Pretty clear that Iran has escalation dominance
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Poast new message in this thread
Date: March 19th, 2026 8:30 AM
Author: ,.,,.,.,,,,,,.....................
Trump resorting to lies that he didn't know about the Israeli attack to beg Iran to stop bombing the Qatar LNG refinery. Looks like Iran might end up cutting side deals with the rest of the world and the US just has to sit and take it.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310477#49754604) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:36 AM
Author: .,.,.,.,.,...,.,,.,,.....,.,..,.,,...,.,.,,...,.
It's obvious that the plan was to decapitate the leadership and the hope was Iran would collapse. It's why Trump was telling the Iranian people to rise up right after the initial strikes. If that didn't work, Trump probably thought he could broker a ceasefire, but Iran can just say no. In modern missile and drone warfare, offense beats defense.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310477#49754618) |
Date: March 19th, 2026 8:52 AM
Author: ..,,....,,.,..,,..,,...,...,,....,...,
XO gives Iran way too much credit they are going to have to concede or keep getting hit
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310477#49754655) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:55 AM
Author: ..,,....,,.,..,,..,,...,...,,....,...,
They're going to care at some point guess it will take longer then
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310477#49754665) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:55 AM
Author: .,.,.,.,.,...,.,,.,,.....,.,..,.,,...,.,.,,...,.
Yeah, we can keep pounding them with bombs, drones, missiles, etc., but that's not going to cripple the global economy. Iran bombing gulf energy infrastructure, preventing tankers from traversing the strait, etc. will cripple the global economy.
Trump needs this to wrap up by summer, but Iran can keep it going until the US says fuck it and goes home.
Trump has the watch, but Iran has the time.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310477#49754662) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:58 AM
Author: ..,,....,,.,..,,..,,...,...,,....,...,
You don't know anything
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310477#49754670) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:59 AM
Author: ..,,....,,.,..,,..,,...,...,,....,...,
No you don't
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310477#49754676) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 9:16 AM
Author: .,.,.,.,.,...,.,,.,,.....,.,..,.,,...,.,.,,...,.
Nah, all military engagements are gambles no matter how much you plan, etc. In this case, the gamble was that the combined strikes by the US+Israel would cause the Iranian state to *politically* collapse, that is to say the Iranian leadership would throw in the towel despite not being militarily & materially beaten. But if they don't politically collapse, then you have to defeat them militarily (i.e. beat them so that they can no longer resist or retaliate to the point the political leadership collapses or surrenders).
Trump took a gamble that they could hit them hard and decisively enough that they would politically collapse/give in. That initial gamble didn't work so now there's effectively a boat race where Trump is betting on the US+Israel can degrade the Iranian state faster than Iran can blow up the global economy. Who will win? Time will tell.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310477#49754711) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 10:19 AM
Author: .,.,.,.,.,...,.,,.,,.....,.,..,.,,...,.,.,,...,.
what specifically is "idiotic" about it?
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310477#49754870) |
Date: March 19th, 2026 9:07 AM
Author: .....;;,,.........;.;.;.;.,;,;,;.;.;,;
The weird hole in the “Iran will win via an indefinite war of attrition” take is the assumption that Israel did nothing after last summer to prepare for an armed insurrection by the anti-regime resistance on the ground (ie the side that has 80+% popular support) even though it revealed it had deep intel penetration through out the security forces. Basij aren’t getting paid right now and that’s not going to change any time soon. And they aren’t used to/trained to fight against an armed population, let alone an opposition that has any kind of special forces coordination/intel, logistics and air support. It seems very likely that the Basij sustain losses in the 10s or 100s of 1000s before the end of the summer, and mass abandonment/defection decimates their internal security/suppression apparatus. And if that happens the regime is toast.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310477#49754693) |
Date: March 19th, 2026 9:13 AM
Author: ,.,..,.,..,.,.,.,..,.,..,..,.,.,,..,.,,.
the only dominance Iran has is that the US has an absolute buffoon making decisions
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310477#49754706) |
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