\
  The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
BackRefresh Options Favorite

OFFICIAL ELECTION 2024 PREDICTION (Soren Bob)

Trump 306 EV's Kamala 232 EV's Trump wins AZ, GA, PA, M...
Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease
  10/16/24
Date: October 16th, 2024 2:05 PM Author: dashing pocket fla...
Bright exhilarant bawdyhouse scourge upon the earth
  10/29/24
LOL @ u
twisted clear headpube parlour
  11/09/24
...
Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease
  10/16/24
Rate mine https://www.270towin.com/maps/eKz7P
Charismatic locale
  10/16/24
172, I don't think Trump is winning NV, but, it's definitely...
Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease
  10/16/24
Overly optimistic. The problem is early voting, which the de...
Lime cerebral filthpig plaza
  10/16/24
I don't think you're paying attention to EV/VBM numbers or e...
Charismatic locale
  10/16/24
Dems are outnumbering Republicans 16:1 EV
Mint Supple Affirmative Action
  10/16/24
Link?
Charismatic locale
  10/16/24
Punting like a pussy, sorry https://substack.com/@neofeud...
Insane stimulating theater stage
  10/16/24
This is my optimistic prediction: https://www.270towin.com/m...
Lime cerebral filthpig plaza
  10/16/24
I don't see MI staying blue.
Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease
  10/16/24
Agreed. I am updating my map based on how things are going. ...
Lime cerebral filthpig plaza
  10/22/24
Kamala already has won, Birdshits.
Brindle arousing hissy fit
  10/16/24
...
shaky green state codepig
  10/17/24
...
Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease
  10/17/24
Good midpoint prediction. I think TRUMP wins Nevada, and Har...
Hairraiser Messiness
  10/17/24
I spent a lot of time in vegas this summer and I felt it was...
Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease
  10/17/24
...
Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease
  10/22/24
book it https://www.270towin.com/maps/dBOr4
razzle-dazzle home queen of the night
  10/22/24
NV and WI look like long shots
Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease
  10/22/24
mine is looking better and better
razzle-dazzle home queen of the night
  10/29/24
Still rolling with this.
razzle-dazzle home queen of the night
  11/03/24
...
Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease
  10/29/24
...
Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease
  11/03/24
putting pride aside, you still think this? LJL
cheese-eating windowlicker point
  11/03/24
I don't think Trump is winning MI and WI, but I'm going to ...
Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease
  11/04/24
no way he wins both
mildly autistic chartreuse jewess school cafeteria
  11/04/24
Right now: Trunp 1.67 kamala 2.22
Fishy cracking office
  11/04/24
https://www.270towin.com/maps/Be1DE Trump was on track to...
up-to-no-good cruise ship
  11/04/24
...
Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease
  11/05/24
cautiously optimistic that I've nailed it for the fourth ele...
Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease
  11/05/24
https://www.270towin.com/maps/GzyVB i had this before the...
Underhanded Preventive Strike Ceo
  11/05/24
I think I won gunerattt's 50$ gift card
Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease
  11/06/24
you did good
Hairraiser Messiness
  11/06/24
thank you thank you thank you
Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease
  11/06/24
180
Underhanded Preventive Strike Ceo
  11/06/24
looks like MASE might have been closer? we'll see how it sha...
Crusty elite ratface
  11/06/24
How did I do? I was pretty close
Soul-stirring Mischievous Spot Cuckold
  11/06/24
im in no condition to do math rn plus the totals aren't in. ...
Crusty elite ratface
  11/06/24
Give me some props people!
Fishy cracking office
  11/06/24
...
Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease
  11/09/24
...
Soren "Bob" Odenkierkegaard
  11/20/24
still can't underestimate the media's ability to make people...
peeface
  11/20/24
...
Soren "Bob" Odenkierkegaard
  11/20/24


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: October 16th, 2024 2:05 PM
Author: Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease

Trump 306 EV's

Kamala 232 EV's

Trump wins AZ, GA, PA, MI, and WI. Kamala retains NV.

I thought New Mexico was in play and some other unexpected blue states will go red. But, that's a bit out there to be part of my official prediction.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48204285)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 29th, 2024 5:31 PM
Author: Bright exhilarant bawdyhouse scourge upon the earth

Date: October 16th, 2024 2:05 PM

Author: dashing pocket flask

Trump 306 EV's

Kamala 232 EV's

Trump wins AZ, GA, PA, MI, and WI. Kamala retains NV.

I thought New Mexico was in play and some other unexpected blue states will go red. But, that's a bit out there to be part of my official prediction.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2#48204285)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48255320)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 2:38 AM
Author: twisted clear headpube parlour

LOL @ u

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48314020)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 16th, 2024 2:11 PM
Author: Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48204307)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 16th, 2024 2:13 PM
Author: Charismatic locale

Rate mine

https://www.270towin.com/maps/eKz7P

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48204312)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 16th, 2024 2:20 PM
Author: Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease

172, I don't think Trump is winning NV, but, it's definitely possible.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48204347)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 16th, 2024 2:52 PM
Author: Lime cerebral filthpig plaza

Overly optimistic. The problem is early voting, which the dems rely on heavily and they're frankly right to do so. We make all our people come out on one day and shit goes wrong so we miss voters across the board. Given that a few thousand people in a handful of states decide these things, these voters lost at the margins really matter. Conservatives need to be shouting vote vote vote from the rooftops nonstop, and I just don't see them doing that.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48204473)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 16th, 2024 2:57 PM
Author: Charismatic locale

