/04/16 |
| Vigorous laser beams tanning salon | 05/04/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 05/05/16 |
| Vivacious Box Office | 05/05/16 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 05/05/16 |
| Amber Nofapping Parlour Private Investor | 05/05/16 |
| Razzle anal tank | 05/18/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 05/18/16 |
| sickened nibblets base | 05/18/16 |
| Razzle anal tank | 05/18/16 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 05/29/16 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 06/20/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 06/29/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 07/14/16 |
| Vengeful rose mother | 07/15/16 |
| soul-stirring church mediation | 07/15/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 07/17/16 |
| Vigorous laser beams tanning salon | 07/17/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 07/21/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 07/22/16 |
| Trip cerise halford office | 07/22/16 |
| Angry church building | 07/23/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 07/24/16 |
| Bronze greedy trailer park mental disorder | 07/25/16 |
| low-t newt space | 07/25/16 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 07/27/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 08/05/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 08/09/16 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 08/12/16 |
| Vigorous laser beams tanning salon | 08/12/16 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 08/12/16 |
| lake mood | 08/12/16 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 08/30/16 |
| Vigorous laser beams tanning salon | 08/30/16 |
| Vigorous laser beams tanning salon | 09/06/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 09/13/16 |
| low-t newt space | 09/14/16 |
| Histrionic brethren new version | 09/14/16 |
| twinkling submissive patrolman background story | 09/15/16 |
| Wine Dragon | 09/15/16 |
| Irate doobsian native party of the first part | 09/15/16 |
| silver arousing toilet seat spot | 09/15/16 |
| Swashbuckling senate trust fund | 09/15/16 |
| Idiotic mexican ratface | 09/19/16 |
| Idiotic mexican ratface | 09/19/16 |
| Vigorous laser beams tanning salon | 09/27/16 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 09/24/16 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 09/27/16 |
| Vigorous laser beams tanning salon | 09/27/16 |
| Ruddy Crackhouse | 09/27/16 |
| appetizing coldplay fan parlor | 10/08/16 |
| underhanded razzle-dazzle menage | 07/29/24 |
| low-t newt space | 09/28/16 |
| Histrionic brethren new version | 09/28/16 |
| Vigorous laser beams tanning salon | 09/28/16 |
| twisted sooty elastic band cuckoldry | 09/28/16 |
| Olive irradiated principal's office | 09/28/16 |
| stirring university death wish | 10/08/16 |
| Vigorous laser beams tanning salon | 10/09/16 |
| iridescent plaza keepsake machete | 10/09/16 |
| Vigorous laser beams tanning salon | 10/09/16 |
| territorial associate | 10/09/16 |
| low-t newt space | 10/10/16 |
| Bronze greedy trailer park mental disorder | 10/30/16 |
| soul-stirring church mediation | 11/01/16 |
| silver arousing toilet seat spot | 11/01/16 |
| dull skinny woman | 11/02/16 |
| self-absorbed titillating degenerate roommate | 11/02/16 |
| low-t newt space | 11/07/16 |
| transparent aphrodisiac national blood rage | 11/08/16 |
| low-t newt space | 11/08/16 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 11/08/16 |
| low-t newt space | 11/08/16 |
| diverse translucent giraffe sandwich | 11/08/16 |
| grizzly police squad house | 11/08/16 |
| poppy love of her life | 11/08/16 |
| Idiotic mexican ratface | 11/08/16 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 11/08/16 |
| Erotic Windowlicker | 11/09/16 |
| twinkling submissive patrolman background story | 11/09/16 |
| Laughsome Philosopher-king | 11/09/16 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 11/09/16 |
| silver arousing toilet seat spot | 11/09/16 |
| Erotic Windowlicker | 11/09/16 |
| Bronze greedy trailer park mental disorder | 11/09/16 |
| Vivacious Box Office | 11/09/16 |
| Bull headed circlehead bawdyhouse | 12/03/16 |
| Dark Racy Coffee Pot | 12/07/16 |
| Wonderful Locus | 12/17/16 |
| flushed state | 10/11/24 |
| French gas station ceo | 11/09/16 |
| Stimulating canary den candlestick maker | 11/09/16 |
| pale dysfunction | 11/09/16 |
| Carnelian kitchen | 11/09/16 |
| Bull headed circlehead bawdyhouse | 11/09/16 |
| soul-stirring church mediation | 11/09/16 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 11/09/16 |
| Razzle anal tank | 11/09/16 |
| Vigorous laser beams tanning salon | 11/09/16 |
| sepia excitant legend | 11/09/16 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 11/09/16 |
| Bateful stag film | 11/09/16 |
| aromatic judgmental puppy | 11/09/16 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 11/09/16 |
| slap-happy red institution turdskin | 11/09/16 |
| cerebral fishy partner | 11/10/16 |
| apoplectic boyish area potus | 11/10/16 |
| Irate doobsian native party of the first part | 11/10/16 |
| high-end selfie | 11/10/16 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 11/10/16 |
| low-t newt space | 11/10/16 |
| Big becky pistol | 11/10/16 |
| Idiotic mexican ratface | 11/14/16 |
| 180 station | 11/14/16 |
| sinister dashing library cumskin | 12/04/16 |
| Wonderful Locus | 12/17/16 |
| flushed state | 10/11/24 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 11/25/16 |
| Henna sanctuary | 12/03/16 |
| territorial associate | 12/04/16 |
| comical hospital cuck | 12/07/16 |
| Irate doobsian native party of the first part | 12/07/16 |
| Henna sanctuary | 12/07/16 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 01/02/17 |
| know-it-all glittery multi-billionaire | 01/02/17 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 01/02/17 |
| know-it-all glittery multi-billionaire | 01/02/17 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 03/03/20 |
| Irate doobsian native party of the first part | 01/02/17 |
| floppy crystalline locale | 01/16/17 |
| know-it-all glittery multi-billionaire | 01/20/17 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 01/20/17 |
| know-it-all glittery multi-billionaire | 01/23/17 |
| stirring university death wish | 01/23/17 |
| know-it-all glittery multi-billionaire | 01/23/17 |
| Electric fluffy deer antler | 01/23/17 |
| stirring university death wish | 01/23/17 |
| know-it-all glittery multi-billionaire | 01/23/17 |
| know-it-all glittery multi-billionaire | 01/25/17 |
| know-it-all glittery multi-billionaire | 01/26/17 |
| know-it-all glittery multi-billionaire | 02/06/17 |
| know-it-all glittery multi-billionaire | 02/13/17 |
| know-it-all glittery multi-billionaire | 02/27/17 |
| know-it-all glittery multi-billionaire | 05/03/17 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 05/03/17 |
| know-it-all glittery multi-billionaire | 09/21/17 |
| Violent motley hominid | 01/23/17 |
| silver arousing toilet seat spot | 02/27/17 |
| Mind-boggling insanely creepy community account lodge | 03/22/17 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 04/17/17 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 05/08/17 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 06/20/17 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 08/10/17 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 10/15/17 |
| floppy crystalline locale | 10/15/17 |
| Contagious property gaping | 10/15/17 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 11/06/17 |
| brilliant goal in life | 11/06/17 |
| abusive slate step-uncle's house wrinkle | 11/08/17 |
| Cheese-eating vermilion alpha | 11/08/17 |
| Ruby Athletic Conference | 11/13/17 |
| floppy crystalline locale | 12/18/17 |
| Vigorous laser beams tanning salon | 12/18/17 |
| floppy crystalline locale | 12/18/17 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 01/30/18 |
| Irate doobsian native party of the first part | 06/01/18 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 07/18/18 |
| floppy crystalline locale | 07/19/18 |
| Swashbuckling senate trust fund | 09/20/18 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 09/25/18 |
| Impressive Liquid Oxygen | 10/06/18 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 10/06/18 |
| Irate doobsian native party of the first part | 10/25/18 |
| Wine Dragon | 10/25/18 |
| cyan school cafeteria sound barrier | 11/05/18 |
| Irate doobsian native party of the first part | 11/05/18 |
| Mind-boggling insanely creepy community account lodge | 11/05/18 |
| Irate doobsian native party of the first part | 11/05/18 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 01/08/19 |
| misanthropic site | 02/23/19 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 03/13/19 |
| cyan school cafeteria sound barrier | 06/24/19 |
| opaque cruise ship quadroon | 06/24/19 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 11/18/19 |
| silver arousing toilet seat spot | 02/12/20 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 02/12/20 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 03/24/20 |
| gaming laptop round eye | 03/24/20 |
| Vengeful rose mother | 04/04/20 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 04/26/20 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 05/13/20 |
| Vengeful rose mother | 06/05/20 |
| sticky place of business fortuitous meteor | 06/05/20 |
| Vengeful rose mother | 09/09/20 |
| silver arousing toilet seat spot | 09/09/20 |
| cocky white scourge upon the earth forum | 09/09/20 |
| Azure depressive half-breed | 09/12/20 |
| burgundy genital piercing national security agency | 09/24/20 |
| opaque cruise ship quadroon | 10/09/20 |
| floppy crystalline locale | 10/10/20 |
| geriatric dog poop | 10/22/20 |
| Bull headed circlehead bawdyhouse | 10/22/20 |
| Provocative alcoholic chapel boiling water | 10/22/20 |
| Provocative alcoholic chapel boiling water | 10/22/20 |
| Copper Really Tough Guy Jewess | 03/23/22 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 10/27/20 |
| Mind-boggling insanely creepy community account lodge | 10/27/20 |
| opaque cruise ship quadroon | 10/30/20 |
| floppy crystalline locale | 11/03/20 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 03/22/22 |
| meetinghouse indirect expression | 03/23/22 |
| puce milk voyeur | 03/23/22 |
| kitty | 03/23/22 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 07/25/22 |
| cocky white scourge upon the earth forum | 07/25/22 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 10/23/22 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 11/16/22 |
| impertinent school cuckold | 04/25/23 |
| Razzle anal tank | 04/25/23 |
| burgundy genital piercing national security agency | 04/29/23 |
| underhanded razzle-dazzle menage | 05/28/23 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 02/22/24 |
| burgundy genital piercing national security agency | 02/23/24 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 05/23/24 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 08/26/24 |
| burgundy genital piercing national security agency | 09/13/24 |
| cocky white scourge upon the earth forum | 09/13/24 |
| burgundy genital piercing national security agency | 10/18/24 |
| flushed state | 10/11/24 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 11/06/24 |
| Vivacious Box Office | 03/04/25 |
| Vivacious Box Office | 03/04/25 |
| Swashbuckling senate trust fund | 03/04/25 |
| flushed state | 03/04/25 |
| rigor | 03/04/25 |
| Fear-inspiring Mad Cow Disease Haunted Graveyard | 03/05/25 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 03/07/25 |
| Dun codepig | 03/07/25 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 03/08/25 |
| unholy corn cake | 03/08/25 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 03/08/25 |
| Violent motley hominid | 02/18/26 |
| rusted set weed whacker | 05/15/26 |
