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Republican loses special election in Trump's home district
| queensbridge benzo | 03/25/26 |
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Date: March 25th, 2026 7:22 AM Author: queensbridge benzo A Democratic victory in a state special election in President Donald Trump’s backyard is the latest sign that Democrats are on track to take back the House of Representatives in November, according to CNN’s resident data guru.
Democrat Emily Gregory beat Republican Jon Maples 51 percent to 49 percent to represent parts of West Palm Beach—including Trump’s private Mar-a-Lago estate—in the Florida state House.
Trump, who had endorsed Maples and voted by mail in the election, won the district in 2024 by 11 points. Gregory’s predecessor, state Rep. Mike Caruso, had won by 19 points before resigning to become county clerk and comptroller.
Emily Gregory ran in the special election for Florida House District 87, which includes Mar-a-Lago. Emily Gregory ran in the special election for Florida House District 87, which includes Mar-a-Lago. https://www.emilygregoryforflorida.com/ Although Republicans still have a supermajority in the Florida state legislature, Gregory’s victory is part of a nationwide trend that spells disaster for Republicans in the midterms, CNN data analyst Harry Enten told host Erin Burnett on Tuesday night, when 99 percent of the ballots had been counted.
“What is happening right now in Mar-a-Lago is unlikely to stay a Mar-a-Lago,” he said. “It is likely to expand nationwide and to expand in the midterm elections as well.”
In dozens of special elections nationwide at both the state and national level, there’s been a double-digit shift on average toward Democrats compared to the 2024 baseline, Enten said.
“Historically speaking, special elections have forecasted what will happen in the midterm elections,” he said. |