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The Economist analysis of Russian summer offensive - link
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Date: October 18th, 2025 8:47 AM Author: Beady-eyed dead gas station giraffe Regardless of whether and when America decides to supply Ukraine with the powerful missiles, Mr Putin has deeper reasons to worry. According to an analysis by The Economist, it is paying a huge cost in return for minimal gains on the battlefield. Russia’s summer offensive is winding down. Many in the West focus on the grinding progress its troops have made, and the shortage of Ukrainian manpower it has exposed. But that is to look down the telescope from the wrong end. More striking is how little territory Russia has taken in its third and largest offensive; and the terrible cost it has paid in men and materiel. Unless something dramatic changes, Vladimir Putin will be unable to win the war on the battlefield. The fact that he nevertheless continues to try regardless suggests that he is out of ideas. Exactly how poorly Russian forces have fared is impossible to tell. But data from satellites and shifts in areas of control suggest when the fighting is intensifying, and that permits a rough guess. This lines up well with more than 200 credible estimates of casualties from Western governments and independent researchers. Combining these data allows The Economist to estimate Russian losses and track them over time. Our meta-estimate suggests that, from the beginning of the full-scale invasion to January of this year, Russian casualties amounted to 640,000–877,000 soldiers, of whom 137,000–228,000 have died. By October 13th, those totals had risen by almost 60%, to 984,000–1,438,000 casualties, including 190,000–480,000 dead. Russia’s losses have not won a commensurate gain in territory. Since the battle lines stabilised after Ukraine’s first counteroffensive ended in October 2022, they have barely moved. No large city has changed hands. At the pace of the past 30 days, seizing what remains of the four regions Mr Putin already claims—Luhansk, Donetsk, Kherson and Zaporizhia—would take until June 2030. (For Russia to occupy all of Ukraine would require a further 103 years.)
Moreover, a sudden collapse in Ukraine’s defensive lines is unlikely given how the two armies are fighting the war. Constant drone surveillance, coupled with long-range precision weaponry, has made massing forces near the front suicidal. Incremental gains remain possible—though only at enormous cost—by sending small groups of men into the “kill zone” to stake out forward positions. It is hard to breach Ukrainian lines. Should a breach happen, the advance of massed forces and equipment needed to exploit it is extremely difficult. Perhaps that is why this summer’s fighting appears to have been much less deadly for Ukraine than for Russia. There is too little data for us to generate a meta-estimate of the cost to Ukraine. However, UALosses, a website, has catalogued 77,403 deaths among Ukrainian soldiers since the full-scale invasion began (it reckons a further 77,842 are missing in action). By date of death, there has been a marked downward trend since last autumn, with 8,668 fatalities recorded this year. Crucially, that is a lower bound, and although independent investigations have confirmed the fate of soldiers in the list, no one knows how many are missing from that count. Moreover, recent deaths are less likely to be in the database, as recording them takes time (some will never be included). But even if the true number is twice the tally, the figures would imply a ratio this year of roughly five Russian soldiers killed for every Ukrainian. At such rates, manpower may soon become a more serious constraint for Russia than for Ukraine. When the offensive began, Russians were lured with generous sign-on bonuses, and Mr Putin’s recruitment drive outpaced Ukraine’s by 10,000-15,000 per month. But Russia’s heavy casualties this summer probably nullified that advantage.
https://www.economist.com/interactive/europe/2025/10/17/russia-latest-big-ukraine-offensive-gains-next-to-nothing-again |
Date: October 18th, 2025 8:55 AM Author: onyx useless piazza idea he suggested I feel like the UA numbers are ridiculously undercounted but otherwise I agree
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Date: October 18th, 2025 9:12 AM Author: Beady-eyed dead gas station giraffe The Ukrainian soldiers are in bunkers protected by drone nets and the like. To advance, the Russian soldiers have to expose themselves in the open. Plus, the Russian soldiers need courage to advance against drones. Drone operators can treat the whole thing like a video game.
Bottom line: war has always favored the defender, but that's far more true in the drone age. |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 9:17 AM Author: onyx useless piazza idea he suggested I agree with all of that; I'm just more skeptical of UA numbers since they've been much cagier with them
Also since most of the OSINT people and intelligence sources looking at this conflict that are talking about it are sympathetic to Ukraine it doesn't feel like there are the same incentives for third party analysts to be digging too deep into UA casualty figures.
I'm not saying the reality is some sort of AREReptile crap, trust me.