| sick | 05/17/26 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:48 PM Author: impertinent school cuckold December 12, 2015: "Anticipating Trump's Black Swan" December 18, 2015: "As Voters Flee Carson, Is Trump Harmed Most?" December 30, 2015: "The Fickle Iowa Voter and the Biggest Trump Problem" January 8, 2016: "Cruz's Rise Harms Trump Most" January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out" January 22, 2016: "Trump's Independent Bid Would Fare Worse Than His Republican One" January 29, 2016: "The Herding Effect and Trump's Polling Problem" February 2, 2016: "Trump's Landslide in Iowa, But a Narrow Delegate Victory" February 4, 2016: "The House Effects Lifting Trump's Numbers in New Hampshire" February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why." February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?" February 11, 2016: "Rubio's Exit May Be Trump's Death Blow" February 17, 2016: "Clinton the Greatest Threat to Trump's Nomination" February 26, 2016: "Religious Conservatives and the Trump Dilemma" February 28, 2016: "Three Wins in Three Elections? Not So Fast" March 17, 2016: "The Brokered Convention, or Why Trump's Chances Look Worse Than Ever" March 30, 2016: "Glacial Pace of Delegates Slows Lumbering Trump" April 7, 2016: "A Closer Look at the Fractured Republican Party" April 27, 2016: "Even If Trump Wins, What Will Independents Think?" May 7, 2016: "The Coming Clinton Cascade" May 19, 2016: "Here's What the Brokered Convention That Defies Trump Looks Like" June 11, 2016: "Behind the Numbers: Delegate Math and the Convention" July 21, 2016: "Eight Takeaways from Trump's Convention Speech--Closer to Hitler than Reagan" August 1, 2016: "Clinton Stronger Than Ever as Trump's Popularity Appears Fleeting" August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984" August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why." September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story" September 18, 2016: "Behind the Presidential Debate: A Good Night for Clinton" September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom" October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise" October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think" October 29, 2016: "Clarity from House Effects and Clinton's Decided Silent Majority" November 9, 2016: "It'll Take Months to Sort Out How Trump Won" November 22, 2016: "Trump's Reelection Chances Look Dicey January 20, 2017: 404 Hosting Error |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: odious lettuce home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29364653) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM Author: impertinent school cuckold (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#32284620) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:43 AM Author: Mind-boggling insanely creepy community account lodge (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29532817) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:46 AM Author: Irate doobsian native party of the first part (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29532846) |
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Date: June 5th, 2016 5:46 PM Author: Irate doobsian native party of the first part another bump (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#30631018) |
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Date: March 26th, 2016 10:16 PM Author: Mildly autistic maize masturbator 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#30144195) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:00 PM Author: charismatic hideous market generalized bond (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#32284612) |
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Date: October 25th, 2018 12:11 AM Author: soggy casino "October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise"? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#37090197) |
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:49 PM Author: cocky white scourge upon the earth forum (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29351706) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:52 PM Author: Impressive Liquid Oxygen 1800000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29351728) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM Author: Violent motley hominid 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29351742) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM Author: slap-happy red institution turdskin Fantastic work ITT (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29351744) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:08 PM Author: frozen black woman faggotry (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29384172) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:55 PM Author: Adventurous Lemon Brunch FUCK | THIS | KIKE (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29351749) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:56 PM Author: Ruddy Crackhouse Poasting in a historic thread. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29351753) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM Author: Cordovan jew public bath Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.
Not saying that Trump cant win but you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING |
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Date: December 11th, 2015 7:21 PM Author: turquoise bat shit crazy field (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29359932) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 4:17 PM Author: Shaky Alcoholic Hell Nate Silver's 08 and 12 predictions were accurate and based almost entirely on polling data. his prediction that trump will lose is obviously not based on polling data (which is highly favorable for Trump), but an assumption that someone like Trump can't win. we shouldn't put much value in the non-quantitative political analysis of a poll aggregator. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29364985) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:32 PM Author: Brindle pisswyrm Is he propagandizing or believing what he wishes? Hard to imagine such a shift from such a quantitative guy. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29392387) |
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Date: January 4th, 2016 2:31 PM Author: black temple Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM Author: TannerBoyle
Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.
Trump cant win and you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351956) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:15 AM Author: Splenetic balding regret (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31854764) |
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Date: December 11th, 2015 7:05 PM Author: impertinent school cuckold (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29359811) |
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Date: December 11th, 2015 7:07 PM Author: passionate gold prole heaven (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29359818) |
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Date: December 11th, 2015 7:10 PM Author: Aggressive curious resort bbw 180 million (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29359849) |
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Date: December 11th, 2015 7:20 PM Author: turquoise bat shit crazy field November 9th 2016: s.e.g.a. sucking cock at Port Authority for bus fare (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29359926) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:11 PM Author: Marvelous Pea-brained Boistinker Dilemma (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29364617) |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:40 PM Author: cyan school cafeteria sound barrier Don't edit loser (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29677834) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 1:52 AM Author: Dark Racy Coffee Pot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31866880) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:09 PM Author: impertinent school cuckold (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29364607) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:11 PM Author: Razzle anal tank (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29364621) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:13 PM Author: Up-to-no-good useless brakes lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29364630) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:47 PM Author: Learning disabled crusty old irish cottage March 9
THE ANTHROPOPHAGUS HAS QUITTED HIS DEN
March 10
THE CORSICAN OGRE HAS LANDED AT CAPE JUAN
March 11
THE TIGER HAS ARRIVED AT CAP
March 12
THE MONSTER SLEPT AT GRENOBLE
March 13
THE TYRANT HAS PASSED THOUGH LYONS
March 14
THE USURPER IS DIRECTING HIS STEPS TOWARDS DIJON
March 18
BONAPARTE IS ONLY SIXTY LEAGUES FROM THE CAPITAL
He has been fortunate enough to escape his pursuers
March 19
BONAPARTE IS ADVANCING WITH RAPID STEPS, BUT HE WILL NEVER ENTER PARIS
March 20
NAPOLEON WILL, TOMORROW, BE UNDER OUR RAMPARTS
March 21
THE EMPEROR IS AT FONTAINEBLEAU
March 22
HIS IMPERIAL AND ROYAL MAJESTY arrived yesterday evening at the Tuileries, amid the joyful acclamation of his devoted and faithful subjects |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:06 PM Author: razzmatazz famous landscape painting pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29384155) |
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Date: December 21st, 2015 8:26 PM Author: hairraiser ocher gay wizard 1 fuckin' 80 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29429271) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:51 PM Author: Histrionic brethren new version (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29364847) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:55 PM Author: Chocolate trump supporter lol, 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29364873) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:58 PM Author: Exciting primrose clown hall (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29364887) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:58 PM Author: Vivacious Box Office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29364890) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:59 PM Author: nudist offensive location ladyboy Well done. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29364896) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 4:08 PM Author: Spectacular Magical Garrison Fully nude right now, happened to absent-mindedly stroke myself to a FULL CHUB while reading. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29364933) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:14 PM Author: Ruddy Crackhouse OP missed today's ... "Are we in a Trump boom or a Trump bubble?" (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29383835) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 12:20 PM Author: Ruddy Crackhouse And today's: "The fifth Republican debate ended in a nine-way draw." |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:21 PM Author: buff macaca jap 190 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29383898) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:32 PM Author: concupiscible corner french chef fuck u for making me laugh (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29383961) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:58 PM Author: Talented purple pozpig stage I used to work with a fat, ugly gay man, who was the first person ever to tell me about Nate Silver. I asked him what made this Nate Silver so good, and the homosexual slob said it was that Silver had never been wrong or some shit like that. I said Well that's a pretty good track record. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29384107) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:10 PM Author: self-absorbed titillating degenerate roommate 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29384183) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:12 PM Author: Lascivious Yapping Shrine Headpube February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why."
February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?"
