DEMS winning Election Day turnout in Nevada for the first time
| """'""""'' | 11/05/24 | | gibberish (?) | 11/05/24 | | Johnsmeyer | 11/05/24 | | .......................................... | 11/05/24 | | Donald MASE Trump | 11/05/24 | | .......................................... | 11/05/24 | | Donald MASE Trump | 11/05/24 | | ...,,...,.,..,.,.,.,.,.,., | 11/05/24 | | """'""""'' | 11/05/24 | | :;:;;;:;:;;;:;:;:;:; | 11/05/24 | | Florida Surgeon General Joseph A. Ladapo | 11/05/24 | | Many Cocks Spewing Gallons of Cum This Very Second | 11/05/24 | | ....,,....,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.......,.,.,.,.,..,. | 11/05/24 | | Donald MASE Trump | 11/05/24 | | ...,,...,.,..,.,.,.,.,.,., | 11/05/24 | | ....,,....,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.......,.,.,.,.,..,. | 11/05/24 | | Johnsmeyer | 11/05/24 | | trumpslide | 11/05/24 | | Trump: Aborted in the first term | 11/05/24 | | Donald MASE Trump | 11/05/24 | | """'""""'' | 11/05/24 | | richard clock | 11/05/24 | | ....,,....,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.......,.,.,.,.,..,. | 11/05/24 | | ...,,...,.,..,.,.,.,.,.,., | 11/05/24 | | ....,,....,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.......,.,.,.,.,..,. | 11/05/24 | | richard clock | 11/05/24 | | ....,,....,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.......,.,.,.,.,..,. | 11/05/24 | | ,.,,.,.,,,,,,..................... | 11/05/24 | | ....,,....,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.......,.,.,.,.,..,. | 11/05/24 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: November 5th, 2024 11:52 AM Author: Donald MASE Trump
*in Clark County
*without knowing who independents are voting for
*while R's have a 40k EV lead
Tick tock libs :)
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310864",#48286410) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 11:55 AM
Author: ...,,...,.,..,.,.,.,.,.,.,
Just like Trump wins ED...
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310864",#48286427) |
Date: November 5th, 2024 11:56 AM
Author: ....,,....,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.......,.,.,.,.,..,.
If the GOP maintained a lead it would indicate a massacre. Because of EV they have fewer remaining Clark County voters relative to the Dems (unlike past elections), so Dems should win today.
Dems have to overcome a 40k statewide deficit. They will gain from Clark ED and more Clark mail (though last night's mail was super weak), lose from rural ED, and who knows re Washoe. And then there's the issue of the unaffiliateds...
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310864",#48286438) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 11:59 AM
Author: ...,,...,.,..,.,.,.,.,.,.,
He's no Peoples Pundit
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310864",#48286455) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 12:11 PM
Author: ....,,....,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.......,.,.,.,.,..,.
Also the Dem "lead" is 6154 to 6025, or 129 votes, as of 8:30am local. Dems picked up a net of like 2k from last night's mail drop. The EDay trend is going against the GOP but will it reach something meaningful like 10k net for the Dems? Seems unlikely.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310864",#48286546) |
Date: November 5th, 2024 2:42 PM Author: Donald MASE Trump
RUH ROH RIBS?
https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1853884676777410693
🚨 JUST IN: Nevada Republicans have now expanded on their lead WITH mail and Election Day voting
GOP lead: +47,171
🔴 REP: 433,339 (37.8%)
🔵 DEM: 386,168 (33.7%)
⚪️ OTH: 320,389 (28%)
Data:
@birenbomb
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310864",#48287791) |
Date: November 5th, 2024 2:45 PM Author: """'""""''
very clear GOP cannibalized their E-Day vote with early returns.
https://x.com/JohnRSamuelsen/status/1853880795238109423
the last mail ballots to come in will swamp the tiny pink GOP lead
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310864",#48287823) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 3:21 PM
Author: ....,,....,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.......,.,.,.,.,..,.
He's either trying to mislead or doesn't understand data (referring to the Arkansas guy). The Dem lead in Clark has given them a whopping 1.5k net votes over the GOP as of noon, i.e. 5/12 of the day. Let's be optimistic and say it grows to 5k when polls close; that's not doing shit to a 40k statewide lead, which will grow from the total EDay votes.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310864",#48288107) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 3:22 PM
Author: ...,,...,.,..,.,.,.,.,.,.,
Clark still has mail + drop off ballots to count. Those will go heavy D.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310864",#48288115) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 3:28 PM
Author: ....,,....,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.......,.,.,.,.,..,.
There were like 10k Clark mail ballots over the weekend (in sharp contrast to past cycles) which gave the Dems about 2k net. Ralston projected the total returned would be 80k-140k before last night's weak drop, so presumably the remaining mail will be at the low end of that range, if not much less.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310864",#48288170) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 3:26 PM
Author: ....,,....,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.......,.,.,.,.,..,.
Exactly. As of the 10am update in both cycles, the net gain for GOP was 6k in 2020 (while facing a 47k deficit) vs. 4k in 2024 (with a 40k lead). The GOP had around a 16k lead from all EDay voting in 2020 and probably will get to 10k this year. That's not nearly the GOP cannibalization that the Dems need.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310864",#48288156) |
Date: November 5th, 2024 2:47 PM
Author: ,.,,.,.,,,,,,.....................
Betting markets think Trump has NV + AZ. I think they are right.
Dem optimism should be based on their turnout east of the Mississippi - Western Latinos going for Trump seems to give him NV/AZ.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310864",#48287847) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 3:13 PM
Author: ....,,....,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.......,.,.,.,.,..,.
Trump is underpriced in NV. He will gain >10k statewide on EDay to pad his 40k lead. No indications that Dems will have enough mail to overcome.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5625637&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310864",#48288063) |
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