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Date: October 18th, 2025 11:15 AM Author: fuchsia hall foreskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49357639) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 11:33 AM Author: shimmering menage liquid oxygen Trenches and bunkers are not survivable. Mobility is the only chance at survival at all. Both sides use small 2-4 man teams. It’s literally a giant game of tag. The Russians retain a mass fires advantage that is overwhelming. The kill ratio is something like 12:1 in Russia’s favor. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49357663) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 1:24 PM Author: Beady-eyed dead gas station giraffe You've been spouting this bs for years, and, if it were true, Ukraine would have run out of men to fight a long time ago. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49357916) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 3:22 PM Author: shimmering menage liquid oxygen It’s has run out of men which is why they are putting 70 year olds on the line and women. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49358108) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 7:07 PM Author: Vivacious at-the-ready principal's office karate To be fair,
“Ackkkkshually, if that were true, Ukraine would be facing a serious shortage of manpower by now!”
Uhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh |
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Date: October 21st, 2025 4:33 AM Author: Irate chestnut yarmulke center (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49363386) |
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Date: October 19th, 2025 3:30 AM Author: mustard legend (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49359062) |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 11:48 AM Author: exhilarant jet-lagged roommate round eye If they recruited the way Russia does (relying on volunteers) then they would have run out of men. But unlike Russia they conscript anything that moves. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49361632) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 11:35 AM Author: shimmering menage liquid oxygen Since the fall of Avdeevka the fight is increasingly happening in tree lines with almost ZERO use of fortifications by either side. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49357667) |
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Date: October 24th, 2025 10:47 PM Author: curious carnelian mediation tanning salon I've noticed the absence of any trenches in Ukraine but where's the footage showing where Russians are living these days? It seems like they stay 100 miles away and use drones until it's safe to enter the area. Every time Ukraine bombs something it's a civilian structure, like they don't know where the military targets are located (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49373140) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 12:29 PM Author: flirting dashing kitchen hairy legs Can’t a bomb destroy a drone net and then the drone fly through (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49357792) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 1:07 PM Author: fuchsia hall foreskin Sure, but the russian task is harder. They need to identify where these fortifications are and then find a way to breach them. The ukrainians can litter the landscape with mines and drones and wait for russian assault teams to come out in the open and get chewed up. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49357885) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 3:43 PM Author: shimmering menage liquid oxygen If they sit there they will be killed by mass fires corrected by drones. Drones make a static defense suicide. Trenches on the line are not manned full time. The gray zone is 50km deep. The only thing even more obsolete than armored thrusts is static defense. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49358134) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 9:02 AM Author: Navy nudist legal warrant knife The ongoing effect of Ukrain wrecking Russia's oil and gas is going to be interesting. Russia is starting to see real protest on the streets already. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49357446) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 9:03 AM Author: Tan son of senegal theater stage 6 MILLION Russian troops are DET to Death and 6 BILLION moar are injured according to my sources at the Jewish Information Agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49357450) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 9:04 AM Author: Navy nudist legal warrant knife Stay mad turdboi (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49357454) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 9:50 AM Author: Gay free-loading antidepressant drug Russia is so fucking good at getting all its soldiers killed, truly the best (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49357518) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 7:10 PM Author: Vivacious at-the-ready principal's office karate To be fair,
“ sneered Adolf Hitler, smugly, c. late 1942.
How did that one ultimately work out again? I know it was an absolutely catastrophic bloodbath for Russia, but I can’t actually remember which country ultimately “won” the war at the end of the fighting. Can you remind me? |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 10:41 PM Author: Naked diverse station multi-billionaire (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49358835) |
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Date: October 19th, 2025 3:33 AM Author: mustard legend (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49359065) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 10:00 AM Author: spruce lascivious field doctorate I asked this question about our Navy - it seems historically that carrier units are sitting ducks once their location is known.
What use are they in the age of cheap drones and smart missiles?
Seems like that's almost even true on land now? Good luck getting past an enemy with long range weapons and drones watching your every move. |
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Date: October 19th, 2025 3:22 AM Author: grizzly bonkers public bath community account If hundreds of one way drones are sent at a carrier, it is likely the carrier deck gets hit multiple times. If planes can't take off from the carrier because of deck damage then the carrier is no use and will have to go back to port for repairs. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49359060) |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 12:46 PM Author: odious embarrassed to the bone dilemma I’ve asked the same question before you did. You Stole this from me. Military meatheads think a Carrier Battle Group is invincible. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49361725) |
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Date: October 21st, 2025 4:34 AM Author: Erotic deep elastic band wrinkle We won't know for sure until someone launches a drone swarm against a carrier group. You're not the first person to wonder if carriers are obsolete in the drone age. But it's far from clear that is the case.