180 |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:13 PM Author: Pearl whorehouse You shitcons have been through this with Nate Silver twice before and he has pwned you both times. You guys never learn (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29384207) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:15 PM Author: impertinent school cuckold Trump odds, August 2015: Silver: 2% Miller: 0% Enten: -10% http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/podcast-totally-subjective-presidential-odds-early-august-edition/ |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: impertinent school cuckold http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-most-shocking-result-in-world-cup-history/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29384231) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:17 PM Author: impertinent school cuckold http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/what-we-got-wrong-in-our-2015-uk-general-election-model/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29384237) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:19 PM Author: impertinent school cuckold http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-were-skewed-toward-democrats/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29384254) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:20 PM Author: impertinent school cuckold http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-to-make-of-kentuckys-polling-failure/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29384262) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 12:22 PM Author: Citrine Indian Lodge (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29525662) |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:43 PM Author: cyan school cafeteria sound barrier Can't wait to bump this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29677869) |
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Date: December 17th, 2016 1:22 PM Author: Wonderful Locus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#32165246) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:11 AM Author: sickened nibblets base (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#30504262) |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:04 PM Author: soul-stirring church mediation (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31172544) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:06 AM Author: impertinent school cuckold http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2016-election-results-coverage/?#livepress-update-23617209 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31846270) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:08 AM Author: floppy crystalline locale (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31846325) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 3:36 AM Author: saffron exhilarant business firm doctorate Final Election Update: There’s A Wide Range Of Outcomes, And Most Of Them Come Up Clinton
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/final-election-update-theres-a-wide-range-of-outcomes-and-most-of-them-come-up-clinton/ |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:34 PM Author: Provocative alcoholic chapel boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#41167037) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: Bespoke pit This is an all time GOAT on XO. This is amazing. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29384232) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:34 PM Author: metal nubile orchestra pit 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29392396) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:37 PM Author: Painfully honest people who are hurt foreskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29392414) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:39 PM Author: pearly rehab rigpig Incredible (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29392427) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 11:48 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker Trump Boom or Trump Bubble? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-boom-or-trump-bubble/ |
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Date: December 17th, 2015 9:22 AM Author: rusted set weed whacker Iowa's Women Could Be Trump’s Undoing http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/iowas-women-could-be-donald-trumps-undoing/ |
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Date: December 18th, 2015 10:03 PM Author: multi-colored dopamine range (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29411300) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:44 AM Author: Mind-boggling insanely creepy community account lodge (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29532836) |
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Date: December 18th, 2015 10:09 PM Author: cerebral fishy partner (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29411342) |
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Date: December 21st, 2015 7:06 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker Lindsey Graham Tries To Stop Trump The Only Way He Can — By Quitting http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/lindsey-graham-tries-to-stop-trump-the-only-way-he-can-by-quitting/ |
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Date: December 21st, 2015 7:47 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker "Trump has some weird chinks in his armor" http://www.wnyc.org/story/nate-silvers-crystal-ball-tells-all-2016/ |
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Date: December 21st, 2015 8:21 PM Author: hairraiser ocher gay wizard 1 fuckin' 80 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29429241) |
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Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker "micah: Let me channel our vacationing editor-in-chief Nate Silver: What if Trump finishes second or third in Iowa, same in New Hampshire and South Carolina. He chugs along for a while with 15-20 percent of the vote. Or, maybe he quits the race after New Hampshire. Won’t the fact that we spent much of 2015 hyperventilating about Trump seem silly in retrospect?" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-meaning-of-donald-trump/ |
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Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker One of the biggest errors I think I made in 2015 was concentrating too much on who would win the Republican nomination and not so much on who would drive the conversation.1 You can see that clearly with Donald Trump (who I still don’t think will win the Republican nomination). Not only did I dismiss Trump’s candidacy on many occasions (here, here, here and here, for example), I was sometimes eager to do so in order to confirm my original belief that he wouldn’t win.
But winning the race and affecting the race are different things. Trump may lose in Iowa, collapse in New Hampshire and disappear from the national stage. If that — or something like it — happens, much of the sound and fury surrounding Trump in 2015 will seem silly in retrospect. But regardless of where Trump ends up once voting starts, he has certainly been the dominant voice in the Republican nomination race so far. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-harry-enten-got-wrong-in-2015/ |
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Date: January 4th, 2016 2:22 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker This phenomenon may not hold in 2016. Cruz could collapse in Iowa. Christie could fall apart in New Hampshire. And maybe Trump will outperform his polling in both contests. But the gap between their current state and national polls suggests the opposite is more likely. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/to-win-in-iowa-or-new-hampshire-it-may-be-better-to-poll-worse-nationally/ |
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Date: January 4th, 2016 2:27 PM Author: black temple flawless OP. uninflated 180. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29519032) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 12:09 PM Author: impertinent school cuckold ty for all the updates itt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29525598) |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:45 PM Author: cyan school cafeteria sound barrier Cr. It made a great thread an all time thread (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29677890) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:08 PM Author: multi-colored dopamine range From Silver's Twitter:
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor
That Trump is underperforming in IA and NH relative to national polls is a big deal and a bad sign for him. |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:11 PM Author: supple nursing home 1800000000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29531444) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM Author: Shimmering Harsh Messiness (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29531475) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM Author: light dead center azn An historic poast (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29531481) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:16 PM Author: heady stage pervert 180 trillion (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29531500) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:17 PM Author: light dead center azn I saw this on the Internet and thought of you guys
http://imgur.com/Fn3p3R6 |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:45 AM Author: Mind-boggling insanely creepy community account lodge (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29532843) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 4:37 PM Author: light dead center azn Bump to make sure my friends saw this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29535993) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:22 PM Author: heady stage pervert No bias there right? What a shitbird. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29531557) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:44 AM Author: soul-stirring church mediation (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29532829) |
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Date: January 7th, 2016 10:51 PM Author: hairraiser ocher gay wizard (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29546163) |
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Date: January 8th, 2016 4:56 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker “HOW TRUMP WON” blares the headline on this week’s Time magazine cover in 80-point Duplicate Ionic. “Now he just needs the votes,” whispers the small subheadline underneath.
Oh, just that little detail? Trump actually needs people to vote for him? I’ve been encountering a lot of this lately: Coverage implying that Trump’s lead atop the Republican polls (which he’s held since mid-July) is a watershed event, perhaps even tantamount to his having won an election.
These headlines, needless to say, are presumptuous. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/ |
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Date: January 8th, 2016 5:05 PM Author: Vigorous laser beams tanning salon 180 if not copy paste (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29551314) |
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Date: January 8th, 2016 11:26 PM Author: hairraiser ocher gay wizard (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29554010) |
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Date: January 9th, 2016 8:16 PM Author: multi-colored dopamine range http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29559692) |
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Date: January 10th, 2016 5:22 PM Author: hairraiser ocher gay wizard (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29566112) |
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Date: January 18th, 2016 10:15 AM Author: rusted set weed whacker http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-really-unpopular-with-general-election-voters/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#29622950) |
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Date: January 19th, 2016 5:30 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker Donald Trump is Sarah Palin 2.0 http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/sarah-palin-endorses-donald-trump-for-president/ |
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Date: January 21st, 2016 5:51 PM Author: multi-colored dopamine range looks like even silver has conceded on trump winning the nomination
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/one-big-reason-to-be-less-skeptical-of-trump/
In a nomination race like the Republican one, you could draw up a list of reasons to be skeptical of any candidate’s chances. Here are some reasons to be skeptical about Ted Cruz’s position in Iowa, for example. Here’s why Marco Rubio’s strategy looks increasingly precarious. There are also good reasons to be skeptical about Donald Trump’s chances of winning the Republican nomination:
His polling in Iowa isn’t great, and he’s probably still the underdog there. There’s reason to doubt the strength of his ground game, in Iowa and other states. Trump’s favorable ratings and second-choice numbers are generally inferior to Cruz’s and Rubio’s, meaning that other candidates might benefit more as the field winnows.1 But the reason I’ve been especially skeptical about Trump for most of the election cycle isn’t listed above. Nor is it because I expected Trump to spontaneously combust in national polls. Instead, I was skeptical because I assumed that influential Republicans would do almost anything they could to prevent him from being nominated.
I’m in the midst of working on a long review of the book “The Party Decides,” so we’ll save some of the detail for that forthcoming article. But the textbook on Trump is that he’d be a failure along virtually every dimension that party elites normally consider when choosing a nominee: electability (Trump is extremely unpopular with general election voters); ideological reliability (like Sarah Palin, Trump’s a “maverick”); having traditional qualifications for the job; and so forth. Even if the GOP is mostly in disarray, my assumption was that it would muster whatever strength it had to try to stop Trump.
But so far, the party isn’t doing much to stop Trump. Instead, it’s making such an effort against Cruz. Consider:
The governor of Iowa, Terry Branstad, said he wanted Cruz defeated. Bob Dole warned of “cataclysmic” losses if Cruz was the nominee, and said Trump would fare better. Mitch McConnell and other Republicans senators have been decidedly unhelpful to Cruz when discussing his constitutional eligibility to be president. An anti-Cruz PAC has formed, with plans to run advertisements in Iowa. (By contrast, no PAC advertising has run against Trump so far in January.) You can find lots of other examples like these. It’s the type of coordinated, multifront action that seems right out of the “The Party Decides.” If, like me, you expected something like this to happen to Trump instead of Cruz, you have to revisit your assumptions. Thus, I’m now much less skeptical of Trump’s chances of becoming the nominee.
