The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
|
 |
 
|
If Trump wins comfortably then 90% of cons were gaslit and MASE was right
Poast new message in this thread
Date: September 30th, 2024 9:56 PM Author: bip if Trump is cruising then every ounce of panic anxiety (admittedly small) was due to mainstream media actively lying to promote their candidate and we should have all been stunting like MASE this entire time. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48148222) |
Date: September 30th, 2024 9:59 PM Author: MASE Hey. You got the next five weeks to strut if you want. God knows I will. I'm going to be so insufferable until election day and then I'll harass libs after he wins too. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48148234) |
 |
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:00 PM Author: bip If Trump wins you will become King of the Shitcons it is true. I will attend your coronation on behalf of High Priestess Boobert. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48148237) |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:05 PM Author: sealclubber it is very easy to believe mase is correct. it is very easy to believe he is not. for the sake of the country, assuming you wish it the best, any win by trump will suffice. it doesn't need to be a blowout or a squeaker, just a win. libs have shit for brains. america has many libs. |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:09 PM Author: bip This is the first decent sealclubber poast in history. Glad Trump is bringing out the best in you. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48148264) |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:19 PM Author: sealclubber my posts are all the same. i just favor israel against their terrorist neighbors. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48148299) |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:20 PM Author: bip Ok this is ncr. Two state solution or gtfo. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48148305) |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:23 PM Author: sealclubber haha, i must gtfo on xoxo. so be it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48148323) |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:24 PM Author: bip You're insane Israel is evil as an institution (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48148328) |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:28 PM Author: sealclubber not worth getting into in this post. i'll let you have the last word after this response. i don't care how evil israel is, when you do what hamas did on 10/7, you have begged for retaliation without mercy. and they still have hostages. your turn. |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:30 PM Author: bip Respectfully I disagree. I am no Hamas supporter. I don't love terrorists or murder. But Isreal is equally to blame. They've also killed way too many civilians, women, and children. Two rights don't make a wrong. I also don't believe Bibi has done anything to focus on hostage rescue. Instead he is prolonging the war for financial and political gain imo. He's a very sick individual. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48148363) |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:21 PM Author: """'""""'' no it's not, it's even worse than his usual poasts (except for his shilling for Israel shit, which is truly bottom of the barrel). (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48148315) |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:23 PM Author: bip No he's right it's a tight race and is basically a cointoss. He's actually right about this in a microcosm. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48148325) |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:09 PM Author: MASE I think most cons fears that he is not is simply that: fears, mostly unfounded, although the inclination is understandable after what happened last time.
You have to be intentionally blind or not looking for proof that he is winning by a lot. It was close last time - 10k votes in WI, 80k in PA. This time he will win comfortably.
I encourage you to come up with a mental model for how this election will go based on available data. It is hard to find any that is not bullish for him. |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:17 PM Author: sealclubber the polls over and over show the generic democrat doing well against trump. harris has done everything possible to be the generic democrat since biden fell apart. that she is still the same pathetic horrible shitlib she's always been is not the point. libs have shit for brains. another point worth bringing up is that trump brings out the lib hate unlike anyone we have ever seen in our lifetimes. |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:18 PM Author: bip (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48148296) |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:24 PM Author: MASE These are just principles. Not metrics. Yes, Kamala leads Trump in some polls. By all polls, she polls significantly worse than either Clinton or Biden. By significantly worse I mean 6-7 points worse than Biden 2020 and 1-2 points worse than Clinton 2016. Trump leads more polls than he did in either previous election. Toplines on polls are bullshit though. I’m more interested in where his support is increasing with. Black men. Union workers. Latinos. The real question is how high will white turnout be? By all accounts, enthusiasm is higher than it’s ever been for Trump. I don’t know. Libs have always hated Trump. But there are less of them than ever. https://news.gallup.com/poll/651092/2024-election-environment-favorable-gop.aspx |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:26 PM Author: bip There's a chance of a major realignment where minorities become more conservative and whites become more liberal. I would fear this scenario if I'm Trump. He may win more blacks and Latinos than any modern GOP candidate but lose the election because of suburban whites. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48148338) |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:28 PM Author: MASE Zero percent chances of this. The first Republican in decades to win majority teamsters support. It’s more likely that polls are underestimating the white vote. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48148348) |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:29 PM Author: bip If there's one thing that makes me nervous it's that there are more whites voting lol. Have you met any white people lately? They are gonzo libs riddled with white guilt. Based Latinos have no guilt and hate inflation. Trump may be done here. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48148361) |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:40 PM Author: MASE I want you to answer me this: who is voting for Kamala Harris in the white voting bloc that wasn’t already voting for Biden (a man that was going to lose this election by such a large margin that his own party forced him out of the race)?
