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2030 electorial map is interesting
Poast new message in this thread
Date: July 8th, 2024 12:12 PM Author: fear-inspiring talented hospital https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/how-congressional-maps-could-change-2030
Dem states: CA -4 NY -3 IL -2 OR -1 MN -1 RI -1
Toss ups MI -1 PA -1
GOP TX +4 FL +3 ID +1 UT +1 AZ +1 NC +1 TN +1 SC +1 GA +1
GOP gains 14 EV, Dems lose 12, and toss ups lose 2. On the flipside, some of the southern GOP states may start to move closer to toss ups. |
Date: July 8th, 2024 12:13 PM Author: mauve hairraiser blood rage mad-dog skullcap libs moving from NY/CA to southern states, Texas is eventually going to be blue once boomers start dying off (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552168&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5301927",#47820252) |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:31 PM Author: fear-inspiring talented hospital studies/polls have shown that its majority right wing types moving from blue states to red states. so really the blue states lose population but become more blue, which doesnt help in presidential elections, but will help the dems in state elections there. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552168&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5301927",#47820331) |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:32 PM Author: beady-eyed field this is definitely not the case (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552168&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5301927",#47820336) |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:34 PM Author: beady-eyed field Texas GOP margin by year:
2020: 5.5%
2016: 9%
2012: 16%
2008: 12%
2004: 23%
2000: 22% |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:35 PM Author: fear-inspiring talented hospital thats mexicans. not from cali folk moving there (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552168&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5301927",#47820351) |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:36 PM Author: beady-eyed field Cali people are moving to Austin which has trended even faster.
but even if it's just Mexicans, the GOP is still fucked because they are going to be an outright majority of the state soon. |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:37 PM Author: fear-inspiring talented hospital I hope the GOP does get fucked. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552168&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5301927",#47820365) |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:40 PM Author: beady-eyed field seems pretty certain it's gonna happen, insane that they went from a 16 point margin in 2012 to just 5.5% a mere 8 years later. particularly when you consider that Obama was the nominee in 2012 and presumably had better appeal to minorities. You wouldn't expect such fast trends in a massive state like Texas.
The dem raw vote total went from 3.3 million to 5.25 million in that time. |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:41 PM Author: fear-inspiring talented hospital inshallah (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552168&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5301927",#47820390) |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 1:02 PM Author: copper brunch Hey GJR you’re annoying and ugly (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552168&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5301927",#47820483) |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:45 PM Author: slap-happy know-it-all love of her life abode Yes but the number of majority minority Texas children who turn 18 every two years is much larger than the net influx from other states. There are more Latinos than whites in Texas currently and every year another 250k cohort of mostly white olds dies and another 350k of 70+% nonwhites turn 18. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552168&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5301927",#47820408) |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:36 PM Author: Claret Native Elastic Band Lol @ thinking we're going to have anything that resembles this current form of democracy or elections a generation from now. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552168&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5301927",#47820355) |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:36 PM Author: beady-eyed field wow (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552168&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5301927",#47820360) |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:32 PM Author: beady-eyed field TX almost double NY? I dunno (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552168&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5301927",#47820332) |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:33 PM Author: fear-inspiring talented hospital Texas has 30m now and NY has 20m. That's already 50% more. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552168&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5301927",#47820339) |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:35 PM Author: beady-eyed field If Trump deports the 15m illegals then Texas is fucked. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552168&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5301927",#47820352) |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:34 PM Author: fear-inspiring talented hospital https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12899729/population-declines-increases-census.html (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552168&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5301927",#47820349) |
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Date: July 8th, 2024 12:41 PM Author: Overrated Boyish Point Hominid how much of the Texas trends are just it becoming a more urban state. All of its growth is in its big cities and suburbs whereas most of the rural areas are actually losing population. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552168&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5301927",#47820387) |