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What explains the sudden 8 pt shift to Trump in betting markets?
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Date: October 8th, 2024 4:14 PM Author: .;:..;:;.:.;.,,,.,.:,.;;,;;;..;, People who have seen new internal polls showing kamala losing badly? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5608603&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5309775",#48177810) |
Date: October 8th, 2024 4:15 PM Author: cannon Kamala finally got asked a couple semi difficult questions and looked like this
https://i.dailymail.co.uk/1s/2024/10/08/17/90604777-13937961-image-a-1_1728404101340.jpg |
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Date: October 8th, 2024 4:15 PM Author: gedood persoon was it her 60 minutes interview? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5608603&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5309775",#48177813) |
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Date: October 8th, 2024 4:16 PM Author: .....,,,,,...,,,,,..,.,,,,,.,,. Cq
In particular there was a surge towards Trump on Monday morning. |
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Date: October 8th, 2024 4:19 PM Author: mow jews (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5608603&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5309775",#48177824) |
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Date: October 8th, 2024 4:21 PM Author: little man Whales manipulating the market. Nothing big happened Monday morning that can explain the shift. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5608603&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5309775",#48177828) |
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Date: October 8th, 2024 4:23 PM Author: .;:..;:;.:.;.,,,.,.:,.;;,;;;..;, Nothing big that we know. Which is why I suggested maybe insiders have seen the internal polls (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5608603&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5309775",#48177837) |
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Date: October 8th, 2024 4:24 PM Author: little man Insiders moving a $300M market that much seems implausible. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5608603&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5309775",#48177845) |
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Date: October 8th, 2024 4:22 PM Author: wait till biggus dickus hears of this Pete Rose had been using an intricate network of straw bets, reverse repos, and inverse floaters to build up a huge Trump position without skewing the odds, but it collapsed upon his death and the odds are simply adjusting to reality (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5608603&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5309775",#48177831) |
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Date: October 8th, 2024 4:23 PM Author: Brussels Sprout: Brussels,Helsinki,Stockholm,Kyiv xo has clearly and convincingly handicapped the election in favor of Trump 47, for the last 2 weeks, if not longer-- blame it on xo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5608603&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5309775",#48177840) |
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Date: October 8th, 2024 4:24 PM Author: LathamTouchedMe hurricanes. always an unwinnable situation for the party in power. It never looks like enough is being done and why did all the infrastructure break! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5608603&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5309775",#48177844) |
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Date: October 8th, 2024 4:24 PM Author: Wilbur Mercer, permanently embarrassed millionaire (Safari) A higher proportion of money coming in was on trump to win, as compared to the ratio of total money up to the time of the shift (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5608603&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5309775",#48177847) |
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Date: October 8th, 2024 4:26 PM Author: Gloostick Modest shift in polls towards Trump leaving the race effectively tied, while Trump has a history of meaningful outperformance
Swing state Democrat internal polls leaking that are worse than national polling firms
Cross-tabs of even “good” polls for Kamala show significant weakness in key Democrat coalition demos like working class and union voters
Even then it still leaves the race near 50 50 |