PA > red, NC > blue is a very real possibility
| bip | 09/30/24 | | ,,,,.....,,,,...,........,,,.....,,...,... | 09/30/24 | | MASE | 09/30/24 | | lex | 09/30/24 | | MASE | 09/30/24 | | wap | 09/30/24 | | "'''''"'''"""''''" | 09/30/24 | | wap | 09/30/24 | | bip | 09/30/24 | | wap | 09/30/24 | | bip | 09/30/24 | | wap | 09/30/24 | | MASE | 09/30/24 | | bip | 09/30/24 | | wap | 09/30/24 | | Alien vs Predator vs Brown vs Board of Education | 09/30/24 | | '"''"'"'''""" | 09/30/24 | | but at what cost | 09/30/24 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: September 30th, 2024 12:33 PM
Author: ,,,,.....,,,,...,........,,,.....,,...,...
Lib meltdown alert
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5603764&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310690",#48146220) |
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Date: September 30th, 2024 12:41 PM Author: MASE
Look more and more likely:
-Trump has led the last several polls in PA and according to Baris both Trump and Harris internals show him up by several points there
-Most accurate 2020 pollster AtlasIntel has him leading by 4(!) in Michigan while Elissa Slotkin was panicking over zoom this weekend that Harris's internals have her underwater there
-Wisconsin is reliably the most red blue wall state and likely will not vote to the left of either PA or MI.
-Trump leads Arizona bigly
I still think he'll win GA and NC too, but lmao
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5603764&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310690",#48146251) |
Date: September 30th, 2024 12:39 PM Author: wap
That NC is in play is a disaster for Trump. In any race where one side has much better on the ground resources and more money an expanding map is always a huge advantage for that side. But the EC math of any chance that NC is in play makes it such an inside straight for Trump, like he has to win 6 straight coin flips if he loses NC or GA, and if she also takes Mich it becomes such a narrow path to victory for Trump.
Senate is also SPS compared to where it should be. MD, NV and AZ should all be close or GOP advantage and instead GOP is having to spend money in super expensive media markets to defend TX and FL. This cycle feels more and more like the moment when the chickens come home to roost for Trump’s tendency toward valuing loyalty and deference over competence.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5603764&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310690",#48146243) |
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