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Trump pulls further ahead in Nate Silver model
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Date: September 20th, 2024 9:39 AM Author: ,.,.,.,.,.,.,..,:,,:,,.,:::,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,. https://x.com/natesilver538/status/1837122995044651042?s=46 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598481&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5304212",#48112694) |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 9:41 AM Author: VoteRepublican (A true Chad!! where's your gf/wifew?) no woman will be elected in our lifetime especially not Her. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598481&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5304212",#48112696) |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 10:30 AM Author: Karlstack (Retard) I think she will win. She is good looking. That alone matters a lot. She doesn't look bitchy like Hillary looked when she ran. Libs have starkly toned down the "first female president" messaging. I haven't seen it at all. Hillary annoyed everyone with her "Madame President" bs. Haven't seen any of it this time.
Also Trump is grasping at straws. His core is still with him. But I think he lost some independents with the "they are eating cats" retardation. |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 10:42 AM Author: ,.,.,.,.,.,.,..,:,,:,,.,:::,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,. you’re supposed to say Trump will win and if he doesn’t it’s fraud
you’re going to lose a lot of readers |
Date: September 20th, 2024 9:43 AM Author: ...,.......,.....,....,,....,......,......, That's not his anymore you tedious retard (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598481&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5304212",#48112701) |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 9:45 AM Author: ,.,.,.,.,.,.,..,:,,:,,.,:::,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,. I think you’re wrong (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598481&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5304212",#48112704) |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 9:53 AM Author: ...,.......,.....,....,,....,......,......, No I'm not you stupid fucking faggot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598481&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5304212",#48112722) |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 9:58 AM Author: ,.,.,.,.,.,.,..,:,,:,,.,:::,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,. Weird then how when you click the link in the tweet it says Nate Silver is the author. Maybe you should tell him they’re using his name without permission
Also, how do they have access to his personal twitter account |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 10:07 AM Author: ...,.......,.....,....,,....,......,......, That's not his website anymore you retarded fag (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598481&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5304212",#48112773) |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 10:05 AM Author: ,.,.,.,.,.,.,..,:,,:,,.,:::,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,. Looks like this account was tricked too!
https://x.com/rpsagainsttrump/status/1837128680100835737?s=46 |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 10:14 AM Author: A Technologically Advanced Pontiac Firebird You’re really dumb. He doesn’t own 538 anymore but his Twitter handle still says 538. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598481&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5304212",#48112788) |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 10:18 AM Author: ...,.......,.....,....,,....,......,......, It's not his site anymore, dumbass (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598481&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5304212",#48112798) |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 10:33 AM Author: A Technologically Advanced Pontiac Firebird Bro, you said “That’s not his anymore.” The site that’s linked by OP is literally natesilver.net. No one is talking about 538.
It’s his Twitter, it’s his site, it’s his model. What the fuck are you talking about? |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 10:46 AM Author: ,.,.,.,.,.,.,..,:,,:,,.,:::,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,. Weird
https://x.com/mikenellis/status/1837127167680856437?s=46 |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 11:19 AM Author: A Technologically Advanced Pontiac Firebird You’re talking a lot of shit for someone so retarded (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598481&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5304212",#48112993) |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 10:48 AM Author: Cowstack (🧐) incredible subthread, thanks for pointing out who the "tedious retard" was here (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598481&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5304212",#48112868) |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 10:08 AM Author: Soren "Bob" Odenkierkegaard cooky (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598481&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5304212",#48112776) |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 10:16 AM Author: A Technologically Advanced Pontiac Firebird OP, you do understand that the way Nate Silver’s model works this means the race is literally a coin flip? That his model had Trump at 30 percent in 2016?
