\
  The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
BackRefresh Options Favorite

There is 0% possibility of “AGI” ever occurring

AI’s greatest accomplishment will be making millions o...
Salmon cerebral tank
  10/18/25
i remember in 90s they pretended internet wld solve all prob...
irradiated umber office
  10/18/25
Nearly 100%.
Glassy abode chad
  10/18/25
but it's definitely possible a future iteration will fool th...
carmine set selfie
  10/18/25
The only thing that would/could stop the eventual developmen...
Twisted jade skinny woman hospital
  10/18/25
I don't see how far off this shit is. It's effectively The S...
rusted goyim blood rage
  10/18/25
that's AGI though make users insanely retarded everyo...
pink stock car cuck
  10/18/25
...
rose bossy school cafeteria
  10/18/25
...
Exciting chrome theater cuckold
  10/18/25
It doesn’t matter. Sentience is not even required to t...
swollen maroon casino reading party
  10/18/25
Many humans don’t have sentience
wonderful indigo church
  10/19/25
...
laughsome elastic band
  10/19/25
...
twinkling stage
  11/08/25
arguably most
twinkling stage
  04/20/26
possibly the funniest outcome of all of this is humanity goi...
Azure hairraiser pisswyrm garrison
  10/19/25
...
Sapphire juggernaut chapel
  11/08/25
...
Salmon cerebral tank
  04/20/26
It won't be taken seriously until it can do things in the ph...
blue vivacious macaca space
  04/20/26
it's a bit like the breathless overselling that went on duri...
galvanic death wish
  04/20/26
...
blue vivacious macaca space
  04/20/26
This is generally a reasonable criticism of technological hy...
Diverse factory reset button hairy legs
  04/20/26
What definition are you using for "AGI" that curre...
twinkling stage
  04/20/26
Isn't "AGI" just supposed to be AI created thats a...
twinkling stage
  04/20/26
I thought it was like when AI can autonomously improve and o...
Salmon cerebral tank
  04/20/26
No that's way too strong and specific. It is supposed to jus...
twinkling stage
  04/20/26


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: October 18th, 2025 8:11 AM
Author: Salmon cerebral tank

AI’s greatest accomplishment will be making millions of otherwise sentient / marginally intelligent people retarded.

It’s just another fucking computer program and that’s all it will ever be.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310074#49357405)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 18th, 2025 8:26 AM
Author: irradiated umber office

i remember in 90s they pretended internet wld solve all probs theyd be no traffic anymore and shit techpigs are furking faggots

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310074#49357411)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 18th, 2025 11:49 AM
Author: Glassy abode chad

Nearly 100%.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310074#49357699)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 18th, 2025 11:52 AM
Author: carmine set selfie

but it's definitely possible a future iteration will fool the masses into think it's sentient. that's already happened to some dimwits using chatgpt

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310074#49357709)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 18th, 2025 12:30 PM
Author: Twisted jade skinny woman hospital

The only thing that would/could stop the eventual development of artificial intelligent minds is the breakdown and collapse of civilization

Which could totally happen

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310074#49357795)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 18th, 2025 12:34 PM
Author: rusted goyim blood rage

I don't see how far off this shit is. It's effectively The Same AGI atm. If it had a Body and Dexterity and if robots didn't suck, it could definitely do all kinds of irl shit. It's not exactly the same as humans but humans are not all they're cracked up to be, like at all. For the most part they just believe and regurgitate The Same Things over and over again.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310074#49357808)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 18th, 2025 12:36 PM
Author: pink stock car cuck

that's AGI though

make users insanely retarded

everyone uses AI to try not be retarded

agents do basic tasks that humans can no longer do

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310074#49357811)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 18th, 2025 10:30 PM
Author: rose bossy school cafeteria



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310074#49358822)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 18th, 2025 10:42 PM
Author: Exciting chrome theater cuckold



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310074#49358839)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 18th, 2025 11:50 PM
Author: swollen maroon casino reading party

It doesn’t matter. Sentience is not even required to take over all humans jobs.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310074#49358898)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 19th, 2025 12:32 AM
Author: wonderful indigo church

