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Hey Republicucks, how hard will you COPE when you see this in November?
Poast new message in this thread
Date: July 9th, 2024 3:31 PM Author: Exciting bespoke organic girlfriend chad LOL I actually can't wait for your wailing and gnashing of teeth.
https://www.270towin.com/maps/RyXD4 |
Date: July 9th, 2024 3:41 PM Author: emerald candlestick maker site reasonable prediction
former battlegrounds like OH and FL are now pretty red
really comes down to PA, MI, WI, MN and lol at rustbelt cucks deciding are future |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 3:50 PM Author: Exciting bespoke organic girlfriend chad This map is just Nate Silver's state by state poll averages. For any state with a sub-3% margin, I threw it to the Dems for max chaos.
Technically Trump is leading in PA, MI, and WI, but the above map is absolutely within margin of error and would result in bort meltdowns. |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 3:54 PM Author: Green vibrant rigor voyeur On Election Day in 2020 the 538 average had Biden ahead by over 8.5% and he won by 20k votes. Biden is down 10 points in PA, Mich and Wisc today. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310690",#47824787) |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 3:55 PM Author: Exciting bespoke organic girlfriend chad This time I believe Biden is being underestimated in polling. Below thread explains: https://x.com/madrid_mike/status/1810387774329204925 |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:14 PM Author: Aromatic bistre potus heaven Why not? It's all fraud and lies anyways. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310690",#47824874) |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:15 PM Author: Exciting bespoke organic girlfriend chad Start coping now Trumpkin. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310690",#47824876) |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:29 PM Author: Aromatic bistre potus heaven Thank you, will do (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310690",#47824964) |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:22 PM Author: Erotic khaki persian (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310690",#47824920) |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:25 PM Author: Exciting bespoke organic girlfriend chad "Biden's going to lose" consensus is firing up the base in a way that won't be picked up on polls. Not to mention rust belt states are in margin of error. You'll find out in November. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310690",#47824937) |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:39 PM Author: Erotic khaki persian (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310690",#47825008) |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:29 PM Author: Aromatic bistre potus heaven He seemed to take the midterms - which Biden's numbers were down but dems did fine - and just say (without evidence) that the same will happen in November. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310690",#47824960) |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:37 PM Author: Erotic khaki persian (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310690",#47825001) |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:50 PM Author: fiercely-loyal chest-beating boltzmann pistol You're forgetting Sunbelt states like GA, AZ, and NV, which Dems won in 2020 and at least for the latter two did well in 2022 (Ds also won GA senate race in 2022 while losing statewide offices).
Polling is pretty good for Trump in those states though, outside of margin of error leads in AZ/NV. But recent polling is all Trump +5 in PA -- Nate Silver currently has Trump up 2 points exactly in PA.
If he wins PA, it's over. |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 3:58 PM Author: Magenta queen of the night theatre UNNNNGGHHHH, this made me DIAMOND hard. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310690",#47824796) |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 3:59 PM Author: Magenta queen of the night theatre TO Be Fair,
Trump is not winning Georgia.
GOP lost 2 CONSECUTIVE Senate races on top of Biden taking the state. |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:01 PM Author: Exciting bespoke organic girlfriend chad That's just not what polling is bearing out unfortunately. Besides, you would deny us this delicious map? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310690",#47824807) |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:05 PM Author: Magenta queen of the night theatre lol, just like how polls in 2020 had Trump taking the state, too?
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2020/georgia/trump-vs-biden |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:13 PM Author: Exciting bespoke organic girlfriend chad The difference is that Georgia was always within 1-1.5 points - firmly within the margin of error. While Trump has been leading it by 5+ points this time consistently since March.
Generally you stop calling states a toss-up once the margin gets larger than 3%. Now of course, those polls can be wrong, but why even make a map based off of polling then?
To humor you, the map where Biden wins Georgia isn't nearly as dramatic: https://www.270towin.com/maps/OxXBG |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:26 PM Author: Crystalline razzle therapy church building Georgia is where MAXFRAUD happened. sooooo. yeah could happen again. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310690",#47824942) |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:27 PM Author: Exciting bespoke organic girlfriend chad Anything is possible, except for a Trump win. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310690",#47824951) |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:21 PM Author: Geriatric ape forum Also, trump is bleeding support (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310690",#47824907) |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:27 PM Author: Aqua Parlour Shitlib all because Bbbboooom forgot to vote :( (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310690",#47824945) |
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Date: November 6th, 2024 9:30 PM Author: gay voter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310690",#48303406) |