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Pretty clear that Iran has escalation dominance

Trump resorting to lies that he didn't know about the Israel...
,.,,.,.,,,,,,.....................
  03/19/26
Not sure how trump didn't predict that Iran would use the on...
George Jetson
  03/19/26
It's obvious that the plan was to decapitate the leadership ...
.,.,.,.,.,...,.,,.,,.....,.,..,.,,...,.,.,,...,.
  03/19/26
it’s very unfair
Forced Bi Cuckold of Hormuz
  03/19/26
“Why won’t the country whose leader I just preda...
mog
  03/19/26
I think they’re more upset the US deliberately targete...
Forced Bi Cuckold of Hormuz
  03/19/26
I don’t think the top brass GAF about the girls’...
mog
  03/19/26
Wow you're a high IQ mind reader!
Jared Baumeister
  03/19/26
nobody apart from CNN and NPR gives any fucks whatsoever abo...
fatty nigger
  03/19/26
i think the mullahs care about the survival of the iranian p...
Oaxacan crime rates
  03/19/26
yeah hard strikes were a really bad option and i suspect tha...
Oaxacan crime rates
  03/19/26
Insane he thought that a bunch of street protesters would be...
George Jetson
  03/19/26
he was trying to get israelis to protest?
tancredi marchiolo
  03/19/26
...
Must Poast Always
  03/19/26
Even for Trump this is a preposterous notion. Assume for a s...
.....;;,,.........;.;.;.;.,;,;,;.;.;,;
  03/19/26
...
:-P
  03/19/26
...
Kenneth Play
  03/19/26
im not sure how someone can believe this after iraq et al
:-P
  03/19/26
I'm curious how he makes decisions.
dupa
  03/19/26
see my poast below. it's one of those two. and when it's ...
TurboGook-16
  03/19/26
he's either being straight up told what to do by israel desp...
TurboGook-16
  03/19/26
it's always been mostly #2. im sure you run into people that...
:-P
  03/19/26
i strongly suspect blackmail. this entire admin has been isr...
TurboGook-16
  03/19/26
i don't think so. first, i dont think its within trumps c...
:-P
  03/19/26
I don't even think it's blackmail in the traditional sense. ...
Richard Ames
  03/19/26
i think that's highly likely. i don't necessarily agree wit...
TurboGook-16
  03/19/26
kushner is one of the main architects of the war, has been m...
:-P
  03/19/26
To be fair, people have argued that Israel may have actually...
Richard Ames
  03/19/26
he flip flops on stuff constantly. he's always been inconsis...
:-P
  03/19/26
no country is better at ad tech and systematic targeting of ...
Darnell
  03/19/26
are you and all the people who voted for trump victims of pr...
:-P
  03/19/26
Is your core argument that Trump's current actions are total...
Richard Ames
  03/19/26
im saying that it aligns enough that it's probably the case ...
:-P
  03/19/26
It's all just profoundly disappointing to anyone who support...
Richard Ames
  03/19/26
we clearly didnt expect the retaliatory attacks on xo infras...
richard clock
  03/19/26
rach should send Paralegal Mohammed as special envoy to nego...
Forced Bi Cuckold of Hormuz
  03/19/26
...
Kenneth Play
  03/19/26
...
Nude Karlstack
  03/19/26
...
:-P
  03/19/26
...
potluck
  03/19/26
...
