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Harris extends lead in MI
Poast new message in this thread
Date: October 3rd, 2024 1:50 PM Author: little man https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2024/MIRS-MI_News_Source_Poll.pdf
Trump leads by 1% in 2-Way Contest Trump -- Harris tied at 47% in an 8-Way Contest |
Date: October 3rd, 2024 1:50 PM Author: Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle what have I been saying for the past year? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605828&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486",#48159401) |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 2:28 PM Author: bcs (🍑 Pronouns: Ausländer/Raus döp dödö döp) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605828&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486",#48159626) |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 2:54 PM Author: """'""""'' Date: October 3rd, 2024 1:50 PM Author: Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle
what have I been saying for the past year?
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605828&forum_id=2#48159401) |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 4:08 PM Author: .....................- The poll was conducted on Monday September 30, 2024, before the Vice-Presidential Debate. It was conducted entirely by text messaging a randomly selected list of registered voter’s cell phones and directing them to a SurveyMonkey poll (MMS-Web). 76,728 text messages were sent out with a response rate of .00928%. |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 1:52 PM Author: Institute for JDVanced Study She's done. The news needs to make look it close, though, to keep people clicking (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605828&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486",#48159430) |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 1:54 PM Author: MASE WHOOPSIE https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1840534680090595478 |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 2:26 PM Author: At Oh noess (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605828&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486",#48159616) |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 2:15 PM Author: MASE DOUBLE WHOOPSIE https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1841903661942775868 |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 2:32 PM Author: MASE I wonder if libs are prepared for Trump to win Michigan... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605828&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486",#48159649) |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 2:45 PM Author: Florida Surgeon General Joseph A. Ladapo i assumed he would because the Muzzies are crying about Biden and Gaza (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605828&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486",#48159728) |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 2:51 PM Author: Soren "Bob" Odenkierkegaard (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605828&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486",#48159764) |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 4:42 PM Author: Fuck libs, fuck hipsters, fuck hippies No. They are not. Which is why they have a bunch of trucks loaded up right now with fraudulent ballots. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605828&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486",#48160259) |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 2:40 PM Author: Fresh Mango Do we need MI? Pretty sure she can win without it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605828&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486",#48159703) |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 2:41 PM Author: MASE She needs to win all of MI WI and PA to have a shot. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605828&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486",#48159713) |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 2:51 PM Author: Soren "Bob" Odenkierkegaard (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605828&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486",#48159766) |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 3:41 PM Author: 718-662-5970 She could win with WI, PA, and NC... should she lose MI
I know you also dont see her winning NC, but maybe some black swan shit: pervy GOP gov candidate, black turnout, western red counties still fucked by flood, etc.
matter of fact, if dems were inclined to cheat, NC is the state to cheat in this year. Entire counties have been made homeless and are either displaced in other states, or scattered around with no mail address |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 3:47 PM Author: MASE Even if we see a Hurricane Sandy level turnout dip in the affected Western NC counties, Trump only is at a net loss of about 15K votes.
And there was a lot less early/mail voting back then, and Sandy was far closer to the election.
In re: to the Robinson situation, reverse coattails are not a thing.
Kamala needs 75k more votes than Biden got to win NC. Can she do that in the context of us asking whether he has a lead in MICHIGAN (a state he lost by 150k last time)?
