wtf is going on with polling in FL?
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Poast new message in this thread
Date: October 3rd, 2024 10:26 PM
Author: ........,,,,,,......,.,.,.,,,,,,,,,,
Think of the average Trump enthusiast.
Then think of the average Kamala / Never Trumper enthusiast.
Which of them do you think is going to work for a polling company?
Polling is basically an art at this point. There's no reliable way to consistently reach a random set of people. Everything is based on a ton of assumptions and extrapolations based on the type of people these pollsters THINK are dumb enough to answer their phone and start talking with them.
I actually think anecdotal evidence is more valuable here. Trump won in 2016 and tied in 2020 with no public support. Not sure how he loses in 2024 when he's getting 70% of the teamsters votes, Elon Musk, RFK Jr, Bill Murray, Patrick Mahomes wife, all of the UFC, Shazam, Theo Von, Logan Paul, etc. The Trump public support is like 10x higher than it was in 2020 when it was literally just Kevin Sorbo.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5606148&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310744",#48161512) |
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Date: October 4th, 2024 3:35 PM
Author: .,.,...,..,.,.,:,,:,.,.,:::,...,:,...:..:.,:.::,.
Also, who is more likely to talk to a pollster from CNN, someone voting for Trump or a shitlib?
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5606148&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310744",#48163651) |
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Date: October 4th, 2024 3:26 PM
Author: .,.,...,..,.,.,:,,:,.,.,:::,...,:,...:..:.,:.::,.
You must not remember polling in 2020 and 2022. Trump was supposedly losing Florida. In our last election DeSantis was going to lose too. This never actually works out the way libs hope for here.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5606148&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310744",#48163612) |
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Date: October 4th, 2024 4:47 PM
Author: .,.,...,..,.,.,:,,:,.,.,:::,...,:,...:..:.,:.::,.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5606148&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310744",#48163941) |
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