Must Poast Always
  03/19/26
...
Sex & Love Addict
  03/19/26
...
artificial intelligence
  03/19/26
XO gives Iran way too much credit they are going to have to ...
..,,....,,.,..,,..,,...,...,,....,...,
  03/19/26
these are Muslims. they don’t care about getting hit a...
Forced Bi Cuckold of Hormuz
  03/19/26
They're going to care at some point guess it will take longe...
..,,....,,.,..,,..,,...,...,,....,...,
  03/19/26
Yeah, we can keep pounding them with bombs, drones, missiles...
.,.,.,.,.,...,.,,.,,.....,.,..,.,,...,.,.,,...,.
  03/19/26
Cr. It's a very different task invading, overthrowing, and o...
dupa
  03/19/26
I’m going to give you a not so secret pro tip. Trump l...
Henry Bronco
  03/19/26
You don't know anything
..,,....,,.,..,,..,,...,...,,....,...,
  03/19/26
I know this precisely.
Henry Bronco
  03/19/26
No you don't
..,,....,,.,..,,..,,...,...,,....,...,
  03/19/26
Yes, I do. Remember that.
Henry Bronco
  03/19/26
It does feel like the most impactful decisions are being mad...
dupa
  03/19/26
...
Henry Bronco
  03/19/26
Nah, all military engagements are gambles no matter how much...
.,.,.,.,.,...,.,,.,,.....,.,..,.,,...,.,.,,...,.
  03/19/26
Hijacking the world economy will involve the troika of Iran,...
Brussels Sprout: Brussels,Helsinki,Stockholm,Kyiv
  03/19/26
This is such an idiotic post. How much of our and Israel...
dupa
  03/19/26
what specifically is "idiotic" about it?
.,.,.,.,.,...,.,,.,,.....,.,..,.,,...,.,.,,...,.
  03/19/26
see the second paragraph of my post.
dupa
  03/19/26
dude even with perfect intelligence the outcome is unknown. ...
:-P
  03/19/26
These things happen.
dupa
  03/19/26
he's only human. every potus gets us involved in some unpopu...
:-P
  03/19/26
the fact that he only started 1 middle east war in 2 terms i...
dupa
  03/19/26
cr. this war is probably gonna end in a week or two. but if ...
:-P
  03/19/26
no way its all fake news, all those former officials and sta...
:-P
  03/19/26
The weird hole in the “Iran will win via an indefinite...
.....;;,,.........;.;.;.;.,;,;,;.;.;,;
  03/19/26
I really hope you're right
fatty nigger
  03/19/26
The problem is there is little organization for an anti-regi...
AI_concubine
  03/19/26
the only dominance Iran has is that the US has an absolute b...
,.,..,.,..,.,.,.,..,.,..,..,.,.,,..,.,,.
  03/19/26
Did people really think Iran would just go belly up after a ...
'''''''''''''
  03/19/26
"Did people really think Iran would just go belly up af...
TurboGook-16
  03/19/26
Who thinks Netanyahu is still alive?
Jared Baumeister
  03/19/26
he is 100% alive, chilling in miami
tancredi marchiolo
  03/19/26
Anyone?
Jared Baumeister
  03/19/26
A lot of retarded analysis ITT. it's blatantly obvious the d...
KPop Semen Hunter
  03/19/26
https://x.com/quadcarl/status/2034295646606225537?s=46
Forced Bi Cuckold of Hormuz
  03/19/26
Who thinks Netanyahu is still alive?
Jared Baumeister
  03/19/26
it's hard to believe he's dead and they're putting out AI vi...
TurboGook-16
  03/19/26
the US just has to sit and take it. Does that make sense...
gibberish (?)
  03/19/26