Can we take this a step farther, in fact? Can we say that the party has decided … for Trump?
I’ve seen some headlines to that effect, but they’re premature and possibly wrong. So far, the GOP’s actions are conspicuously anti-Cruz more than they are pro-Trump. For example, although former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin just endorsed Trump, no current Republican governors or members of Congress have.
Instead, it may be that Republicans think of Cruz as the more immediate threat, and then plan to turn around and attack Trump later. But that’s a high-degree-of-difficulty caper to pull off. For one thing, Trump, who’s in a much better position in the polls than Cruz in states after Iowa, could rack up several wins in a row if he takes the Hawkeye State.
Just as important, there are few signs that Republicans have much of a strategy for whom to back apart from Trump. Four “establishment lane” candidates — Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, John Kasich and Rubio — are tightly packed in New Hampshire polls. That could potentially change before New Hampshire votes because of tactical voting.2 And whichever of these candidates perform worst in the early states will probably drop out.
But Republican party elites seem indifferent among these four candidates, when in my view some are more capable than others of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz:
Rubio would seem to have the best shot. He’s easily the most conservative of the four, has the best favorability ratings and can make perhaps the best electability argument. His ground game may not be very good, but he has a decent amount of cash on hand. Bush and Christie probably rank next, in some order. It’s hard to imagine Republican voters coming all the way around to the patrician Bush after flirting with bad-boy Trump for so long — especially when Bush’s favorability numbers with Republican voters are in the tank. But remember that those dalliances with Trump are hypothetical, only contemplated in polls and not yet actuated with votes. Perhaps the Republican electorate that shows up to vote is more like the 2012 version, which supported Mitt Romney. It’s a long shot, but if it happens, Bush will have plenty of money and organization to extend the race. If the GOP electorate is in an angrier mood, then Christie’s personality overlaps the most with Trump’s. He’s a good debater, and his favorability ratings are on the upswing, although still just middling. But Christie entered the race with a lot of baggage that will receive more scrutiny if he surges in the polls. He also doesn’t have much of an organization beyond New Hampshire. Kasich’s outlook seems the worst of the four, combining Bush’s lack of appeal to conservatives with Christie’s lack of organization beyond New Hampshire. The one qualification to this is that Kasich has a more conservative track record than he lets on.3 So if I were ranking the four establishment candidates’ chances of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz, I’d put Rubio first and Kasich last. But if I were ranking them in terms of who seems to have the most momentum right now, the order would be just the opposite. Kasich has gained 3 or 4 percentage points in New Hampshire polls over the past month, while Rubio has declined slightly in New Hampshire and national polls, and his once-steady flow of endorsements has turned into a trickle.
These differences might seem pretty minor — there’s room for near-daily momentum shifts before New Hampshire votes. Obviously, it’s also possible that Republicans’ efforts to stop Cruz in Iowa will backfire.
Things are lining up better for Trump than I would have imagined, however. It’s not his continued presence in the race that surprises me so much as the lack of a concerted effort to stop him. |
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Date: March 16th, 2016 11:48 AM Author: rusted set weed whacker It's Still Not Clear Donald Trump Will Get a Majority of Delegates http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-still-not-clear-that-donald-trump-will-get-a-majority-of-delegates/ |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:04 PM Author: soul-stirring church mediation (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31172540) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:20 AM Author: Mind-boggling insanely creepy community account lodge (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#37162050) |
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Date: March 28th, 2016 9:47 AM Author: rusted set weed whacker "What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like" "Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-will-have-a-hard-time-turning-blue-states-red-in-november/ |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 2:26 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker "Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-no-ronald-reagan/ |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 4:59 PM Author: low-t newt space "One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women"
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-sexism-women-2016-election/ |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 5:14 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#30161654) |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 8:54 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/714977961099862016 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#30163086) |
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Date: April 1st, 2016 2:54 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-probably-first-ballot-or-bust-for-donald-trump-at-the-gop-convention/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#30183235) |
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Date: April 4th, 2016 7:13 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker "Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/wisconsin-could-be-trouble-for-trump/ |
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Date: April 15th, 2016 10:16 AM Author: low-t newt space interestingly the Karl Rove WSJ opinion headlines are almost as desperate:
http://topics.wsj.com/person/R/karl-rove/5686
Articles by Karl Rove
Vanity Will Be The Donald’s Undoing April 13, 2016 06:04 p.m.
Trump thinks he is so rich, famous and athletic that he can skip a real campaign.
The Not-Trump GOP Rises April 6, 2016 07:16 p.m.
The delegate math is getting hard, and New York may not be the lifeline Trump needs.
An Ugly General Election Takes Shape March 30, 2016 07:12 p.m.
Hillary’s super PAC readies an anti-Trump onslaught. She will be a ripe target too.
Don’t Coddle Donald Trump March 23, 2016 07:22 p.m.
A nominee needs a majority. Abraham Lincoln played by that rule—so can the New York businessman.
How Trump Can Raise His Game March 16, 2016 07:03 p.m.
A few bits of advice for The Donald: study up, change your tone and focus on Hillary.
The Polls Trump Hasn’t Won March 9, 2016 06:32 p.m.
He says that he will beat Hillary, yet guess who is the only GOP contender trailing her.
A Big Push for Flawed Front-Runners March 2, 2016 06:39 p.m.
Bernie could cause trouble for Hillary at the convention. And Trump is no ‘unifier.’
The Donald Doesn’t Have a Lock—Yet February 24, 2016 07:22 p.m.
There is still time for a non-Trump majority to coalesce around a single candidate. James Taranto: ‘I Love the Poorly Educated!’
Trump Didn’t Oppose the Iraq War February 17, 2016 06:33 p.m.
There’s no record of his clear opposition before March 2003, despite his claims
GOP Infighters Need to Focus on Trump February 10, 2016 06:48 p.m.
The four mainstream candidates are only wasting time if they go after each other.
How Trump Blew an Easy Win February 3, 2016 06:33 p.m.
He acted like the traditional rules didn’t apply. This race could go to the convention.
Trump Ducks an Iowa Opportunity January 27, 2016 06:56 p.m.
The Donald’s refusal to debate could blow his lead. How can he take on Hillary?
Hillary’s Stumbling Cakewalk January 20, 2016 07:31 p.m.
Nothing’s working, so now Clinton has come up with a four-step Beat Bernie strategy.
The GOP’s Chase for Undecided Iowans January 13, 2016 06:55 p.m.
At this point in 2012, Rick Santorum—who won the caucuses—sat sadly at 6% support.
My Crystal-Ball Score—Plus 2016 Predictions January 6, 2016 06:57 p.m.
Clinton Is Already Vowing to Overreach December 16, 2015 06:06 p.m.
Remember her pledge in 2007 to ‘rein in the presidency’? Neither does she.
Trump Is the Democrats’ Dream Nominee December 9, 2015 06:48 p.m.
He could win the primaries but would get creamed in the presidential election.
The GOP Needs Presidential Coattails December 2, 2015 06:53 p.m.
A weak ticket could hurt the party in purple states—and lose the Senate.
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Date: April 15th, 2016 10:47 AM Author: Olive irradiated principal's office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#30279158) |
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Date: May 1st, 2016 6:05 PM Author: Tan duck-like theater antidepressant drug Subject: A List of a Year of the Actual 538 Headlines JUN 16, 2015
Why Donald Trump Isn’t A Real Candidate, In One Chart
JUL 16, 2015
Two Good Reasons Not To Take The Donald Trump ‘Surge’ Seriously
JUL 29, 2015
Donald Trump Is The Nickelback Of GOP Candidates
AUG 7, 2015
Donald Trump Won’t Win A War Against Fox News
AUG 7, 2015
Did The Debate Hurt Or Help Trump? Watch His Favorability Numbers.
AUG 11, 2015
Donald Trump Is Winning The Polls — And Losing The Nomination
AUG 14, 2015
Candidates In Donald Trump’s Position Have A Terrible Track Record
AUG 31, 2015
A Ben Carson Surge May Test Trump
SEP 2, 2015
Keep Calm And Ignore The 2016 ‘Game Changers’
SEP 8, 2015
If Donald Trump Can Win The Nomination, Ben Carson Could Too
SEP 17, 2015
We’re Bullish On Fiorina And (Still) Bearish On Trump After The Debate
SEP 24, 2015
Was The Second Debate The Beginning Of The End For Donald Trump?
OCT 20, 2015
Donald Trump Is Doomed And/Or Invincible
OCT 26, 2015
Can Ben Carson Really Take Out Donald Trump?
NOV 4, 2015
The GOP’s Primary Rules Might Doom Carson, Cruz And Trump
NOV 23, 2015
Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls
DEC 1, 2015
The Future Of Polling May Depend On Donald Trump’s Fate
DEC 2, 2015
Big Phony And Loser Nate Silver Can’t Even See Donald Trump Is A Winner! What A Joke!
DEC 4, 2015
Donald Trump Won’t Win Just Because More Voters Are Paying Attention
DEC 15, 2015
Trump Boom Or Trump Bubble?
DEC 17, 2015
Iowa’s Women Could Be Donald Trump’s Undoing
JAN 18, 2016
Donald Trump Is Really Unpopular With General Election Voters
JAN 19, 2016
Beware A GOP Calendar Front-Loaded With States Friendly To Trump And Cruz
JAN 19, 2016
Donald Trump Is Sarah Palin 2.0
JAN 21, 2016
One Big Reason To Be Less Skeptical Of Trump
JAN 26, 2016
Does Donald Trump Need To Win Iowa?
