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If you assign swing states to who Poly current predicts, Trump gets 285 EV

*291 rn. NV and WI are in play on Poly, the others are ...
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  11/05/24
WI (Harris) has tightened a bit. The others have gotten bett...
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  11/05/24
WI holding for KH. 291 EV holding for DJT.
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  11/05/24
PREDICTION MARKETS REFLECT CONSENSUS THINKING AND RAPIDLY IN...
Epistemic Humility
  11/05/24
Trump at 301
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  11/05/24


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Date: November 5th, 2024 1:58 PM
Author: ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,


*291 rn.

NV and WI are in play on Poly, the others are currently decisive.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625860&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310764#48287394)



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Date: November 5th, 2024 3:23 PM
Author: ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,


WI (Harris) has tightened a bit. The others have gotten better for Trump.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625860&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310764#48288124)



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Date: November 5th, 2024 4:04 PM
Author: ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,


WI holding for KH. 291 EV holding for DJT.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625860&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310764#48288477)



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Date: November 5th, 2024 4:05 PM
Author: Epistemic Humility

PREDICTION MARKETS REFLECT CONSENSUS THINKING AND RAPIDLY INCORPORATE NEW INFORMATION

THEY ARE NOT PREDICTIVE OF ANYTHING

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625860&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310764#48288486)



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Date: November 5th, 2024 5:26 PM
Author: ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,


Trump at 301

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625860&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310764#48289173)