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 8:30 AM
Author: ,.,,.,.,,,,,,.....................


Trump resorting to lies that he didn't know about the Israeli attack to beg Iran to stop bombing the Qatar LNG refinery. Looks like Iran might end up cutting side deals with the rest of the world and the US just has to sit and take it.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754604)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 8:32 AM
Author: George Jetson

Not sure how trump didn't predict that Iran would use the only advantage it had

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754611)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 8:36 AM
Author: .,.,.,.,.,...,.,,.,,.....,.,..,.,,...,.,.,,...,.


It's obvious that the plan was to decapitate the leadership and the hope was Iran would collapse. It's why Trump was telling the Iranian people to rise up right after the initial strikes. If that didn't work, Trump probably thought he could broker a ceasefire, but Iran can just say no. In modern missile and drone warfare, offense beats defense.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754618)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 8:38 AM
Author: Forced Bi Cuckold of Hormuz

it’s very unfair

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754622)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 8:42 AM
Author: mog

“Why won’t the country whose leader I just predator missiled negotiate in good faith with me!”

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754632)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 8:48 AM
Author: Forced Bi Cuckold of Hormuz

I think they’re more upset the US deliberately targeted that girl’s school. twice.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754644)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 8:53 AM
Author: mog

I don’t think the top brass GAF about the girls’ school though they may care about their perceived aura loss in the eyes of the international community if they were seen not to care.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754658)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 10:54 AM
Author: Jared Baumeister

Wow you're a high IQ mind reader!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754977)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 10:18 AM
Author: fatty nigger (✅🍑)

nobody apart from CNN and NPR gives any fucks whatsoever about that school

the Iranian regime cares about their power and their money and nothing else

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754867)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 10:50 AM
Author: Oaxacan crime rates

i think the mullahs care about the survival of the iranian polity

i read a lot of SL kho and kha's talks and speeches and what not to get a feel for them and their priorities and it'd be hard to say that they don't care about the iranian peoples. khameini in particular had a particular vision for the country that it doesn't seem like they had a broad enough coalition to enervate the population into carrying out. liberalizations periodically occurring over the last decade or two have made it clear that there's some bowing to democratic or common sentiments. the thing that confuses secularized western observers is just that they care just as much about shia islam and islam in general as they do about certain aspects of the polity

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754960)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 10:47 AM
Author: Oaxacan crime rates

yeah hard strikes were a really bad option and i suspect that straight up diapering and soft (and politically justified, maybe) sabotage at the CIA and NSA probably limited their options to that

the US repeatedly time and time again overestimates their good will/moral authority in these middle eastern countries and it is disheartening to see the same mistakes made back in the Iran-Iraq war still being made decades later

the Anglosphere's ability to use the military to succesfully make in-roads into the culture of a nation died shortly after the Malayan Emergency

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754952)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 8:43 AM
Author: George Jetson

Insane he thought that a bunch of street protesters would be able to take control of a government full of unhinged fanatics who now have no reason not to massacre anyone who rises up.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754634)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 9:01 AM
Author: tancredi marchiolo

he was trying to get israelis to protest?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754683)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 9:36 AM
Author: Must Poast Always (No Future)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754744)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 9:12 AM
Author: .....;;,,.........;.;.;.;.,;,;,;.;.;,;


Even for Trump this is a preposterous notion. Assume for a second the Israelis spent the last 8 months planning for and equipping an internal resistance force that they always expected to fight the regime after Israel softened it up via an air campaign. How would that scenario look different from what is currently happening on the ground in Iran after 3 weeks of the war?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754704)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 9:21 AM
Author: :-P (gunneratttt)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754719)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 8:50 AM
Author: Kenneth Play (emotional girth)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754649)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 9:21 AM
Author: :-P (gunneratttt)

im not sure how someone can believe this after iraq et al

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754722)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 8:55 AM
Author: dupa

I'm curious how he makes decisions.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754664)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 10:27 AM
Author: TurboGook-16 ((zurich is stained))

see my poast below. it's one of those two.

and when it's actually him deciding, he goes with his gut/instinct. that's worked out a lot before, but if that's at play here, he got it very wrong.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754890)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 10:26 AM
Author: TurboGook-16 ((zurich is stained))

he's either being straight up told what to do by israel despite the disastrous consequences for the US and world (because they are blackmailing him), or he legit has no advisors around him who know wtf they're talking about and he's listening to former podcasters and fox news retards.

either way, this isn't good.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754888)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 10:30 AM
Author: :-P (gunneratttt)

it's always been mostly #2. im sure you run into people that work in or close to the admin who can give first hand accounts.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754901)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 10:34 AM
Author: TurboGook-16 ((zurich is stained))

i strongly suspect blackmail. this entire admin has been israel-focused, and it just doesn't make sense that he went to war with iran because he got bad advice. it's possible (and if that's the case, he got hoodwinked into thinking we could venezuela them) but i really think there's coercion at play here.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754912)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 10:43 AM
Author: :-P (gunneratttt)

i don't think so.

first, i dont think its within trumps capacity to be blackmailed. he's stubborn and outspoken and has never shied away from controversy. and he just denies until he dies. what could they have thats any worse than his prior shit? even if they had epstein island vid of him fucking kids while holding their birth certificate and that days paper, he'd deny it.

second, he's been an israel dickrider forever. occams razor is that he's still an israel dickrider. he spent much of the campaign criticizing biden for not supporting israel enough.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754941)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 10:56 AM
Author: Richard Ames

I don't even think it's blackmail in the traditional sense. They tried to kill him during the campaign and almost certainly said "side with us and your family gets rich, go against us and you die." They probably threatened to kill his family, too.