First, it is very fucking difficult to hit a carrier with a long range missile. Modern carriers are fast, and if they detect a missile heading their direction, they can simply move out of the way. That's why China and Russia have spent so much money on hypersonic missiles. The theory is that they are so fast that they will hit a carrier before it can move. And carrier groups also have all kinds of missile interceptor weapons. We won't know if that will work until someone tries it. But we can say that smart missiles will definitely not make carriers obsolete quite yet.
As for drones, I'm sure the Pentagon is watching what is happening in Ukraine and trying to design countermeasures. Furthermore, most drones have relatively short range. You might be able to keep your carrier group safe by keeping it far enough out at sea so that drones can't reach it. But like I said, nobody will know for sure until someone tries it. As Mike Tyson said, everyone has a plan until they get punched in the face. |
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Date: October 21st, 2025 4:45 AM Author: mustard legend hypersonics are not much harder to hit for top of the line AD defense missiles unless they can also maneuver, which they can’t
even Ukraine has knocked down multiple Kindzhals, and they don’t have the top of the line stuff that carrier groups do |
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Date: October 21st, 2025 12:16 PM Author: Erotic deep elastic band wrinkle China claims that their hypersonics are super fast and also super maneuverable. Of course, Russia said the same thing, and their hypersonics were so maneuverable that they got completely turfed by Cold War-era Patriot systems. So we won't know until this war happens, but, at the bare minimum, I wouldn't assume that hypersonic smart missiles make carriers obsolete quite yet. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49363847) |
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Date: October 21st, 2025 12:18 PM Author: mustard legend loling at the idea of a missile flying 1000+ miles pulling 10-15Gs and hitting a moving target (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49363853) |
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Date: October 21st, 2025 12:25 PM Author: exhilarant jet-lagged roommate round eye It is notable that Ukrainians massively overstate their AD successes and their real AD is banning showing the impacts. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49363874) |
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Date: October 21st, 2025 7:22 PM Author: Erotic deep elastic band wrinkle It is notable that Russiacucks are gullible idiots who believe whatever stupid Russian propaganda they hear. Sorry that your fancy "hypersonic missiles" can't beat a U.S. system that was used in the first Gulf War. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49364902) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2025 2:39 PM Author: exhilarant jet-lagged roommate round eye Russian missiles overwhelmingly hit their targets, the hypersonics hit almost always. The argument is that the system may have gotten a hit, which wouldn't be shocking because they operate based on shockwaves damaging the missile, rather than the "arrow hitting an arrow" concept. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49366488) |
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Date: October 24th, 2025 10:38 PM Author: mustard legend lol, russian hit rates are up because they basically gave up on going after areas that the Patriots protect and go for softer targets (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49373117) |
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Date: October 24th, 2025 10:58 PM Author: Irate chestnut yarmulke center (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49373164) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 11:29 AM Author: shimmering menage liquid oxygen LJL at this absolute flame. Ukraine only has 80k dead which explains why Hahol men are hiding in basements from draft officers and dressing like women to avoid conscription. By conservative measures the Russians have killed 1.7 million Ukrainians and put an equal number into wheel chairs for life. The Russians are ripping 20sq km out of Ukraine daily and have been doing so for 2 years running. The advance is slow but inexorable and they are quite literally genociding Ukraine.
Mediazone/BBC has the most accurate Russian loss estimates — 135-219k dead. That’s 50k per year. Russia can sustain this forever.
https://en.zona.media/article/2025/10/10/casualties_eng-trl
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Date: October 18th, 2025 11:39 AM Author: Aqua swashbuckling cuckoldry reading party Ukraine has somehow only lost 80k soldiers, but also on their 20th mobilization, having to kidnap people off the streets, and hundreds of thousands of desertions (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49357678) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 7:11 PM Author: Vivacious at-the-ready principal's office karate To be fair,
Yeah it’s a bit of an “odd case” (hehe) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 11:42 AM Author: Tan son of senegal theater stage Im really shocked that a third world shithole country with a Jewish POTUS wld have their JEW overlords in the west putting fake causality numbers in the JEW owned western media so that JEW defense contracts cld continue enriching themselves (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49357685) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 12:49 PM Author: hideous adventurous heaven death wish You're misrepresenting the Mediazona report. 219k estimate is from probate court reports and 135k is a confirmed number from obituaries, tombstones, and online social media posts from family. The 219k estimate is also only through the end of August. Reports from telegram accounts note there are at least tens of thousands (maybe more) of additional MIA's on each side. And there are probably a lot of indigents and degenerates who died (they recruited from prisons) and don't have family to report the death online or file for probate.