The Trump campaign decided early on that after three elections with Trump in the mix, there are not a lot of undecided voters left. For the most part, everyone has made up their kind. In that kind of environment, this is not a game of convincing independents, it’s a turnout game.
Whites are the most powerful electoral group, but here’s the problem. Kamala’s portion of the demo are already voting for her. White educated libs vote every election. They are vastly outnumbered by working class and middle class whites, both which go to Trump. The problem is getting these guys to vote. If there was 100% white turnout, Trump would dominate every election.
So there’s the battle. Getting gains with black men and Latinos are nice, but if you can get low propensity white voters out, it’s game over.
Do you think that’s not happening? Do you not see that these people are more motivated to vote than they’ve ever been?
Let me know if you disagree and I’ll start carpet bombing you with receipts. |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:54 PM Author: bip >They are vastly outnumbered by working class and middle class whites, both which go to Trump.
I'm not necessarily sure this is true. Look at Montgomery, Bucks, Allegheny counties. They're more UMC lib types. Biden won because he drove all the suburban white people out. Trump got a record number of votes in 2020 and still lost. That should scare us.
If Kamala loses it's due to low enthusiasm. She needs to hit fever pitch metrics to win. If you look at the Philly Main Line Biden was able to gain 5% from Hillary in 2016. These are culturally UMC areas. Not blue collar whites. I agree whites sway the election. And Kamala is somewhere between Biden and Hillary popularity wise. That's why the polls are so tight. She's a little better than Clinton and a little worse than Biden. Hence the cointoss. |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 11:00 PM Author: MASE She’s very clearly worse than Hillary among whites and polls worse. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48148467) |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 11:04 PM Author: bip 🫢 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48148474) |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:33 PM Author: sealclubber as i said first "it is very easy to believe mase is correct." i'm just afraid you aren't. also, besides having shit for brains libs have scum for brains libs are evil they cheat and are very good at it |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:20 PM Author: """'""""'' this is a retarded as fuck poast even for you sealclubber. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48148312) |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:23 PM Author: sealclubber Author: """'""""'' lib |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:14 PM Author: little man borderstp ran the same schtick 4 years ago. Talking about how xo would be anointing him king after the election. He was forced to fade into oblivion when he was proven wrong. Same thing will happen to MASE except he'll bitch nonstop about how he was right but ACKSHULLY the election was stolen. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48148284) |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:16 PM Author: MASE I’ve promised to retire if I’m wrong, but I’m not. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48148290) |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:19 PM Author: bip If you leave this community will die (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48148298) |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:27 PM Author: ti No, don't. I'll miss you. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48148347) |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:28 PM Author: MASE You won’t because I’m not going to be retiring. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48148350) |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:29 PM Author: ti I hope you're wrong, but I also hope you'll stay nonetheless. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48148359) |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:31 PM Author: bip (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48148370) |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:20 PM Author: """'""""'' he's not going to win comfortably. LMAO
he can't even get 500 people to attend his shitty rallies anymore. |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:21 PM Author: bip (avid SNL watcher) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48148313) |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:25 PM Author: MASE What does comfortably mean? He may win the popular vote. He will win PA by 50k+ votes. |
|
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:28 PM Author: latest kike moniker this is already a foregone conclusion and you guys are going to be so mad when it happens (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48148352) |