I assume they thought they'd be rid of him after Term 1's constant lawfare / Russiagate bullshit and then the endless lawfare after the 2020 "election." But he wouldn't go away.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754985)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 10:59 AM
Author: TurboGook-16 ((zurich is stained))

i think that's highly likely. i don't necessarily agree with gunner's take. trump has had fairly good instincts overall but lately has just been a disaster. and yea he's always been an israel boomertard, but this entire term has been something else, just out of this world.

above all, trump cares about his legacy. it's quite a gamble to go to war with iran and think it'll go smoothly and be short. at this point, unless something huge breaks, trump is going to go down in history as one of the worst presidents we've had. if he legitimately got here through his own poor decisionmaking, then jesus christ lol.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49755003)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 11:09 AM
Author: :-P (gunneratttt)

kushner is one of the main architects of the war, has been married to ivanka since 2009, and had key roles in the first administration. to believe trump is compromised would mean israel has had a gun to his head a decade before he got into politics.

yes, this is an escalation from his previous stuff. so is ICE, tariffs, and many other things. i think it's more likely trump is simply more effective and doing stuff he lkterally campaigned on (dickriding isrsel, not going to war with iran per se) because he has more political capital and experience.

and again, its hard to even fathom what they could have on yrump to make him do something he wouldn't do otherwise. and also, he's just one man, he still needs buy in from many others. they can't all be compromised or agents of israel. hegseth, vance etc are real people just like tdnw and sealclubber.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49755027)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 11:18 AM
Author: Richard Ames

To be fair, people have argued that Israel may have actually worked to help get him elected in 2016, not Russia. So maybe the rot goes further back than we'd (I'd) like to admit.

It just seems pretty dramatic to go from 2015 - 2020 Trump to the guy we're dealing with today and think "nah he's always been this way." Add-in all of his historical statements over the decades and it just seems unreal.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49755074)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 11:27 AM
Author: :-P (gunneratttt)

he flip flops on stuff constantly. he's always been inconsistent.

how would israel have "got him elected." did they trick you into voting for him? no, you supported him because you supported what he said. maybe if he was some kamala type that got forcememed by institutions despite low popular enthusiasm, but trump was the exact opposite: institutions ran a full court press against him his entire political career.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49755112)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 11:34 AM
Author: Darnell

no country is better at ad tech and systematic targeting of large populations with propaganda. russia is close but israel has huge stores of legal and illegal personal information for americans and uses it for increasingly precise propaganda targeting

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49755147)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 11:42 AM
Author: :-P (gunneratttt)

are you and all the people who voted for trump victims of propaganda? or did you just intelligently make a decision based on the information you had?

one of the best things about trump is how he's unabashedly himself and tweets directly without concern for political correctness. i don't even see how his success could have been facilitated by propangda. i don't see how a propagandist could rein him in. and in any case, he's been a victim of biased reporting from all sides his entire career, so how is there even evidence of favoring him to the point it's responsible for his success?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49755187)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 1:20 PM
Author: Richard Ames

Is your core argument that Trump's current actions are totally normal for him? And that this term is what we should have expected based on all prior behavior?

Honestly if that is the case then please give me the Fell For It Again award.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49755563)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 2:27 PM
Author: :-P (gunneratttt)

im saying that it aligns enough that it's probably the case and speculating about kompromat is unjustified.

im not some lib gloating about "haha told you so!" it was reasonable to hope that he'd stay out because of his antiwar rhetoric and first term. i did. but i also knew he is erratic, dabbles in neocon boomerisms, and has been an honorary jew for decades. so, im disappointed, but im not so suprised that im searching for reasons in blackmail conspiracy theories.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49755812)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 11:12 AM
Author: Richard Ames

It's all just profoundly disappointing to anyone who supported him back in 2015 / 2016. Just brutal.

I just don't see how it isn't directly related to a threat on his life given that he has been consistent for decades in his statements around what he actually wants for America.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49755038)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 8:46 AM
Author: richard clock

we clearly didnt expect the retaliatory attacks on xo infrastructure

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754640)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 8:50 AM
Author: Forced Bi Cuckold of Hormuz

rach should send Paralegal Mohammed as special envoy to negotiate a cease to Iranian hacker attacks

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754648)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 8:50 AM
Author: Kenneth Play (emotional girth)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754650)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 8:59 AM
Author: Nude Karlstack (🧐)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754674)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 9:21 AM
Author: :-P (gunneratttt)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754723)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 9:30 AM
Author: potluck



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754736)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 9:36 AM
Author: Must Poast Always (No Future)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754745)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 11:24 AM
Author: Sex & Love Addict



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49755098)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 4:34 PM
Author: artificial intelligence



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49756082)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 8:52 AM
Author: ..,,....,,.,..,,..,,...,...,,....,...,


XO gives Iran way too much credit they are going to have to concede or keep getting hit

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754655)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 8:53 AM
Author: Forced Bi Cuckold of Hormuz

these are Muslims. they don’t care about getting hit as long as they’re making the west suffer.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754659)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 8:55 AM
Author: ..,,....,,.,..,,..,,...,...,,....,...,


They're going to care at some point guess it will take longer then

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754665)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 8:55 AM
Author: .,.,.,.,.,...,.,,.,,.....,.,..,.,,...,.,.,,...,.