Mediazona makes clear that the 219k is a low estimate that captures maybe 50-75% of the deaths through the end of August. 2x that is absolutely possible.
The same methodology is used on the Ukraine side as well. The Economist is correct to conclude that this is a stalemated conflict. |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 3:21 PM Author: shimmering menage liquid oxygen The same methodology can’t be used on the Ukrainian side because they made it illegal to print obituaries and there are no functional probate courts in Ukraine so good luck getting any data at all. There is no good data. The Russian 1.7 million figure is basically from sat images of cemeteries. Mediazone numbers are actually BS overstatements for reasons Armchair Warlord has discussed at length on Twitter — Russians print obits and handle probate for guys that fought in Chechnya in 99, never stepped foot in Ukraine, died in 2023 and now magically are in the Mediazone math because their estates qualify for the same veterans benefits as the guy in Ukraine last month. Mediazone is assuming they signed new contracts with the MoD and didn’t just die from old age. This is nonsense math. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49358106) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 7:15 PM Author: Vivacious at-the-ready principal's office karate To be fair,
lol remember when the NYT was keeping a running tally of “Covid deaths” (only during Trump though they immediately stopped that as soon as Biden took office odd case) and it was revealed that they were literally counting people who died in car accidents but had tested positive for Covid a week before they got struck in that count?
Yeah. Same vibes, very interesting! ;) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 3:24 PM Author: shimmering menage liquid oxygen Believe this to your hearts content. Russia will win this on the field. Ukraine will collapse. Nothing Yankee animals can do will change this. All Hahols will die. Every single last one. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49358111) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 7:13 PM Author: Vivacious at-the-ready principal's office karate To be fair,
Oh wow well I mean if the notorious midwit retard who infamously has shitty and extremely partisan takes on just about every issue imaginable declares so… |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 11:28 AM Author: hideous adventurous heaven death wish Visual confirmation of 32,121 Russian deaths over the past 260 days. These are only deaths by drones where footage was recorded. So we’re not seeing the many other ways soldiers die in this conflict. It also excludes wounded men in the footage, many of whom probably died shortly after. And it’s only from footage that’s actually posted on telegram channels. The deaths are easily 2x this. US intelligence isn’t exaggerating when they say Russia has suffered over 1 million casualties and likely at least 250k deaths.
https://x.com/andrewperpetua/status/1979774111191818546?s=46 |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 11:52 AM Author: exhilarant jet-lagged roommate round eye LMAO, at least you didn't cite to some ridiculously biased ... oh, wait, you did. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49361640) |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 12:55 PM Author: mustard legend (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49361744) |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 4:07 PM Author: shimmering menage liquid oxygen I actually think his number of FPV strikes is 100% on point and the Hahols did hit that many Russians. I just don’t think an FPV strike is a guaranteed kill. It takes something like 20 FPV hits to actually kill a tank. Most IFVs are hit and abandoned to zero losses. For 32000 FPV hits a plausible kill count is maybe 10000 on the high end.
The Russians have more FPVs than Ukraine. Roughly 6 to 1. They also drop about 200 UMPK glide bombs per day. The glide bombs are what are killing entire Ukrainian company formations and why the real kill count is 12 or 13 to 1 in Russia’s favor. The new UMPKs are rocket assisted and have been flying out to 165km ranges. The Ukrainians are doing maybe 25 JDAM sorties a day to 200 on the Russian side. It’s not even close. |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 5:14 PM Author: exhilarant jet-lagged roommate round eye (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49362444) |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 8:46 PM Author: Vivacious at-the-ready principal's office karate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49362938) |
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Date: October 21st, 2025 3:23 AM Author: mustard legend did you read their methodology? it does not include strikes where the vatnik was still alive during the video recording, so the number of KIA is higher (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49363371) |
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Date: October 21st, 2025 6:35 AM Author: shimmering menage liquid oxygen LJL at this flame. FPV cameras stop working at the hit. They dont provide post strike anything in these gore vids. |
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Date: October 21st, 2025 6:58 AM Author: mustard legend the video is from other drones… (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49363465) |
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Date: October 21st, 2025 8:05 AM Author: hideous adventurous heaven death wish (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49363517) |
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Date: October 24th, 2025 4:10 PM Author: exhilarant jet-lagged roommate round eye "did you read their methodology? it does not include strikes where the vatnik was still alive during the video recording, so the number of KIA is higher"
Link? |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 3:44 PM Author: Greedy mexican new version This has not been a good war for you, son. But stay mad. We want you to. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49358135) |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 8:21 AM Author: shimmering menage liquid oxygen It’s actually been a great war for Russia. Without mobilizing and spending only 7% of GDP on defense it broke my the back of NATO and emptied every warehouse in the alliance. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49361290) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 11:49 AM Author: Aqua swashbuckling cuckoldry reading party The art of war: get yourself trapped in a cauldron again and again.