I don't think you're paying attention to EV/VBM numbers or else you wouldn't bee saying that.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48204489)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 16th, 2024 3:01 PM
Author: Mint Supple Affirmative Action

Dems are outnumbering Republicans 16:1 EV

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48204510)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 16th, 2024 3:05 PM
Author: Charismatic locale

Link?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48204522)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 16th, 2024 2:14 PM
Author: Insane stimulating theater stage

Punting like a pussy, sorry

https://substack.com/@neofeudalism/note/c-72851046?utm_source=notes-share-action

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48204315)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 16th, 2024 2:45 PM
Author: Lime cerebral filthpig plaza

This is my optimistic prediction: https://www.270towin.com/maps/X1zWp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48204450)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 16th, 2024 3:08 PM
Author: Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease

I don't see MI staying blue.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48204528)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2024 8:03 PM
Author: Lime cerebral filthpig plaza

Agreed. I am updating my map based on how things are going. All 7 swing states for Trump: https://www.270towin.com/maps/NdyOA

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48228461)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 16th, 2024 11:31 PM
Author: Brindle arousing hissy fit

Kamala already has won, Birdshits.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48206292)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 17th, 2024 12:37 AM
Author: shaky green state codepig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48206384)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 17th, 2024 8:01 AM
Author: Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48206819)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 17th, 2024 8:12 AM
Author: Hairraiser Messiness

Good midpoint prediction. I think TRUMP wins Nevada, and Harris surprisingly wins one of the other ones (maybe GA), but apart from that I agree.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48206839)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 17th, 2024 9:07 AM
Author: Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease

I spent a lot of time in vegas this summer and I felt it was much more liberal than I've ever felt before, probably from all the californians moving there and bringing with them their party affiliations. Conversely, in 2021 they were practically giving away stays at the Trump hotel and over the summer it was tough to book a reservation.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48206965)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2024 6:09 PM
Author: Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48228121)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2024 6:12 PM
Author: razzle-dazzle home queen of the night

book it

https://www.270towin.com/maps/dBOr4

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48228126)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 22nd, 2024 8:13 PM
Author: Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease

NV and WI look like long shots

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48228491)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 29th, 2024 5:50 PM
Author: razzle-dazzle home queen of the night

mine is looking better and better

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48255393)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 3rd, 2024 8:40 PM
Author: razzle-dazzle home queen of the night

Still rolling with this.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48277800)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 29th, 2024 5:31 PM
Author: Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48255318)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 3rd, 2024 7:16 PM
Author: Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48277428)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 3rd, 2024 8:46 PM
Author: cheese-eating windowlicker point

putting pride aside, you still think this? LJL

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48277830)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 4th, 2024 3:57 AM
Author: Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease

I don't think Trump is winning MI and WI, but I'm going to stick to my guns with my prediction anyway.

I'm a go full faggot like Nate Silver and say "my gut says Trump" but I'm feeling more unsure this time around, unlike my Trump prediction in 2016 and Biden prediction in 2020.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48278843)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 4th, 2024 3:58 AM
Author: mildly autistic chartreuse jewess school cafeteria

no way he wins both



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48278845)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 4th, 2024 4:33 AM
Author: Fishy cracking office

Right now:

Trunp 1.67

kamala 2.22

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48278888)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 4th, 2024 5:27 AM
Author: up-to-no-good cruise ship

https://www.270towin.com/maps/Be1DE

Trump was on track to win most/all the swing states when he did McDonalds two weeks ago, but his campaign declared victory too early and made a series of blunders which will lead undecideds to break for Harris, giving her the Rust Belt plus North Carolina.

Hope I’m wrong.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48278958)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 8:57 PM
Author: Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48291603)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 9:46 PM
Author: Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease

cautiously optimistic that I've nailed it for the fourth election in a row here on xo

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48292124)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 5th, 2024 9:48 PM
Author: Underhanded Preventive Strike Ceo

https://www.270towin.com/maps/GzyVB

i had this before the night started but i'm not especially confident about PA, and I think he wins either MI or WI, but not both and it'll be very close

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48292138)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 6th, 2024 12:05 AM
Author: Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease

I think I won gunerattt's 50$ gift card

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48294486)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 6th, 2024 12:13 AM
Author: Hairraiser Messiness

you did good

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48294638)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 6th, 2024 2:04 AM
Author: Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease

thank you thank you thank you

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48296061)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 6th, 2024 2:47 AM
Author: Underhanded Preventive Strike Ceo

180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48296446)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 6th, 2024 2:59 AM
Author: Crusty elite ratface

looks like MASE might have been closer? we'll see how it shakes out once totals are in!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48296562)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 6th, 2024 3:00 AM
Author: Soul-stirring Mischievous Spot Cuckold

How did I do? I was pretty close

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48296572)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 6th, 2024 3:03 AM
Author: Crusty elite ratface

im in no condition to do math rn plus the totals aren't in. it looks like MASE had the boldest trump margins and Trump may outperform even them.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48296596)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 6th, 2024 3:03 AM
Author: Fishy cracking office

Give me some props people!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48296597)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2024 2:36 AM
Author: Silver 180 Mad Cow Disease



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48314015)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 20th, 2024 1:16 AM
Author: Soren "Bob" Odenkierkegaard



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48358961)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 20th, 2024 1:24 AM
Author: peeface

still can't underestimate the media's ability to make people blackpill



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48358978)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 20th, 2024 2:49 AM
Author: Soren "Bob" Odenkierkegaard



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612594&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=4295921",#48359037)