Yeah, we can keep pounding them with bombs, drones, missiles, etc., but that's not going to cripple the global economy. Iran bombing gulf energy infrastructure, preventing tankers from traversing the strait, etc. will cripple the global economy.

Trump needs this to wrap up by summer, but Iran can keep it going until the US says fuck it and goes home.

Trump has the watch, but Iran has the time.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754662)



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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:57 AM
Author: dupa

Cr. It's a very different task invading, overthrowing, and occupying vs. defending your home. If only we had a recent example of a more powerful country unexpectedly getting bogged down in a many years long war after underestimating the target of their invasion.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754669)



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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:55 AM
Author: Henry Bronco

I’m going to give you a not so secret pro tip. Trump lacks—because he and his team have systematically dismantled it this past year—a credible decision-making apparatus with domain expertise. He has surrounded himself with yes men bros and fearful sycophantic suck offs. That wild eyed sense you and I have that he is making decisions by the seat of his pants based on bad or no information with no critical decision-making process? It’s actually like that. And unfortunately, given his position as commander in chief, that means we can stumble into things like an active escalating foreign conflict.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754666)



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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:58 AM
Author: ..,,....,,.,..,,..,,...,...,,....,...,


You don't know anything

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754670)



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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:58 AM
Author: Henry Bronco

I know this precisely.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754672)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 8:59 AM
Author: ..,,....,,.,..,,..,,...,...,,....,...,


No you don't

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754676)



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Date: March 19th, 2026 9:00 AM
Author: Henry Bronco

Yes, I do. Remember that.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754681)



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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:59 AM
Author: dupa

It does feel like the most impactful decisions are being made by people who do not give a single fuck about the entire country.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754675)



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Date: March 19th, 2026 9:00 AM
Author: Henry Bronco



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754682)



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Date: March 19th, 2026 9:16 AM
Author: .,.,.,.,.,...,.,,.,,.....,.,..,.,,...,.,.,,...,.


Nah, all military engagements are gambles no matter how much you plan, etc. In this case, the gamble was that the combined strikes by the US+Israel would cause the Iranian state to *politically* collapse, that is to say the Iranian leadership would throw in the towel despite not being militarily & materially beaten. But if they don't politically collapse, then you have to defeat them militarily (i.e. beat them so that they can no longer resist or retaliate to the point the political leadership collapses or surrenders).

Trump took a gamble that they could hit them hard and decisively enough that they would politically collapse/give in. That initial gamble didn't work so now there's effectively a boat race where Trump is betting on the US+Israel can degrade the Iranian state faster than Iran can blow up the global economy. Who will win? Time will tell.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754711)



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Date: March 19th, 2026 9:35 AM
Author: Brussels Sprout: Brussels,Helsinki,Stockholm,Kyiv


Hijacking the world economy will involve the troika of Iran, Russia, and China-- say goodbye to western dominance

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754741)



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Date: March 19th, 2026 9:55 AM
Author: dupa

This is such an idiotic post.

How much of our and Israel's resources over the last 50 years have been devoted to gathering intelligence on Iran? The idea that we just didn't have the right info to accurately gauge Iran's political, social and/or military resilience is absolute nonsense. But even assuming you're right, do you think we should start wars with such limited intelligence to have no way of accurately anticipating the fallout?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754795)



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Date: March 19th, 2026 10:19 AM
Author: .,.,.,.,.,...,.,,.,,.....,.,..,.,,...,.,.,,...,.


what specifically is "idiotic" about it?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754870)



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Date: March 19th, 2026 10:24 AM
Author: dupa

see the second paragraph of my post.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754881)