I know things aren't that simple, but swing states rarely break in different directions. |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 4:09 PM Author: .....;;,,.........;.;.;.;.,;,;,;.;.;,; The issue with Robinson is that Trump has no GOTV because TPUSA is utterly retarded and Robinson was supposed to fill in that gap with his campaign, but his entire campaign staff quit. So there isn’t anyone to try to get a mail in ballot to any of the voters in the western counties, and they just won’t vote. Let alone that Robinson is now down double digits and likely will fall further in the next month and there’s never been that degree of ticket splitting in any potential tipping point state in modern U.S. politics or really ever. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605828&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486",#48160114) |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 2:49 PM Author: cannon Atlas Intel has been the most accurate pollster since 2016 and MI is Trump’s largest lead
https://x.com/atlas_intel/status/1840257269176361457 |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 2:50 PM Author: MASE I'll say this: if he wins MI, he is winning the election. That's the most hostile state to him demo-wise by FAR. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605828&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486",#48159759) |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 2:51 PM Author: cannon Cr. Also I don’t think AZ is that close. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605828&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486",#48159763) |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 2:54 PM Author: Soren "Bob" Odenkierkegaard He needs to sure up NC and GA as well. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605828&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486",#48159784) |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 4:03 PM Author: Trump is the Lib Killer (TDNW) muzzies love Donald Trump (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605828&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486",#48160084) |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 4:06 PM Author: MASE Pretty much anyone we like (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605828&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486",#48160098) |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 5:05 PM Author: .,.,..,...,.,.,...........,,..... AZ and NV are worse for him. A bunch of people in Dearborn and other places that otherwise would've voted for Harris are not going to vote for anyone. The more third party candidates the better for Harris. I think she's toast there. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605828&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486",#48160355) |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 2:51 PM Author: Soren "Bob" Odenkierkegaard north carolina poll numbers are very concerning (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605828&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486",#48159773) |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 2:53 PM Author: MASE NC is one of the states I feel the best about. https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1841602206027677937 |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 2:55 PM Author: Soren "Bob" Odenkierkegaard (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605828&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486",#48159793) |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 3:32 PM Author: him (🧐) These are much more meaningful data than the bogus left wing polls showing Harris with a lead in the swing states.
lol |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 4:11 PM Author: Charles Tyrwhitt Dad If you are wrong, the spammers are going to bump every single one of your threads every day in perpetuity. Which will kill off xoxohto for once and for all, perhaps not a bad thing.
But what makes you confident that the drop in early voting isn't going to be compensated by increased turnout on election day? What Democratic-leaning voting blocs isn't turning out this year? Black voters? Who? |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 4:18 PM Author: MASE Biden maxed out Dem turnout in 2020 to levels never seen before in American history. So here's the question: is that about to happen again? Do we see any signs of that happening?
Cause here's what I see. I see majority of Teamsters supporting Trump. I see a majority of Arab Americans supporting Trump. I see Trump with a higher than average support among blacks due exclusively to black males. I see precipitous drops across the board for mail in requests, absentee voting, early voting, and registrations in D counties. I see Gallup dropping a poll showing an R+3 electorate this cycle, the most red electorate this country has had in 20 years. And most important, I see no enthusiasm among Dems and no signs that the trailing that's currently happening amongst Dem early voting will be made up for on Election Day.
It's very simple. Dems need to have 70/30 or 65/35 splits on Election Day to win the election in NC.
Do you have any evidence that's going to happen?
Cause I have evidence of the opposite: https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1841934537858675058 |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 4:23 PM Author: Charles Tyrwhitt Dad Yes, looks bad for Harris using those metrics. The only thing I have to go by in your blue UMC suburb is that no one is talking about the election. Signs are perhaps 20% of 2020. The feeling aka instinct that things are different this year is there. But instincts are often wrong. I'm not trusting it this year.
I have a work trip over the election and the upside is I get to treat myself to a bottle of whisky and a pack of cigarettes while watching the returns come in that evening. Am guessing I'm going to need it.
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 3:31 PM Author: 718-662-5970 20% with blacks is fatal to Dems. Wonder if that holds
Would also like to see arabs broken out separate |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 3:33 PM Author: richard clock https://x.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1841543024028815710 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605828&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486",#48159980) |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 3:35 PM Author: bcs (🍑 Pronouns: Ausländer/Raus döp dödö döp) wow (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605828&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486",#48159987) |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 4:04 PM Author: Trump is the Lib Killer (TDNW) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605828&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486",#48160087) |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 5:07 PM Author: .,.,..,...,.,.,...........,,..... And this is what will be in the nail in the coffin in Michigan. They won't actually vote for Trump. But they sure as shit aren't voting for her. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605828&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486",#48160366) |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 4:10 PM Author: .....;;,,.........;.;.;.;.,;,;,;.;.;,; Trump being up 31-23 with non-binary voters was the best part of this poll but I assume that’s all dissidents who “prefer not to answer.” (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605828&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486",#48160121) |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 4:27 PM Author: symbolism Trannies 4 Trump (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605828&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486",#48160193) |
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Date: October 3rd, 2024 4:49 PM Author: LathamTouchedMe Throw it in the average. But almost all of the polling there has been good for Harris and slotkin in MI. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5605828&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486",#48160288) |