The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
|
 |
 
|
GOP mail in requests collapsing in PA
Poast new message in this thread
Date: October 3rd, 2024 12:26 PM Author: MASE https://x.com/RyanGirdusky/status/1841873801996349540 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605737&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5309370",#48158901) |
Date: October 3rd, 2024 12:28 PM Author: little man Who cares about change since 2022 - what do they look like compared to 2020? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605737&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5309370",#48158920) |
 |
Date: October 3rd, 2024 12:30 PM Author: MASE 2022 was more of a normal election. 2020 would be even worse for Dems because of how many Dems voted by mail.
But to humor you: https://x.com/TheCalvinCooli1/status/1836241191702081760 |
|
Date: October 3rd, 2024 12:35 PM Author: little man ty - big trumpmo but not confident like you are (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605737&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5309370",#48158946) |
|
Date: October 3rd, 2024 12:41 PM Author: MASE Just remember these basic facts. - Biden "won" the last election by 4.5% in the NPV despite being predicted to win by 7%. - Clinton lost in 2016 by 2.1% in the NPV despite being predicted to win by 3.2%. - Harris is expected currently to win the NPV by 2.2%.
Do the math. Trump has made his biggest gains ever in registrations, absentee voting, early voting etc. But the only fact that you need to remember is that the current polls predict a Harris electoral college loss. And the polls have always underestimated Trump. |
|
Date: October 3rd, 2024 12:47 PM Author: little man Clinton won the NPV in 2016 by 2.1 - only a 1.1% error.
My worry is that democrats have done a good job expanding what counts as a "vote" and thus they get low effort voters. Obviously a repeat of 2020 gives Trump the win. |
|
Date: October 3rd, 2024 12:48 PM Author: ...,...,,.::..;,.,:,:,,..,::.,:,.,.:.:.,:. Republiturds famously perform as well in presidential elections as in off-year midterms (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605737&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5309370",#48159012) |
|
Date: October 3rd, 2024 12:49 PM Author: MASE Actually Trump usually performs much better. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605737&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5309370",#48159017) |
|
Date: October 3rd, 2024 12:48 PM Author: Institute for JDVanced Study (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605737&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5309370",#48159008) |
|
Date: October 3rd, 2024 12:52 PM Author: sealclubber mail in voting is faggot in person voting should greatly favor libs because they don't have jobs, but doesn't because of the related aspect of being fucking lazy mail in voting is doable because the effort involved is so minimal. knock, set ice cream aside, get off of couch, open the door, let the harvester fill out the ballot, sign, bye, go get some more free food out of the fridge |
|
Date: October 3rd, 2024 12:55 PM Author: MASE Too true. The fact that there has been a massive, massive decline in mail-in requests should be terrifying Democrats.
Except now I see online Dems are saying they're now the party of in-person voting and all these "fired-up coconut-pilled KAMALACRATS" are going to be STORMING the polls in-person. https://x.com/TheDataGooroo/status/1841787182127677571
Good luck! We'll find out in 33 days. |
|
Date: October 3rd, 2024 1:05 PM Author: '"''"'"'''""" (oppose bitch bois) Newsflash bitch bois... little bitch boi Trump is going to LOSe. Because America hates bitch bois. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605737&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5309370",#48159086) |
|
Date: October 3rd, 2024 1:09 PM Author: MASE Oh fuck. I did not consider that. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605737&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5309370",#48159115) |
|
Date: October 3rd, 2024 1:20 PM Author: ,.,,.,..,..,..,.,..,.,..,.,..,.,.,.,.,..,. Sounds like fraud to me (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605737&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5309370",#48159183) |
|
Date: October 3rd, 2024 1:22 PM Author: Many Cocks Spewing Gallons of Cum This Very Second Polling shows a number of Dems (~5%) intend to switch to in-person this cycle. Meanwhile, the GOP has spent millions trying to convince its voters to vote by mail after running hard against it in 2020. Despite all this, the Dem margin over the GOP in mail ballot requests is down only about 1.2% from 2020. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605737&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5309370",#48159189) |
|
Date: October 3rd, 2024 1:29 PM Author: .....;;,,.........;.;.;.;.,;,;,;.;.;,; Weird that this is being touted as some sort of exciting news for Trumpmos. As you say, YOY to 2020 is silly as a comp, but in 2022 the election happened in the middle of the largest Omicron spike that got to over 1M cases a day that fall. Regardless, even if the results as of today hold you’re basically looking at 22% or so of the vote and the Dems start with roughly a 500k vote lead. The 5+M Election Day vote would need to produce well over 3M votes for Trump for him to have a shot. Given all the stories about Trumpmos boosting early turnout like in VA I would think this of this as a mild disappointment, but not really anything for either side to celebrate. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605737&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5309370",#48159245) |