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First wave of exit polls about to be released: IGNORE THEM
Poast new message in this thread
Date: November 5th, 2024 3:11 PM Author: Donald MASE Trump Do not put a ton of stock in NEP, CES or VoteCast Exit Polls. Take them with a grain of salt WHETHER THEY ARE GOOD OR BAD for your candidate.
They are revised MULTIPLE times including after Election Day, and have been wrong more than right in the modern era.
In 2000, Florida was bogusly called for Gore, who thought he was going to win.
He lost.
In 2004, Team Kerry was celebrating certain victory after he got them, showing that he was even going to win Virginia, Florida and Ohio. Tim Russert was BEAMING!
Kerry lost all three, and the election.
2016, Hillary Clinton was ahead in EVERY single battleground state,
She lost ALL of them, plus some others and the election.
In 2020, Biden won, except only four days later. His lead was not nearly as large as Exit Polls suggested.
In 2022, Republicans looked unbeatable in the first and second waves back in 2022.
They underperformed, especially in key states and lost those elections. |
Date: November 5th, 2024 3:12 PM Author: ...,,...,.,..,.,.,.,.,.,., This portends great news...FOR TRUMP! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5626004&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310764#48288054) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 3:13 PM Author: Epistemic Humility This is actually completely correct. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5626004&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310764#48288061) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 3:15 PM Author: Donald MASE Trump Yeah this is not partisan advice, if the exit poll say Trump is getting 75% of the vote I'm still not going to gloat about it because exit polls are bullshit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5626004&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310764#48288074) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 3:16 PM Author: ...,,...,.,..,.,.,.,.,.,., hint: they won't (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5626004&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310764#48288075) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 3:17 PM Author: Donald MASE Trump they probably won't but you're posting in a thread about exit polls being bullshit so i'm not sure why that's a point of pride for u (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5626004&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310764#48288079) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 3:34 PM Author: Misanthropic Provocative Gay Wizard (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5626004&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310764#48288224) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 3:29 PM Author: Epistemic Humility In 90 minutes I am going to be reading the shit out of them, though (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5626004&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310764#48288175) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 3:30 PM Author: Donald MASE Trump me too (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5626004&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310764#48288179) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 3:16 PM Author: ,.,,.,.,,,,,,..................... Exit polls don't predict winners any more do they?
Last ones I recall had a bunch of vague shit like "54% of respondents preferred dogs to cats." |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 5:24 PM Author: Donald MASE Trump REMINDER (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5626004&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310764#48289148) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 5:45 PM Author: Epistemic Humility People are angry and unhappy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5626004&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310764#48289366) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 5:25 PM Author: "'''''"'""'''"'"' It will always be the economy in times like these (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5626004&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310764#48289154) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 5:27 PM Author: biglaw lives matter (retired) hillary threw a champagne bottle at TV (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5626004&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310764#48289182) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 7:17 PM Author: ,.,,.,..,..,..,.,..,.,..,.,..,.,.,.,.,..,. Imagine being more moronic than mase (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5626004&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310764#48290317) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 7:19 PM Author: .,..,..,.,,..,..,,,,,,,,..,...,.,.,., There's no way that 35% of voters thought "Democracy" was the most important issue right? It was ahead of economy and all other issues. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5626004&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310764#48290355) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 7:23 PM Author: Monday Preceding Apocalypse (No Future) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5626004&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310764#48290422) |