JAN 27, 2016
Sorry, Bloomberg: Trump Is Already A Third-Party Candidate
JAN 31, 2016
Donald Trump’s Support In Iowa Is Narrow But Deep
FEB 2, 2016
Donald Trump Comes Out Of Iowa Looking Like Pat Buchanan
FEB 3, 2016
Why Iowa Changed Rubio’s And Trump’s Nomination Odds So Much
FEB 4, 2016
Trump Still Leads In New Hampshire, But The Ride Could Be Wild
FEB 5, 2016
Donald Trump Is Losing Ground On Google
FEB 9, 2016
Donald Trump Will Probably Win New Hampshire
FEB 10, 2016
John Kasich Is The Anti-Trump
FEB 17, 2016
Does Donald Trump Have A Ceiling?
FEB 18, 2016
The Pope Is Way More Popular Than Donald Trump
FEB 21, 2016
Trump Optimists And Trump Skeptics Are About To Go To War
FEB 22, 2016
Trump’s South Carolina Win Shows Evangelicals Aren’t Necessarily Voting On Their Faith
FEB 23, 2016
Nevada May Show Trump Can Win Even With Low Turnout
FEB 24, 2016
Nevada Was Great For Donald Trump, Bad For Ted Cruz
FEB 24, 2016
Republicans’ Last-Ditch Hope To Stop Donald Trump
FEB 26, 2016
Marco Rubio Finally Steps Up As The Anti-Trump
MAR 1, 2016
Super Tuesday Could Be Historic For Trump
MAR 2, 2016
Can Republicans Still Take The Nomination Away From Trump?
MAR 2, 2016
Donald Trump Is Just Barely On Track To Win The GOP Nomination
MAR 3, 2016
Republican Voters Kind Of Hate All Their Choices
MAR 4, 2016
Kasich May Have Cut Off Rubio’s Path To The Nomination
MAR 7, 2016
Donald Trump Would Be Easy To Stop Under Democratic Rules
MAR 7, 2016
Bloomberg Might Have Produced President Trump
MAR 8, 2016
Could Michigan Change The Course Of The GOP Race?
MAR 10, 2016
Ted Cruz Might Still Be Able To Stop Donald Trump
MAR 11, 2016
Don’t Sleep On Illinois And Missouri — They Could Help Make Trump Unstoppable
MAR 15, 2016
Trump Attack Ads Are Finally Popping Up, But They Might Be Too Late
MAR 16, 2016
It’s Still Not Clear That Donald Trump Will Get A Majority Of Delegates
MAR 16, 2016
Trump Voters’ Aversion To Foreign-Sounding Names Cost Him Delegates
MAR 21, 2016
Will Trump Clinch The GOP Nomination Before The Convention?
MAR 22, 2016
The Most Important States On Trump’s Path To 1,237 Delegates
MAR 23, 2016
Why Donald Trump?
MAR 23, 2016
How Far Jeb Bush Is Going To Stop Trump
MAR 25, 2016
Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November
MAR 25, 2016
What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like
MAR 29, 2016
Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan
MAR 29, 2016
One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women
MAR 30, 2016
How Trump Hacked The Media
MAR 31, 2016
Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump
APR 1, 2016
It’s Probably First Ballot Or Bust For Donald Trump At The GOP Convention
APR 5, 2016
The GOP’s Wacky Delegate Rules Are Helping Trump
APR 7, 2016
Trump’s New Magic Number Is 40 Percent Of The Vote
APR 8, 2016
Trump’s Support Would Be Easier To Explain With Better Polling
APR 11, 2016
Trump Is The Weakest GOP Front-Runner In The Modern Era
APR 11, 2016
Trump Made A Mistake By Overlooking Colorado
APR 11, 2016
Elections Podcast: Is Trump Blowing It?
APR 14, 2016
Trump’s Right That The GOP Primary Is Unfair — It Favors Him
APR 18, 2016
New York City’s Jewish Vote Might Win Cruz Or Kasich Key Delegates
APR 23, 2016
Trump’s ‘System Is Rigged’ Argument Is Working
APR 25, 2016
Trump Is Probably Going To Run Over Cruz And Kasich In The Northeast
APR 25, 2016
Will The Kasich-Cruz Alliance Work?
APR 27, 2016
It’s Trump’s Nomination To Lose* |
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Date: November 7th, 2016 3:27 PM Author: Tan duck-like theater antidepressant drug (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31825048) |
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Date: May 2nd, 2016 7:16 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#30392947) |
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Date: May 2nd, 2016 8:17 PM Author: floppy crystalline locale (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#30393360) |
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Date: May 3rd, 2016 3:26 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker The Mythology Of Trump’s ‘Working Class’ Support http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-mythology-of-trumps-working-class-support/ |
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Date: May 3rd, 2016 3:35 PM Author: tantric theatre holy shit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#30398720) |
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Date: May 3rd, 2016 9:15 PM Author: mustard cracking point fanboi (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#30402170) |
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Date: May 4th, 2016 9:04 AM Author: rusted set weed whacker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#30405223) |
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Date: May 4th, 2016 9:33 AM Author: Vigorous laser beams tanning salon 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#30405346) |
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Date: May 5th, 2016 9:23 AM Author: rusted set weed whacker Candidates who beat pundits' expectations in the primaries haven't done particularly well in the general election. https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/728211438427381760 |
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Date: May 5th, 2016 11:02 AM Author: Vivacious Box Office Lol every response is "how about Obama?" What a hack (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#30412976) |
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Date: May 5th, 2016 10:40 AM Author: impertinent school cuckold LOL 12 years in this place and I think I found my magnum opus, fml (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#30412844) |
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Date: May 5th, 2016 11:05 AM Author: Amber Nofapping Parlour Private Investor Yeah bro. You should mic drop and walk the fuck away. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#30412994) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: Razzle anal tank This should be preserved for posterity in a library somewhere. I wish Nate Silver could see this. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#30504267) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:03 AM Author: rusted set weed whacker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#30504223) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: sickened nibblets base In no way will your answer affect my conviction that this is an all-time great first ballot HOF poast, I'm just curious: How long did it take you to put this masterstroke together? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#30504268) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:14 AM Author: Razzle anal tank cr. We need to get the entire story of his creative process down for future scholars to learn from. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#30504274) |
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Date: May 29th, 2016 4:16 PM Author: impertinent school cuckold lol I find something new in this thread every time I read it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#30583536) |
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Date: June 20th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: impertinent school cuckold (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#30746085) |
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Date: June 29th, 2016 1:03 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker Hillary Clinton has a nearly 80 percent chance of winning the White House in November, FiveThirtyEight polling guru Nate Silver predicted Wednesday.
FiveThirtyEight projected Clinton has a 79 percent chance of winning the general election against Donald Trump, who has just a 20 percent chance of succeeding President Barack Obama in the Oval Office. “Here’s how to think about it: We’re kind of at halftime of the election right now, and she’s taking a seven-point, maybe a 10-point lead into halftime,” Silver told ABC’s George Stephanopoulos on “Good Morning America.” “There’s a lot of football left to be played, but she’s ahead in almost every poll, every swing state, every national poll.”
Indeed, a Ballotpedia survey of seven swing states released Wednesday shows the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee sweeping Trump in Iowa, Michigan, Florida, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia by margins ranging from 4 to 17 percentage points.
Silver, who correctly forecast 49 out of 50 states in 2008 and every state in 2012, noted that both camps “have a lot of room to grow,” but no candidate has blown a lead as large as Clinton’s advantage over Trump in nearly 30 years, when former Massachusetts Gov. Michael Dukakis lost to George H.W. Bush despite maintaining a large lead coming out of the spring and summer.
“It’s been a crazy year, politically,” Silver said, adding that more states, particularly red states, are in play in 2016 than in previous elections. “For example, Arizona looks like a toss-up. Maybe Georgia. Maybe Missouri, North Carolina again.”
“Likewise,” Silver continued, “if Trump gains ground on Clinton then maybe a state like Maine — used to be a swing state, not so recently” — could be in play, too.
Silver also defended his August forecast that gave the billionaire businessman a 2 percent chance to win the GOP nomination.
“That wasn’t based on looking at polls. Trump was always ahead in the polls, and one big lesson of his campaign is don’t try and out-think the polls and try and out-think the American public,” Silver said. “And Trump has never really been ahead of Clinton in the general election campaign. He did a great job of appealing to the 40 percent of the GOP he had to win the election, the primary — a lot different than winning 51 percent of 100 percent.”