So boasting about being up two points in a model that screams either candidate can win is real retarded, sir. |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 10:20 AM Author: ,.,.,.,.,.,.,..,:,,:,,.,:::,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,. yes, I understand (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598481&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5304212",#48112802) |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 10:25 AM Author: MASE His model is only as good as the polls that are shitted into it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598481&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5304212",#48112809) |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 10:35 AM Author: Trump: Aborted in the first term Any data I don't like is bullshit. Got it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598481&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5304212",#48112833) |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 10:38 AM Author: .;........;.;........,.,... And any election result I don't like is bullshit! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598481&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5304212",#48112841) |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 10:40 AM Author: Trump: Aborted in the first term Basically, I am an alpha apex predator when things are fair. And that only happens when I get what I want. Otherwise, I'm the whiniest of bitches. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598481&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5304212",#48112846) |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 10:48 AM Author: MASE Please don't click this link, you're not going to like it. https://ibb.co/8jwGJf8 |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 10:51 AM Author: ADVANCED darkness (🍑 Pronouns: Ausländer/Raus döp dödö döp) yikes (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598481&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5304212",#48112874) |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 10:52 AM Author: Trump: Aborted in the first term Got it man. 2020 polling error has been cemented in stone and will remain constant for all time. Just like 2012 polling error. I am lucky to be alive and well in your age and epoch. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598481&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5304212",#48112879) |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 10:54 AM Author: MASE Don't worry, the secret Harris vote will surge and cement a massive lead in the end, just as it did in the previous two Trump elections. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598481&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5304212",#48112885) |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 10:55 AM Author: Trump: Aborted in the first term Perhaps. Perhaps not.
But my self-worth is not related to the outcome. That is how you and I are different.
But carry on cocksure as ever. |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 10:58 AM Author: MASE Subject: Trump: Aborted in the first term Date: September 20th, 2024 10:55 AM Author: Trump: Aborted in the first term
Perhaps. Perhaps not. But my self-worth is not related to the outcome. That is how you and I are different.
But carry on cocksure as ever.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=#) |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 11:17 AM Author: Trump: Aborted in the first term Tough day for you. Seems to be a pattern. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598481&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5304212",#48112982) |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 11:21 AM Author: MASE You seem emotionally invested. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598481&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5304212",#48113009) |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 11:23 AM Author: Trump: Aborted in the first term Every accusation is a confession. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598481&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5304212",#48113015) |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 11:24 AM Author: They're Eating The Dogs Welcome back Spaceporn (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598481&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5304212",#48113022) |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 11:30 AM Author: MASE Holy shit. I'm so bad at detecting his returns. Probably because libs are all lashing out at this point in the same ways. |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 11:33 AM Author: They're Eating The Dogs (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598481&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5304212",#48113045) |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 11:57 AM Author: gibberish (?) (7 year old azn boy) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598481&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5304212",#48113139) |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 11:10 AM Author: LathamTouchedMe Trafalgar is now only 1-2 points off from the RCP averages in swing states. In 2020 they were 3-9 points from the RCP average, and they were about 2 points off the final result (they had trump winning the Big 3). Basically, all the pollsters are within the same universe. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598481&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5304212",#48112960) |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 11:33 AM Author: ,.,.,.,.,.,.,..,:,,:,,.,:::,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,. Kamala +4 seems to be the most common national poll right now coming up in poll after poll. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598481&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5304212",#48113048) |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 11:42 AM Author: LathamTouchedMe Yeah, his link is to national polls. That national trafalgar poll was months ago with biden in the race. trafalgar's recent swing state polling is practically in line with the polling averages. It's not nearly as off from the polling averages as it was in 2020. A lot of trumpers are unskewing the polling averages in swing states on the basis of the polling miss in 2020. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598481&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5304212",#48113078) |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 10:47 AM Author: ,.,.,.,.,.,.,..,:,,:,,.,:::,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,. cr dems and swing voters are lying to pollsters about who they’re voting for just to boost Kamala’s numbers (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598481&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5304212",#48112867) |
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Date: September 20th, 2024 11:55 AM Author: """'""""'' Nate Silver (Jew shill paid by homosexual faggot right wing billionaire immigrant) couldn't hold the line in his little faggot "model" anymore, it was looking too ridiculous. her odds are really somewhere around 97% right now. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5598481&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5304212",#48113131) |