Many humans don’t have sentience

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310074#49358939)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 19th, 2025 12:33 AM
Author: laughsome elastic band



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310074#49358940)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 8th, 2025 12:32 PM
Author: twinkling stage



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310074#49412455)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 20th, 2026 2:30 AM
Author: twinkling stage

arguably most

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310074#49828651)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 19th, 2025 12:35 AM
Author: Azure hairraiser pisswyrm garrison

possibly the funniest outcome of all of this is humanity going extint to an AI that goes defunct right after

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310074#49358941)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 8th, 2025 12:27 PM
Author: Sapphire juggernaut chapel



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310074#49412445)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 20th, 2026 1:13 AM
Author: Salmon cerebral tank



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310074#49828595)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 20th, 2026 1:31 AM
Author: blue vivacious macaca space

It won't be taken seriously until it can do things in the physical world. You just can't respect an "intelligence" that can't move a coffee mug across a room.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310074#49828610)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 20th, 2026 1:40 AM
Author: galvanic death wish

it's a bit like the breathless overselling that went on during the mid-20th century regarding technology, space travel, et cetera.

at the time, it felt like things were moving so rapidly that SURELY our computers and rockets would soon morph into robotic butlers and flying cars a la The Jetsons!

people deadass believed that the Moon 'landing' was an obvious auguring of interplanetary space travel and 'colonization' in the near-term. even in the 80s, they were still making sci-fi movies set in 'THE YEAR 1999' where people had flying cars and lived on Mars, like this was 100% plausible futurecasting.

the AI thing will fizzle, just like all tech has. we'll get all the low-hanging fruit benefits of AI, while 'AGI' talk quietly fades away.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310074#49828620)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 20th, 2026 2:03 AM
Author: blue vivacious macaca space



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310074#49828641)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 20th, 2026 2:42 AM
Author: Diverse factory reset button hairy legs

This is generally a reasonable criticism of technological hype but the arguments for near term AGI are more complicated than “we made a lot of progress quickly, therefore we are near the end.” The success in modeling multiple different modalities using a highly generic architecture with minimal implementation differences tells you something meaningful about intelligence. Gradient descent with transformers works in multiple different domains because it’s a tractable approximation of Solomonoff induction. Small generalizing circuits make up more of the weight space and are easier for gradient descent to stumble on. It’s basically just a dumb circuit search process that tends to find programs from data that are likely to generalize. This becomes more true the more data you train on, with more epochs and with heavier regularization and more parameters. As compute budgets increase and training techniques become more efficient, this process converges closer and closer to optimal prediction of whatever modality you are training on. Even if we run out of ideas for how to improve the training techniques, the parametric circuit search can be increasingly applied to the learning algorithms themselves. There’s really no plausible obstacle that could stop this from happening relatively soon. Manifesting intelligence is no longer contingent on brilliant insights or ideas but FLOPS and engineering

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310074#49828660)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 20th, 2026 2:47 AM
Author: twinkling stage

What definition are you using for "AGI" that current systems don't meet and you think might not even meet within the next year or so? I think autonomous operational competence might take another 1-3 years. But current systems already meet broad cognitive generality at the minimum, and arguably exceed most humans across a large fraction of intellectual tasks.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310074#49828663)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 20th, 2026 2:00 AM
Author: twinkling stage

Isn't "AGI" just supposed to be AI created thats as smart as humans? Current AI has already far surpassed the avg human, and on many tasks it has surpassed all humans. Most of the reasons for not calling it "AGI" seem to be sociological. A lot of it is definitional hedging too. If you want AGI to mean autonomous general agents that replace all human jobs or something like that then it might be a long time before we reach it.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310074#49828639)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 20th, 2026 2:23 AM
Author: Salmon cerebral tank

I thought it was like when AI can autonomously improve and otherwise “run” itself and no longer needs any human inputs to exist and grow

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310074#49828648)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 20th, 2026 2:29 AM
Author: twinkling stage

No that's way too strong and specific. It is supposed to just be general competence across a wide range of domains that is comparable to or superior to humans. To me it's kind of insane to say current systems haven't met that.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310074#49828650)