Can any climate change alarmists debunk these two graphs:
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Date: December 22nd, 2024 5:14 PM
Author: ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
Occams Razor: they are fitting the announced temps to match the amount of CO2.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5652983&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310864",#48476220)
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Date: December 22nd, 2024 6:34 PM Author: Emotionally + Physically Abusive Ex-Husband
Conclusion: either you or the Redditor who runs "realclimatescience.com" is unable to read graphs for comprehension:
Your first link is to temp change over *time, and shows something like a 2C increase over 120 years.
Your second link purports to be graphing temperature "adjustments" against CO2 concentration (without any time axis, of course), but doesn't explain what the word "adjustment" means beyond the paren "final minus raw" which doesn't mean anything by itself.
Your third link seems to graph temperature against CO2 concentration (also without a time axis), and shows a positive correlation between the two -- i.e., temperature is higher when CO2 is higher -- which is the fundamental premise of AGW.
Does the realclimatescience redditor also include a graph of CO2 concentrations over the last 120 years?
ISHTH. Anything else I can do to help explain the science?
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5652983&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310864",#48476434) |
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Date: December 22nd, 2024 7:45 PM Author: "'''''"'""'''"'"'
"Your first link is to temp change over *time, and shows something like a 2C increase over 120 years."
It's not "temp change," it's simply the final (adjusted) data minus the raw, which shows the magnitude of adjustment. So your statement about showing a 2C increase over 120 years seems irrelevant, other than to show that they've generally gone from adjusting the temp down to adjusting it up.
"Your second link purports to be graphing temperature "adjustments" against CO2 concentration (without any time axis, of course), but doesn't explain what the word "adjustment" means beyond the paren "final minus raw" which doesn't mean anything by itself."
Ok at this point I'm assuming I didn't explain what the graphs purport to show well enough. It is not in dispute that NOAA adjusts the raw USHCN data, and they've done it multiple times, which makes sense because of more accurate measurement and statistical methods using new data as it comes. But for a given station's location, there will be a raw temp avg number, and the final (adjusted) number. The final number minus the raw shows the magnitude of the adjustment. Time is irrelevant here (unless you can explain why it is) because it is simply showing that two things have an almost 1:1 correlation, when scientifically and statistically, that should be almost impossible.
"Your third link seems to graph temperature against CO2 concentration (also without a time axis), and shows a positive correlation between the two -- i.e., temperature is higher when CO2 is higher -- which is the fundamental premise of AGW."
I'm not a statistician, but I'm pretty sure a correlation of .023 is either extremely weak or insignificant. But the significance of this graph is that even though you would expect significant adjustments to older data, you wouldn't expect raw or adjusted temperature data to have a weaker correlation to atmospheric CO2 than the magnitude of adjustments. The implication, obviously, is that the adjustments are made to create the correlation.
But again, I haven't dug into the datasets these graphs come from, and I'm not a scientist or statistician
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5652983&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310864",#48476665) |
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Date: December 24th, 2024 10:42 PM Author: "'''''"'""'''"'"'
Yes, CO2 has a cycle throughout the year, but would steadily increase over time. The problem is that the graph shows adjustments made in the first nine months of 2020. The adjustments are made to both historical and recent USHCN station temp data. It wouldn't be surprising if older station data got adjusted more on average, based on the equipment and procedures at that time. So, yes the older data adjustments would correspond to lower CO2 levels, and more recent would correspond to higher. But an almost 1:1 correlation would mean all the various reasons for adjusting the historical raw numbers up or down(time of day temps are reset, resiting of certain stations, urban heat effect) pretty much all somehow go in the direction that aligns with global warming theory. And keep in mind that not only does every raw temp reading have a margin of error, but every adjustment has a margin of error. There's no way the adjustments would so perfectly match CO2 level, unless the CO2 level was the guiding factor
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5652983&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310864",#48483778) |
Date: December 22nd, 2024 9:27 PM Author: "'''''"'""'''"'"'
Bump.
EPaH gave the only real effort and it was disappointing. The problem with climate science is the amount of unknowns, and the fact that it span multiple fields of science like physics, chemistry, biology and statistics. I'm a skeptic, so I'm not fully convinced it's a hoax, but there are many respected scientists who acknowledge that the data and studies used in climate science would be ridiculed in the hard sciences.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5652983&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310864",#48476966) |
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