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/06/nate-silver-who-will-be-president-prediction-224931 |
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Date: July 14th, 2016 10:24 AM Author: rusted set weed whacker http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-when-to-freak-out-about-shocking-new-polls/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#30924907) |
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Date: July 15th, 2016 2:16 AM Author: Vengeful rose mother (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#30933127) |
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Date: July 15th, 2016 2:47 AM Author: soul-stirring church mediation (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#30933205) |
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Date: July 17th, 2016 10:12 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#30956384) |
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Date: July 17th, 2016 10:13 PM Author: Vigorous laser beams tanning salon 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#30956397) |
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Date: July 21st, 2016 9:33 AM Author: rusted set weed whacker http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trumps-convention-is-flirting-with-disaster/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#30987656) |
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Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:38 AM Author: rusted set weed whacker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#30999290) |
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Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:39 AM Author: Trip cerise halford office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#30999301) |
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Date: July 23rd, 2016 2:41 AM Author: Angry church building Wow jesua (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31006876) |
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Date: July 24th, 2016 10:48 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31020363) |
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Date: July 25th, 2016 11:00 AM Author: Bronze greedy trailer park mental disorder Nate Silver actually would find this hilarious, too. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31022942) |
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Date: July 25th, 2016 12:00 PM Author: low-t newt space amazing how accurate this is (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31023351) |
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Date: July 27th, 2016 2:30 PM Author: impertinent school cuckold Wish I could profit off this gift. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31043518) |
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Date: August 5th, 2016 1:34 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31113817) |
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Date: August 9th, 2016 8:10 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-polls-show-pennsylvania-back-in-clintons-firewall/ Let’s not bury the lead: Clinton is polling really well right now, and if you held an election today, she’d probably win in a landslide, possibly including states such as Georgia and Arizona along with most or all of the traditional swing states. |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:03 PM Author: impertinent school cuckold THEN: "August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984" NOW: August 12, 2016: "What A Clinton Landslide Would Look Like" "That would work out to 471 electoral votes, to 67 for Trump, which would be fairly typical for a win of that magnitude. Dwight D. Eisenhower won 457 electoral votes when beating Adlai Stevenson by 15 points in 1956, for example. And Franklin D. Roosevelt won 472 electoral votes in 1932, in an 18-point win against Herbert Hoover. Clinton would be a ways short of Ronald Reagan’s 525 electoral votes in 1984, however." http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-clinton-landslide-would-look-like/ |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:06 PM Author: Vigorous laser beams tanning salon holy shit did u edit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31172565) |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:07 PM Author: impertinent school cuckold I never edit brother unless I am deleting a person's poasts. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31172569) |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:14 PM Author: lake mood LOL if true. I believe you, bro. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31172627) |
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Date: August 30th, 2016 12:45 PM Author: impertinent school cuckold THEN: August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why." NOW: August 30, 2016: "So, not clear that Trump is improving, so much as Clinton is declining. People maybe jumped the gun in declaring her convention bounce over." http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/770653615916810240 |
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Date: August 30th, 2016 1:26 PM Author: Vigorous laser beams tanning salon 180 i want 2 believe |
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Date: September 6th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: Vigorous laser beams tanning salon lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31345879) |
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Date: September 13th, 2016 5:33 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker Polls Show Trump's Momentum Has Stalled http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/polls-show-trumps-momentum-has-stalled-for-now/ |
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Date: September 14th, 2016 9:41 AM Author: low-t newt space ho lee fuk this is getting good (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31404088) |
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Date: September 14th, 2016 9:43 AM Author: Histrionic brethren new version Wow. Nailed July, August and early September (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31404101) |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 9:58 AM Author: twinkling submissive patrolman background story September 15, 2016
"How Trump Could Win The White House While Losing The Popular Vote"
RUH ROH LIBS |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:34 PM Author: Wine Dragon September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story"
Compare OP's headline to this actual Salon headline today:
Poll panic is here! Yes, Trump is closing, but here’s why it’s meaningless
http://www.salon.com/2016/09/15/its-already-happening-yes-trump-is-closing-in-on-the-polls-but-heres-why-thats-meaningless/ |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:38 PM Author: Irate doobsian native party of the first part god this is good (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31413930) |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:40 PM Author: silver arousing toilet seat spot XO never not on point (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31413938) |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:41 PM Author: Swashbuckling senate trust fund (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31413954) |
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Date: September 19th, 2016 1:18 PM Author: Idiotic mexican ratface (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31443744) |
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Date: September 19th, 2016 1:22 PM Author: Idiotic mexican ratface The AutoAdmit account should tweet this at nate silver. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31443779) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: Vigorous laser beams tanning salon let's not cross the swords (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31503555) |
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Date: September 24th, 2016 5:16 PM Author: impertinent school cuckold (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31482152) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:22 AM Author: rusted set weed whacker http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clinton-won-the-debate-which-means-shes-likely-to-gain-in-the-polls/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31503552) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: Vigorous laser beams tanning salon (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31503554) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: Ruddy Crackhouse This is arguably the greatest, most prescient poast in XO history. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31503556) |
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Date: October 8th, 2016 8:43 PM Author: appetizing coldplay fan parlor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31592208) |
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Date: July 29th, 2024 7:46 PM Author: underhanded razzle-dazzle menage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#47906632) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 9:54 AM Author: low-t newt space http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-could-the-polls-be-missing/
vs
September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom" |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 9:58 AM Author: Histrionic brethren new version (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31511665) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 10:00 AM Author: Vigorous laser beams tanning salon 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31511673) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 11:28 AM Author: twisted sooty elastic band cuckoldry This shit is turning out to be so accurate that I'm starting to suspect OP is a time traveling alien. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31512070) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 2:16 PM Author: Olive irradiated principal's office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31513385) |
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Date: October 8th, 2016 8:41 PM Author: stirring university death wish (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31592192) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM Author: Vigorous laser beams tanning salon hey, this weekend wasnt in the script (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31594952) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM Author: iridescent plaza keepsake machete Trump's mistakes rise was probably a headline somewhere (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31594953) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM Author: Vigorous laser beams tanning salon doesnt fit. a revelation of something he said 11 years ago isn't a mistake it's an october surprise (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31594954) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM Author: territorial associate half the coverage treats it as if he said it just yesterday (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31594956) |
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Date: October 10th, 2016 10:56 AM Author: low-t newt space nate silver simultaneously claiming that all "insta polls are garbage" while citing this poll as a good news for HILLARY:
It’s not clear that voters judge debates in the same way, however. A CNN poll of debate watchers found that even though most voters thought Trump exceeded expectations, 57 percent of them nevertheless declared Clinton the winner, compared with 34 percent for Trump. A YouGov poll of debate watchers showed a much closer outcome, but with Clinton also winning, 47 percent to 42 percent.
These instant-reaction polls actually do have a correlation with post-debate horse-race polls: The candidate who wins the former usually gains in the latter. Perhaps Clinton’s win was modest enough that this will be an exception, especially given that the sentiments of pundits and television commentators (which sometimes matter as much as the debate itself) were all over the map
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-second-debate-probably-didnt-help-trump-and-he-needed-help/
meanwhile:
Big Surprise: Trump Won Instant Junk Polls About Who Won The Debate
As Harry said, the instant online opt-in junk polls — call them troll polls, faux polls, clickers, or your favorite term for them — should be ignored as indicators of who really won. And after Trump touted his win in these junk polls after the first debate, and was widely ridiculed for it, he didn’t cite the junk polls that showed Pence beating Kaine in the vice-presidential debate. Nonetheless, Trump supporters appear to still be flooding these things. Trump’s getting 77 percent in a Heavy.com junk poll asking who won tonight’s debate, an identical 77 percent in Fox 5 San Diego’s and 90 percent in Drudge Report’s.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/second-presidential-debate-election-2016/
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Date: October 30th, 2016 10:02 PM Author: Bronze greedy trailer park mental disorder close enough. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31763265) |
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Date: November 1st, 2016 12:35 AM Author: soul-stirring church mediation Almost there (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31772625) |
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Date: November 1st, 2016 4:55 PM Author: silver arousing toilet seat spot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31777531) |
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Date: November 2nd, 2016 8:24 AM Author: dull skinny woman (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31782180) |
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Date: November 2nd, 2016 6:59 PM Author: self-absorbed titillating degenerate roommate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31786832) |
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Date: November 7th, 2016 3:23 PM Author: low-t newt space prob the last time we can bump this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31825019) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM Author: transparent aphrodisiac national blood rage You say that but..... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31833310) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM Author: low-t newt space true, the shitlibs can bump all they like (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31833315) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 7:59 PM Author: impertinent school cuckold ty for your sympathy bump. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31839758) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:53 PM Author: low-t newt space ho lee fuk (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31844114) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:04 PM Author: diverse translucent giraffe sandwich (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31842891) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:05 PM Author: grizzly police squad house Tbf, he was the one that was the most bullish on Trump
LJL at Sam Wang who called 99% for Hillary |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:33 PM Author: poppy love of her life (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31843660) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:59 PM Author: Idiotic mexican ratface (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31844292) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 11:10 PM Author: impertinent school cuckold (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31844674) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:07 AM Author: Erotic Windowlicker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31846281) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:08 AM Author: twinkling submissive patrolman background story (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31846326) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:12 AM Author: Laughsome Philosopher-king (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31846448) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:22 AM Author: impertinent school cuckold (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31848552) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:25 AM Author: silver arousing toilet seat spot GOAT POTUS THREAD. ALL TIME HALL OF FAME (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31848608) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:28 AM Author: Erotic Windowlicker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31848693) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:30 AM Author: Bronze greedy trailer park mental disorder it really deserves national attention (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31848755) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:31 AM Author: Vivacious Box Office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31848775) |