https://x.com/squatsons/status/1979510263553614153 |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 1:33 PM Author: Beady-eyed dead gas station giraffe I've seen no one reliable posting this. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49357931) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 3:45 PM Author: Aqua swashbuckling cuckoldry reading party you only post Ukraine propaganda that gets disproven in 24 hours. Go back to reddit, tranny (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49358136) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2025 2:46 PM Author: exhilarant jet-lagged roommate round eye (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49366509) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 7:04 PM Author: shimmering menage liquid oxygen Russian forces are back in Krasny Lyman. All Ukrainian gains since 2022 are undone.
https://x.com/ArmchairW/status/1979654934917419412 |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 7:17 PM Author: Vivacious at-the-ready principal's office karate To be fair,
Yeah but a very smart and honest Jewish man on the internet assured me that 10 million Russians had to die to achieve this and only 20k Ukrainians have stubbed their toes on the battlefield so far. Russia is cooked! |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 7:21 PM Author: Beady-eyed dead gas station giraffe Have a ton of pro-Ukraine twitter accounts on my list and when something bad is going down, a lot of them are dooming. Am seeing nothing like that now. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49358486) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 7:38 PM Author: shimmering menage liquid oxygen Ok, bro. Whatever you say. Russia is still going to kill every last Hahol. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49358512) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 10:20 PM Author: Aqua swashbuckling cuckoldry reading party "I only read Ukraine propaganda" yeah we know. go back to reddit |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 10:29 PM Author: Beady-eyed dead gas station giraffe Are you Russian? Why the hard-on for them? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49358818) |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 11:49 AM Author: exhilarant jet-lagged roommate round eye (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49361634) |
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Date: October 19th, 2025 2:10 PM Author: Aqua swashbuckling cuckoldry reading party everything is fine guys, nothing to see here https://x.com/ThorntonWa47373/status/1979591336962699724 |
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Date: October 19th, 2025 2:13 PM Author: shimmering menage liquid oxygen All Hahols will die. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49360009) |
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Date: October 21st, 2025 12:33 PM Author: mind-boggling house quadroon I’m sure Putler will succumb to his terminal ass cancer any day now! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49363899) |
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Date: October 21st, 2025 2:57 PM Author: mustard legend we don’t know when of course, but it is funny to watch russiacucks squirm when you ask them to describe a post-Putin russia (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49364347) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2025 2:40 PM Author: exhilarant jet-lagged roommate round eye Huh? Overwhelmingly similar. What do you imagine changes with Medvedev in charge? If anything, he'll just say bomb every major Ukrainian city to the ground. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49366491) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2025 2:41 PM Author: mustard legend Medvedev???
🤣🤣🤣🤣 |
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Date: October 22nd, 2025 2:45 PM Author: exhilarant jet-lagged roommate round eye He's probably the default guy at this point and has been for years. Or do you imagine that Navalny's wife will be flown into Moscow to waiting protestors to be inaugurated to a Russian population yearning for FREEDOM and DEMOCRACY as they bend the knee to Brussels and DC, denuclearizing and surrendering as they BEG for McDonalds to return? Brussels, you do this schtick better, feel free to jump in. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49366503) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2025 2:59 PM Author: mustard legend you must be the dumbest russiacuck on the board. congrats (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49366553) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2025 3:10 PM Author: exhilarant jet-lagged roommate round eye LMAO, or maybe they'll be inspired by Zelensky and ask him to be their president. What do you think? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49366578) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2025 4:47 PM Author: mind-boggling house quadroon i don't think anything changes in their approach to Ukraine. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49366855) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2025 10:59 PM Author: exhilarant jet-lagged roommate round eye (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49367578) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2025 5:44 PM Author: Erotic deep elastic band wrinkle I can't remember a single rational person ever saying that Putin had cancer or would die any time soon. Meanwhile, I think we all remember the thread where TBF boldly predicted that Kyiv would fall with 48 hours. Yet Russiacucks are the ones who want to pound their chests about incorrect predictions about the war. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49366978) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2025 5:50 PM Author: mustard legend (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49366987) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2025 10:18 PM Author: sable personal credit line affirmative action (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49367500) |
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Date: October 24th, 2025 3:52 PM Author: Vivacious at-the-ready principal's office karate To be fair,
LMAO yeah good point... except for the solid ~6 months that the MSM spent actively pushing that retarded conspiracy theory which turned out to be total bullshit, a period which we all remember very well and still laugh about. Feel free to Google that btw, don't take my word for it -- here are two quick links to returns from the first page which I just pulled up in under 10 seconds:
NYT: https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/26/us/politics/leaked-documents-putin-health.html
NY POST: https://nypost.com/web-stories/putin-battling-cancer-and-parkinsons-disease-leaked-emails-claim/
BTW, speaking of "links," do you actually have a link to me ever predicting at any point that "Kyiv would fall in 48 hours"? I'll email you my XO username / password and you can permanently retire me forever if you produce that link. FWIW, I've never seen it myself.