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Date: March 19th, 2026 10:25 AM
Author: :-P (gunneratttt)

dude even with perfect intelligence the outcome is unknown. it's a gamble, like a coin flip. i know there's two sides but i can't say how it'll land. it's really no one's fault and we shouldn't judge too harshly when people take calculated risks. let's all just move on ok, we can chalk it up to fate but its silly to point fingers.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754885)



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Date: March 19th, 2026 10:34 AM
Author: dupa

These things happen.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754913)



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Date: March 19th, 2026 10:47 AM
Author: :-P (gunneratttt)

he's only human. every potus gets us involved in some unpopular conflict in the middle east. hey man, you can't make a cake without breaking some eggs, ya know?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754951)



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Date: March 19th, 2026 10:53 AM
Author: dupa

the fact that he only started 1 middle east war in 2 terms is actually pretty impressive and should be celebrated.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754972)



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Date: March 19th, 2026 10:55 AM
Author: :-P (gunneratttt)

cr. this war is probably gonna end in a week or two. but if something unprecedented happens like this becoming a prolonged quagmire that spills out into the rest of the region, he's still batting above average for a two term potus.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754982)



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Date: March 19th, 2026 9:29 AM
Author: :-P (gunneratttt)

no way its all fake news, all those former officials and staffers who have said exactly this are just butthurt libs

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754732)



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Date: March 19th, 2026 9:07 AM
Author: .....;;,,.........;.;.;.;.,;,;,;.;.;,;


The weird hole in the “Iran will win via an indefinite war of attrition” take is the assumption that Israel did nothing after last summer to prepare for an armed insurrection by the anti-regime resistance on the ground (ie the side that has 80+% popular support) even though it revealed it had deep intel penetration through out the security forces. Basij aren’t getting paid right now and that’s not going to change any time soon. And they aren’t used to/trained to fight against an armed population, let alone an opposition that has any kind of special forces coordination/intel, logistics and air support. It seems very likely that the Basij sustain losses in the 10s or 100s of 1000s before the end of the summer, and mass abandonment/defection decimates their internal security/suppression apparatus. And if that happens the regime is toast.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754693)



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Date: March 19th, 2026 10:21 AM
Author: fatty nigger (✅🍑)

I really hope you're right

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754877)



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Date: March 19th, 2026 3:56 PM
Author: AI_concubine

The problem is there is little organization for an anti-regime insurrection, let alone an armed one. And the internet shut down makes it harder to organize. Mass defection would need to happen

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49756004)



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Date: March 19th, 2026 9:13 AM
Author: ,.,..,.,..,.,.,.,..,.,..,..,.,.,,..,.,,.


the only dominance Iran has is that the US has an absolute buffoon making decisions

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754706)



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Date: March 19th, 2026 10:14 AM
Author: '''''''''''''

Did people really think Iran would just go belly up after a few air strikes? This is the same people that fought Iraq, a technologically and materially superior opponent, for 10 years at enormous cost. They have zero reason whatsoever to give in as they know the Israeli states of America will just come back again later.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754856)



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Date: March 19th, 2026 10:30 AM
Author: TurboGook-16 ((zurich is stained))

"Did people really think Iran would just go belly up after a few air strikes?"

that appears to have been the entirety of our war strategy. pretty ballsy move!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754899)



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Date: March 19th, 2026 10:56 AM
Author: Jared Baumeister

Who thinks Netanyahu is still alive?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754986)



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Date: March 19th, 2026 10:57 AM
Author: tancredi marchiolo

he is 100% alive, chilling in miami

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754988)



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Date: March 19th, 2026 11:31 AM
Author: Jared Baumeister

Anyone?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49755140)



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Date: March 19th, 2026 10:58 AM
Author: KPop Semen Hunter

A lot of retarded analysis ITT. it's blatantly obvious the disastrous launch of the Big Arch forced his hand here.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49754995)



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Date: March 19th, 2026 11:00 AM
Author: Forced Bi Cuckold of Hormuz

https://x.com/quadcarl/status/2034295646606225537?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49755008)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 11:40 AM
Author: Jared Baumeister

Who thinks Netanyahu is still alive?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49755168)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2026 11:45 AM
Author: TurboGook-16 ((zurich is stained))

it's hard to believe he's dead and they're putting out AI videos (and even including mike huckabee in the coverup), but it would be 180 if true.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49755200)



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Date: March 19th, 2026 4:06 PM
Author: gibberish (?)

the US just has to sit and take it.

Does that make sense to you? You don't see any way the US could intervene?



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310752#49756032)