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Kalshi refuses pay out to bettors in Ayatollah Khameni market

Prediction market Kalshi has drawn outrage for refusing to p...
fishy thriller giraffe
  03/05/26
🚨 this is a WLMAS account 🚨 🚨 this is a WLMAS acco...
charismatic brunch national security agency
  03/05/26
🚨 this is a WLMAS account 🚨 🚨 this is a WLMAS acco...
charismatic brunch national security agency
  03/05/26
Prediction markets should be illegal
magenta nofapping school cafeteria
  03/05/26
but how can they be made illegal when they were conceived of...
fishy thriller giraffe
  03/05/26
🚨 this is a WLMAS account 🚨 🚨 this is a WLMAS acco...
charismatic brunch national security agency
  03/05/26
The DARPA chief?!
magenta nofapping school cafeteria
  03/05/26
🚨 this is a WLMAS account 🚨 🚨 this is a WLMAS acco...
charismatic brunch national security agency
  03/05/26
Kalshi is pure scum all my homies use Polymarket
Harsh marvelous trailer park mad cow disease
  03/05/26
They hate MAGA cons
Sepia telephone son of senegal
  03/05/26
everyone does though
fishy thriller giraffe
  03/05/26


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Reply Favorite

Date: March 5th, 2026 1:38 PM
Author: fishy thriller giraffe

Prediction market Kalshi has drawn outrage for refusing to pay out winnings on a $54 million trade related to the death of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

Many bettors assumed they had won big on wagers that Khamenei would be “out as Supreme Leader” by Saturday after he was killed in joint US-Israeli air strikes over the weekend.

But Kalshi – an American prediction market that allows users to bet on politics, sports, foreign affairs and pop culture – announced it would not be paying out any winnings on those wagers, since its guidelines prohibit markets “directly tied to death.”

An Israeli-American business executive in New York had placed two bets totaling $3,460 that Khamenei would be “out” by March or April 1, and the Kalshi app showed he won payouts worth more than $63,000 – but then the trade was frozen.

“I was booking my trip to Courchevel,” he jokingly told the Washington Post, referring to the luxurious French Alps ski resort. “Then they changed the rules … and everybody got screwed.”

https://nypost.com/2026/03/05/business/kalshi-refuses-to-pay-winnings-on-54m-trade-related-to-khameneis-death-drawing-user-fury/?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486#49718009)



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Date: March 5th, 2026 1:43 PM
Author: charismatic brunch national security agency

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(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486#49718026)



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Date: March 5th, 2026 1:43 PM
Author: charismatic brunch national security agency

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(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486#49718027)



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Date: March 5th, 2026 2:00 PM
Author: magenta nofapping school cafeteria

Prediction markets should be illegal

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486#49718100)



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Date: March 5th, 2026 2:02 PM
Author: fishy thriller giraffe

but how can they be made illegal when they were conceived of by the very people who decide what’s illegal?

https://www.cia.gov/resources/csi/static/Prediction-Markets-Enhance-Intel.pdf

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486#49718108)



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Date: March 5th, 2026 2:03 PM
Author: charismatic brunch national security agency

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(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486#49718111)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 5th, 2026 8:51 PM
Author: magenta nofapping school cafeteria

The DARPA chief?!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486#49719573)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 5th, 2026 2:03 PM
Author: charismatic brunch national security agency

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(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486#49718113)



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Date: March 5th, 2026 2:05 PM
Author: Harsh marvelous trailer park mad cow disease

Kalshi is pure scum

all my homies use Polymarket

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486#49718124)



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Date: March 5th, 2026 2:06 PM
Author: Sepia telephone son of senegal

They hate MAGA cons

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486#49718127)



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Date: March 5th, 2026 7:16 PM
Author: fishy thriller giraffe

everyone does though

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310486#49719325)