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Date: December 3rd, 2016 2:00 AM Author: Bull headed circlehead bawdyhouse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#32044462) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM Author: Dark Racy Coffee Pot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#32076291) |
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Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM Author: Wonderful Locus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#32165256) |
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Date: October 11th, 2024 12:48 PM Author: flushed state (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#48187313) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:29 AM Author: French gas station ceo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31848725) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:54 AM Author: Stimulating canary den candlestick maker Historic. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31849301) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 2:03 AM Author: pale dysfunction (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31849447) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 2:07 AM Author: Carnelian kitchen 180
The anti-Rudolph. |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 3:37 AM Author: Bull headed circlehead bawdyhouse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31851790) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 5:12 AM Author: soul-stirring church mediation (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31852918) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM Author: impertinent school cuckold (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31854576) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM Author: Razzle anal tank this cannot be bumped enough. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31854584) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:52 AM Author: Vigorous laser beams tanning salon (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31855383) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:59 AM Author: sepia excitant legend (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31855482) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 6:51 PM Author: impertinent school cuckold (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31863076) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM Author: Bateful stag film (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31863082) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM Author: aromatic judgmental puppy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31863093) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 7:08 PM Author: impertinent school cuckold November 9, 2016: "We’ll have more to say about the polling in the coming days. But to a first approximation, people are probably giving the polls a little bit too much blame." http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-difference-2-percentage-points-makes/ |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 7:26 PM Author: slap-happy red institution turdskin you're fucking nostradamus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31863503) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 1:58 AM Author: cerebral fishy partner (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31866924) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:37 AM Author: apoplectic boyish area potus Here we go... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31868448) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 1:48 AM Author: Irate doobsian native party of the first part bumped (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31866864) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 2:08 AM Author: high-end selfie (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31867005) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:13 AM Author: impertinent school cuckold sorry I got it wrong, this is CNN, November 10, 2016: "'The polls clearly got it wrong': The autopsy will take months" http://money.cnn.com/2016/11/10/media/election-day-polls/index.html |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:15 AM Author: low-t newt space ROFL (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31868235) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:49 AM Author: Big becky pistol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31868543) |
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Date: November 14th, 2016 4:42 PM Author: Idiotic mexican ratface (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31907692) |
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Date: November 14th, 2016 4:43 PM Author: 180 station They're all heads attached to the same (((monster))) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31907697) |
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Date: December 4th, 2016 6:17 PM Author: sinister dashing library cumskin Extraordinary prescience itt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#32055646) |
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Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM Author: Wonderful Locus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#32165261) |
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Date: October 11th, 2024 12:48 PM Author: flushed state (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#48187317) |
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Date: November 25th, 2016 12:22 PM Author: impertinent school cuckold (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#31989410) |
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Date: December 3rd, 2016 1:51 AM Author: Henna sanctuary (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#32044435) |
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Date: December 4th, 2016 6:15 PM Author: territorial associate GEPETTO'S CHECKMARK! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#32055631) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:40 AM Author: comical hospital cuck https://i.sli.mg/nElXDz.jpg (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#32076268) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM Author: Irate doobsian native party of the first part (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#32076292) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:56 AM Author: Henna sanctuary (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#32076345) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 7:58 PM Author: impertinent school cuckold (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#32284600) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM Author: know-it-all glittery multi-billionaire October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dont-read-too-much-into-early-voting/
OCT 27, 2016 AT 11:29 AM
Don’t Read Too Much Into Early Voting |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:03 PM Author: impertinent school cuckold ty, this & your "turning points" are PEAK XO. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#32284631) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM Author: know-it-all glittery multi-billionaire ITT we speculate who created Donald Trump
also a classic |
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Date: March 3rd, 2020 9:23 AM Author: impertinent school cuckold (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#39686962) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM Author: Irate doobsian native party of the first part truly magnificent (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#32284649) |
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Date: January 16th, 2017 10:57 PM Author: floppy crystalline locale (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#32389095) |
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Date: January 20th, 2017 12:01 AM Author: know-it-all glittery multi-billionaire https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-real-story-of-2016/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#32412323) |
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Date: January 20th, 2017 12:24 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#32416346) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:43 PM Author: know-it-all glittery multi-billionaire http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-electoral-college-blind-spot/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/it-wasnt-clintons-election-to-lose/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-invisible-undecided-voter/ |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM Author: stirring university death wish TBF this is mostly 538 gloating about how they were one of the only outlets to give Trump a reasonable chance of winning and how most were ignoring these factors (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#32441222) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:46 PM Author: know-it-all glittery multi-billionaire It's a well deserved gloat. They did a very good job on the general election after getting their teeth kicked in during the primary. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#32441238) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:49 PM Author: Electric fluffy deer antler I'm not sure I agree that they should be gloating given that they were pretty confident and ended up being wrong, but I do agree that they were better than pretty much any other similar source out there for the last week or so of the election. The cynic in me says that they probably just said 70% because they figured it was no-lose since they're either right or least wrong (as they ended up being).
What are those assholes at Princeton up to? |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:56 PM Author: stirring university death wish it's not like their number didn't change over time. IIRC it peaked around ~85% in the middle of the debates and slid over the last couple weeks when her lead was slipping
it's still basically an aggregator, just one that processes the numbers in a way to arrive at a more reasonable prediction % than others. e.g. princeton puts way too much faith in state polls not swinging by a good amount the last couple weeks (if I had to guess)
it seems they learned their lesson after taking the "party decides" BS as bible pre-primary and numbers-wise when they had Hillary >99% to win Michigan (state polls can be very volatile). obviously the staff is lib but that actual model is fine for what it is |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:58 PM Author: know-it-all glittery multi-billionaire The national polls and state polls favored Clinton. It was correct to have her as a favorite. Trump outperformed the national polls by 2 points. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#32441319) |
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Date: January 25th, 2017 4:32 PM Author: know-it-all glittery multi-billionaire https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/ohio-was-a-bellwether-after-all/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#32458110) |
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Date: January 26th, 2017 4:19 PM Author: know-it-all glittery multi-billionaire https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/early-voting-was-a-misleading-indicator/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#32466804) |
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Date: February 6th, 2017 6:42 PM Author: know-it-all glittery multi-billionaire https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-had-a-superior-electoral-college-strategy/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#32560776) |
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Date: February 13th, 2017 2:51 PM Author: know-it-all glittery multi-billionaire https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clintons-ground-game-didnt-cost-her-the-election/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#32612572) |
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Date: February 27th, 2017 6:25 PM Author: know-it-all glittery multi-billionaire https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-you-shouldnt-always-trust-the-inside-scoop/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#32714310) |
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Date: May 3rd, 2017 1:52 PM Author: know-it-all glittery multi-billionaire https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-comey-letter-probably-cost-clinton-the-election/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#33221553) |
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Date: May 3rd, 2017 4:47 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#33222883) |
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Date: September 21st, 2017 8:38 AM Author: know-it-all glittery multi-billionaire https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-media-has-a-probability-problem/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#34257967) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM Author: Violent motley hominid this seriously needs mainstream coverage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#32441221) |
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Date: February 27th, 2017 6:39 PM Author: silver arousing toilet seat spot One of the greatest things made on this great bort (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#32714399) |
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Date: March 22nd, 2017 7:01 PM Author: Mind-boggling insanely creepy community account lodge (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#32891711) |
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Date: April 17th, 2017 9:53 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#33097887) |
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Date: May 8th, 2017 12:36 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/861611275717156868 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#33256991) |
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Date: June 20th, 2017 9:18 PM Author: impertinent school cuckold (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#33605191) |
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Date: August 10th, 2017 3:50 PM Author: impertinent school cuckold What Kind Of Republican Might Challenge Trump In 2020? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-kind-of-republican-might-challenge-trump-in-2020/ |
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Date: October 15th, 2017 4:42 PM Author: impertinent school cuckold https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/is-it-safe-to-say-trump-is-a-favorite-to-win-re-election/amp/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#34449074) |
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Date: October 15th, 2017 4:47 PM Author: floppy crystalline locale (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#34449102) |
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Date: October 15th, 2017 4:53 PM Author: Contagious property gaping (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#34449138) |
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Date: November 6th, 2017 10:06 AM Author: impertinent school cuckold (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#34615930) |
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Date: November 6th, 2017 10:09 AM Author: brilliant goal in life credit where it's massively due (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#34615959) |
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Date: November 8th, 2017 3:45 PM Author: abusive slate step-uncle's house wrinkle (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#34636123) |
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Date: November 8th, 2017 4:42 PM Author: Cheese-eating vermilion alpha (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#34636459) |
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Date: November 13th, 2017 1:43 AM Author: Ruby Athletic Conference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#34673088) |
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Date: December 18th, 2017 11:47 AM Author: floppy crystalline locale (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#34948560) |
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Date: December 18th, 2017 11:50 AM Author: Vigorous laser beams tanning salon Will Passing The Tax Bill Help The GOP In 2018? Probably Not. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#34948572) |
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Date: December 18th, 2017 3:44 PM Author: floppy crystalline locale (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#34950581) |
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Date: January 30th, 2018 3:02 PM Author: impertinent school cuckold (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#35278621) |
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Date: June 1st, 2018 7:46 PM Author: Irate doobsian native party of the first part (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#36168381) |