Thanks in advance, champ!
LJL at kikes jfc |
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Date: October 24th, 2025 3:53 PM Author: Irate chestnut yarmulke center (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49371936) |
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Date: October 24th, 2025 4:07 PM Author: Aqua swashbuckling cuckoldry reading party (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49371982) |
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Date: October 24th, 2025 4:10 PM Author: exhilarant jet-lagged roommate round eye (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49371988) |
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Date: October 24th, 2025 5:52 PM Author: Erotic deep elastic band wrinkle Did you even read the fucking NYT article about Putin's supposed cancer? I thought this quote summed it up nicely: "No evidence has emerged to substantiate the claim, or many earlier ones, and the leaked document gives no indication that the United States finds it credible."
Meanwhile, I can't find the original thread, and search stopped working for me while I was looking for it. But I did find a couple threads referring to your prediction that were created shortly after the war started. Weird that everyone seems to be hallucinating the same prediction. It's sort of like how you also don't remember telling us that all of our money in ftx.us was safe.
https://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5083984&mc=6&forum_id=2 https://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5054105&mc=3&forum_id=2 https://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5075967&mc=4&forum_id=2 https://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5138800&mc=2&forum_id=2 |
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Date: October 24th, 2025 4:09 PM Author: curious carnelian mediation tanning salon Six Ukrainians die for every Russian.
https://x.com/DD_Geopolitics/status/1981330480977907896
For that matter I haven't seen footage of a single Russian being killed in months. I don't think they even have 100 KIA this year. |
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Date: October 24th, 2025 4:11 PM Author: exhilarant jet-lagged roommate round eye It increased to about 40:1 recently. It is 6:1 if you include the early period which had a roughly 1:1 exchange rate. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49371993) |
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Date: October 24th, 2025 4:39 PM Author: Aqua swashbuckling cuckoldry reading party lol Russiacucks. Ukraine is advancing https://x.com/creamy_caprice/status/1981794660218720640 |
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Date: October 24th, 2025 7:29 PM Author: Aqua swashbuckling cuckoldry reading party Russian elite units are refusing to enter battle and disobeying orders https://x.com/H4nsSprungfeld/status/1981849901106643045 |
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Date: October 24th, 2025 7:32 PM Author: Beady-eyed dead gas station giraffe Seems likely Povrovsk will fall, but if that's Russia's only prize for this year's offensives then it's seriously underperforming. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49372688) |
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Date: October 24th, 2025 9:34 PM Author: Irate chestnut yarmulke center the prize is hundreds of thousands of dead Ukrainians (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49373040) |
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Date: October 24th, 2025 9:40 PM Author: curious carnelian mediation tanning salon I think everyone agrees with that. Even Ukrainians are saying it's "suicidal" to defend it. That's why they're disobeying orders, I guess? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49373046) |
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Date: October 26th, 2025 1:12 AM Author: .,.,...,..,.,.,:,,:,.,.,:::,...,:,...:..:.,:.::,. Kupiyansk is also in the final stages of collapse. Several other key cities are also likely to fall by EOY. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49375277) |
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Date: October 24th, 2025 9:38 PM Author: curious carnelian mediation tanning salon Demoralization (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49373045) |
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Date: October 24th, 2025 10:41 PM Author: curious carnelian mediation tanning salon Do we have any proof of Russian casualties in October 2025? I figured there'd be at least a dozen new snuff videos by now but I can't find 'em (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787431&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5085026#49373122) |