he should have just said "you know what, the model i guess may not work when you have an unprecedented shakeup like the president stepping down bc of dementia and a candidate just being anointed with only a couple months to run" but no he is tripling down on everything. as a result, he is ALL OVER the news, youtube, social media trying to defend himself and just reminding everyone that not only did he fail, but he's biased as shit and his keys are a bunch of nonsense.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5632766&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5307129",#48327723)

Without the KEYS he was a complete nobody. This is his only claim to fame.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5632766&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5307129",#48327946)

Cf the guy who wrote 3 two thousand page tomes on the life of Stalin and read every document in the Soviet archive taught at Princeton.

These two are not the same. Lichtman is literally a midwit with an outsized sense of self importance who created a publicity stunt to sell books and get interviewed on TV every 4 years.

It's really hard to imagine how a 100 IQ Jewish liberal arts prof from the Beltway who taught at a ttt and had a fake system for calling elections and wrote a book about the Trump impeachments called the race for Kamala Harris and got it wrong.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5632766&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5307129",#48328014)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5632766&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5307129",#48327926)

His "keys" shit was obviously not a serious prediction method. And to blame it on Musk is retarded. Musk concentrated his money on the battleground states and Kamala over performed in them. Despite the national vote shifting 6 points, she only needed 175k out of the three blue wall states to win.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5632766&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5307129",#48328023)

lmfao at this subjective piece of crap. also LMFAO JUST LMFAO at how he rated kamala

"no primary contest" -- jeez, i think this one *might* have swung against her alan.

"incumbent seeking re-election" -- see above

strong long + short term economy -- lmfao

no social unrest -- lmfao

no scandal -- lmfao

the crazy thing is that his keys system would have worked if he was honest about shit.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5632766&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5307129",#48328361)

i guess alan doesn't feel that's attributable to kamala even though she's 2nd in command and the direct beneficiary of that bullshit.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5632766&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5307129",#48328557)

I'd maybe give him no social unrest, since there actually *hasn't* been that much during Biden admin (very interesting that police officers all stopped shooting black people after he was sworn in hmm...), but immigration stuff + Gaza protests actually were both big factors

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5632766&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5307129",#48330424)

Or rather that she’s charismatic and he isn’t.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5632766&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5307129",#48330514)

Going insane probably helps his brand. It increases his publicity and awareness of The Keys. In four years, lots of people will forget about his spazzout.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5632766&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5307129",#48328647)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CiW1IpXNdU4

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5632766&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5307129",#48329332)

the economic shit you could at least point to indicators to maybe support what he's saying (nevermind that average people are worse off now) but the boarders stuff was lol.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5632766&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5307129",#48331076)

he says the economy is actually great, the border is closed, and our democracy is under attack, presumably because there is too much free speech, which is allowing elon to go on X and lie to people.

so basically we have libs crying about trump and democracy when they did 90 different anti-democratic things, and then we have this lib telling us that free speech is actually bad and dangerous.

these fucking idiots are dun here.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5632766&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5307129",#48331158)

i became aware of him like 2 weeks before the election.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5632766&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5307129",#48331161)

But as mentioned above, his model actually works. He just misapplies it due to his TDS. Some of his key questions are a bit subjective

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5632766&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5307129",#48331270)

WHAT HUBRIS TO THINK YOU AS A MERE LAYMAN KNOW TO TURN THE KEYS BETTER THAN ALLAN

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5632766&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5307129",#48331272)