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Date: July 18th, 2018 10:15 AM Author: rusted set weed whacker https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/would-republicans-be-better-off-if-clinton-were-president/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#36451135) |
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Date: July 19th, 2018 11:53 AM Author: floppy crystalline locale (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#36458802) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 7:28 AM Author: Swashbuckling senate trust fund (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#36847087) |
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Date: September 25th, 2018 11:32 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker The GOP’s Least-Worst Option Is If Kavanaugh Withdraws — And Soon https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-gops-least-worst-option-is-if-kavanaugh-withdraws-and-soon/ SEE OP: "January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out" " |
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Date: October 6th, 2018 4:22 PM Author: Impressive Liquid Oxygen It's about time for the OP's last prediction to come true (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#36973680) |
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Date: October 6th, 2018 4:23 PM Author: impertinent school cuckold lol 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#36973690) |
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Date: October 25th, 2018 12:04 AM Author: Irate doobsian native party of the first part (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#37090167) |
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Date: October 25th, 2018 12:09 AM Author: Wine Dragon Man, this was a really great thread. Spectacular. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#37090191) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:05 AM Author: cyan school cafeteria sound barrier (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#37161974) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 9:58 AM Author: Irate doobsian native party of the first part (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#37161955) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:19 AM Author: Mind-boggling insanely creepy community account lodge (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#37162045) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:58 PM Author: Irate doobsian native party of the first part (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#37167335) |
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Date: January 8th, 2019 3:58 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker What Would It Take For Trump To Get Primaried? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-would-it-take-for-trump-to-get-primaried/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#37553376) |
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Date: February 23rd, 2019 10:41 PM Author: misanthropic site (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#37833345) |
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Date: March 13th, 2019 11:17 AM Author: impertinent school cuckold Brendan makes some good points here. All that said, my main point would be this — a lot of people misremember Trump bucking the CW and winning the 2016 nomination as a “polls were wrong” case when actually it was an “sophisticated experts dismissed the polls” case. https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1105835180281991170 Yeah, this. Trump didn't lead the polls at *this* stage, but he did from summer 2015 on as people like me kept coming up with elaborate explanations for why he'd lose to Rubio etc. He's a good data point for "'experts' are full of shit, so you might as well go with the polls." https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1105848702986526726
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Date: June 24th, 2019 9:04 AM Author: cyan school cafeteria sound barrier There was a new leader every 2 weeks in the 2012 primary. Polls can’t predict future changes. Trump stuck, Herman Caine didn’t, but yeah, experts are full of shit. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#38431500) |
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Date: June 24th, 2019 8:06 AM Author: opaque cruise ship quadroon (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#38431431) |
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Date: November 18th, 2019 3:05 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#39135638) |
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Date: February 12th, 2020 12:14 PM Author: silver arousing toilet seat spot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#39583415) |
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Date: February 12th, 2020 1:03 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#39583624) |
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Date: March 24th, 2020 10:12 AM Author: impertinent school cuckold (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#39849854) |
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Date: March 24th, 2020 10:16 AM Author: gaming laptop round eye (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#39849877) |
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Date: April 4th, 2020 12:07 PM Author: Vengeful rose mother (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#39938878) |
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Date: April 26th, 2020 4:40 PM Author: impertinent school cuckold (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#40097972) |
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Date: May 13th, 2020 6:37 AM Author: impertinent school cuckold https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/two-special-elections-on-tuesday-could-hint-at-another-blue-wave-in-2020/amp/ In case you don't get the joke, the Republican in Wisconsin won by 14, & the Republican in California is up 10 with most ballots in for a seat Dems have held since 1998. |
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Date: June 5th, 2020 2:05 PM Author: Vengeful rose mother (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#40354730) |
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Date: June 5th, 2020 3:46 PM Author: sticky place of business fortuitous meteor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#40355911) |
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Date: September 9th, 2020 11:46 PM Author: Vengeful rose mother (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#40896459) |
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Date: September 9th, 2020 11:56 PM Author: silver arousing toilet seat spot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#40896523) |
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Date: September 9th, 2020 11:57 PM Author: cocky white scourge upon the earth forum Lmao never forget (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#40896526) |
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Date: September 12th, 2020 1:55 PM Author: Azure depressive half-breed (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#40908695) |
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Date: October 10th, 2020 9:10 PM Author: floppy crystalline locale (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#41088157) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:24 PM Author: geriatric dog poop (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#41166967) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:27 PM Author: Bull headed circlehead bawdyhouse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#41166990) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:34 PM Author: Provocative alcoholic chapel boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#41167039) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:37 PM Author: Provocative alcoholic chapel boiling water https://imgur.com/a/mXMUHui (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#41167053) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:57 AM Author: Copper Really Tough Guy Jewess (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#44203011) |
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Date: October 27th, 2020 5:47 PM Author: impertinent school cuckold (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#41200021) |
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Date: October 27th, 2020 11:29 PM Author: Mind-boggling insanely creepy community account lodge (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#41202581) |
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Date: October 30th, 2020 2:57 PM Author: opaque cruise ship quadroon (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#41222868) |
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Date: November 3rd, 2020 9:51 PM Author: floppy crystalline locale (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#41261120) |
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Date: March 22nd, 2022 11:29 AM Author: rusted set weed whacker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#44196611) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:51 AM Author: meetinghouse indirect expression (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#44202968) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:54 AM Author: puce milk voyeur (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#44202984) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:58 AM Author: kitty 180 and prescient (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#44203017) |
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Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#44911871) |
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Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM Author: cocky white scourge upon the earth forum A classic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#44911874) |
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Date: October 23rd, 2022 4:13 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#45378008) |
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Date: November 16th, 2022 6:19 AM Author: impertinent school cuckold Why DeSantis Is a Major Threat to Trump's Reelection
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-desantis-is-a-major-threat-to-trumps-reelection/ |
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Date: April 25th, 2023 1:31 PM Author: impertinent school cuckold https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1650899579234140168 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#46237455) |
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Date: April 25th, 2023 1:33 PM Author: Razzle anal tank why was disney employing this guy anyways (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#46237460) |
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Date: April 29th, 2023 7:52 PM Author: burgundy genital piercing national security agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#46252623) |
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Date: May 28th, 2023 3:10 PM Author: underhanded razzle-dazzle menage FOCK!
This still hurts to read |
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Date: February 22nd, 2024 4:54 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#47428670) |
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Date: February 23rd, 2024 4:00 AM Author: burgundy genital piercing national security agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#47430198) |
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Date: May 23rd, 2024 4:51 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker https://www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a/is-the-biden-campaign-running-on-false-hope As FiveThirtyEight makes clear in their piece, “While the polls in a few closely watched races—like Arizona’s governorship and Pennsylvania’s Senate seat—were biased toward Republicans, the polls overall still had a bit of a bias toward Democrats. That’s because generic-ballot polls, the most common type of poll last cycle, had a weighted-average bias of D+1.9, and polls of several less closely watched races, like the governorships in Ohio and Florida, also skewed toward Democrats.”
I’m ending the interview. I’m ending the interview because what you’re doing is ridiculous.
Wait, wait—why?
Because I have definitive proof that what you’re saying is not true. And I don’t care. I know what FiveThirtyEight wrote. I live this every day. And so, the point is what you’re saying is wrong. I am on record saying that what FiveThirtyEight has written is incorrect, and I’ve given you definitive proof otherwise. So if you want to keep coming back at this, do it. But this has become one of the most ridiculous interviews that I’ve ever done my entire professional career. |
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Date: August 26th, 2024 3:52 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#48010724) |
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Date: September 13th, 2024 11:24 PM Author: burgundy genital piercing national security agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#48087201) |
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Date: September 13th, 2024 11:32 PM Author: cocky white scourge upon the earth forum One of the GOAT threads of all time (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#48087224) |
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Date: October 18th, 2024 1:46 PM Author: burgundy genital piercing national security agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#48211967) |
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Date: October 11th, 2024 12:45 PM Author: flushed state (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#48187302) |
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Date: November 6th, 2024 5:16 AM Author: rusted set weed whacker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#48296972) |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:30 PM Author: Vivacious Box Office 538 is being shut down. This post is now complete. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#48715841) |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:32 PM Author: Vivacious Box Office https://x.com/ericldaugh/status/1897135211810545835?s=46 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#48715847) |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:33 PM Author: Swashbuckling senate trust fund Lol actually his model was right at almost every turn
*facts cum* |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:37 PM Author: flushed state The post isn't fully complete until Nate Silver passes peacefully away from full blown AIDS (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#48715863) |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:41 PM Author: rigor He has to be sucking cock at the port authority for bus fare to complete the circle (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#48715869) |
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Date: March 5th, 2025 8:13 AM Author: Fear-inspiring Mad Cow Disease Haunted Graveyard (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#48716330) |
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Date: March 7th, 2025 11:34 AM Author: rusted set weed whacker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#48724299) |
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Date: March 7th, 2025 11:36 AM Author: Dun codepig 538 is now 404 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#48724306) |
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Date: March 8th, 2025 5:10 AM Author: rusted set weed whacker "How Trump Killed 538" https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/03/07/fivethirtyeight-nate-silver-election-polls/ |
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Date: March 8th, 2025 7:12 AM Author: unholy corn cake Was just thinking about this poast the other day and how much went into maeking it. Truly a work of art. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#48727216) |
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Date: March 8th, 2025 12:42 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker Holy shit it's all gone, they beleted everything. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#48727802) |
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Date: February 18th, 2026 11:20 PM Author: Violent motley hominid (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=2755525#49679495) |
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Date: May 15th, 2026 12:08 PM Author: rusted set weed whacker ABC News has now taken all FiveThirtyEight articles completely offline. They now redirect to abcnews dot com/politics. A needless erasure of thousands of pages of knowledge. https://x.com/baseballot/status/2055309076209492208 |
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Date: May 17th, 2026 11:01 AM Author: sick i sense that there is a bit of a movement to shame ABC into providing access again.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/16/business/media/fivethirtyeight-abc-removed.html |