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Two studies show AI benchmarks vastly overstate AI abilities
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Date: March 16th, 2026 6:08 PM Author: frum impertinent really tough guy No doubt AI is groundbreaking. But maybe a little grounding is in order.
Carnegie Mellon study. AI benchmarks so narrowly defined that they only represent 7.6% of all occupational tasks. Benchmarks are disconnected from high-value labor tasks. https://x.com/rohanpaul_ai/status/2033450821850222811?s=46
Alibaba study. Tested code over course of 8 months. Vast majority broke down over time despite initially passing quality. |
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Date: March 16th, 2026 11:23 PM Author: Crawly Becky Station Surely it will stay this way. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5846529&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310880#49749985) |
Date: March 16th, 2026 6:11 PM Author: Cobalt newt ladyboy AI is going to be regarded as a joke pretty soon.
It basically has the same value as Excel |
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Date: March 16th, 2026 11:17 PM Author: frum impertinent really tough guy when do you think that moment will come? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5846529&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310880#49749968) |
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Date: March 16th, 2026 11:20 PM Author: stirring affirmative action lodge A joke that spit out the results of a legal research test I gave it in 30 seconds that was much better than anything I'd get from a junior associate after days of research. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5846529&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310880#49749973) |
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Date: March 16th, 2026 11:26 PM Author: frum impertinent really tough guy what were you using? I use protege from LexisNexis. Sometimes it's very solid and other times not so much. I wouldn't say it's anywhere near as game changing as AI has been for programmers. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5846529&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310880#49749989) |
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Date: March 16th, 2026 11:30 PM Author: stirring affirmative action lodge Latest pay version ChatGPT, forget what it's called. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5846529&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310880#49749997) |
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Date: March 16th, 2026 11:36 PM Author: exhilarant hospital french chef Lmao if you’re using that Lexi’s or westlaw built in AI bullshit. ChatGPT can dominate that (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5846529&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310880#49750004) |
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Date: March 17th, 2026 10:57 AM Author: white vengeful milk (Liberal) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5846529&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310880#49750662) |
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Date: March 17th, 2026 12:29 AM Author: lascivious piazza fat ankles This just isn't true, though. You'd fire an associate that gave you the equivalent of a hallucination on 2 occasions (assuming one prior discovery and warning). If the circumstances were unlucky for the associate, you might fire without warning. Whatever's going on with this -- it was asserted to me in 2024 or so that this was a trivially easy thing to fix, and that is obviously just not the case -- yes it gets blown out of proportion sometimes ("haha AI is useless/worthless"), but it is a huge deal practically.
Hallucinations aside, you sometimes just get point-missing or wrong analyses. This is something you also sometimes see from flesh-and-blood associates (particularly summer associates, which I no-joke stopped hiring because of AI), but it's not good.
The reality is that AI is currently a very real current competitor of SAs on legal issues. The integration isn't there for facts yet, and it doesn't compete with midlevels even on pure-law yet. Now who knows what the future holds.... |
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Date: March 17th, 2026 10:25 AM Author: stirring affirmative action lodge A lawyer certainly shouldn't use AI as the final draft in an area of the law he doesn't know about, and of course you should double-check its work. It can be hit and miss. But the hits are a lot more common than the misses after the ChatGPT paid version release last month. In my research, it actually said at times "I know this isn't exactly the kind of case you were looking for, but ..." and didn't hallucinate at all.
The work product it gave me was simply way too good to not at least allow it to try to take a crack at any legal project within its areas of competence. What do you have to lose? It's freaking 20 bucks a month and spits out great work in 30 seconds. |
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Date: March 17th, 2026 11:57 AM Author: lascivious piazza fat ankles Yeah I obviously use it daily; it's an invaluable tool. We're talking about the incredibly high bar of meaningful labor replacement.
On that front, I have way, way more doubts about integration than I do about raw intelligence. Why the fuck will it not take my site logins and do database scrapes? |
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Date: March 17th, 2026 10:30 AM Author: magenta sneaky criminal national "and it doesn't compete with midlevels even on pure-law yet."
Two years ago it couldn't compete with a reasonably smart college student with access to a library. Four years ago it was dumber than sealclubber. |
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Date: March 17th, 2026 11:54 AM Author: lascivious piazza fat ankles Tamagotchis from 1997 were smarter than sealclubber. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5846529&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310880#49750863) |
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Date: March 17th, 2026 10:27 AM Author: emerald tantric preventive strike casino (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5846529&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310880#49750581) |
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Date: March 16th, 2026 11:21 PM Author: racy shimmering locale regret all the models are trained to game the benchmark tests
they're completely meaningless |
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Date: March 16th, 2026 11:38 PM Author: adventurous erotic plaza wrinkle i asked AI to build a mobile app and it did. that's pretty incredible imo. when it made mistakes it fixed them on its own. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5846529&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310880#49750013) |
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Date: March 17th, 2026 12:23 AM Author: self-centered whorehouse One of the major reasons why labs are prioritizing coding/swe (in addition to being a relatively easy revenue source) is that they intend to use the models for AI research. Deep learning is almost entirely an empirical field with a thin amount of theoretical justification for architecture and training regimes, so the ability to rapidly test new systems is essential. If SWE agents can provide plausible architecture ideas and implement them (or test out a variety of ideas specified by human programmers), the model iteration loop becomes much faster. Not to mention the total training compute deployment in a few years will be orders of magnitude what it is currently, which will decrease large scale training run time substantially. The point isn’t that the models are getting substantially better on all tasks currently. it’s that they improving extremely rapidly on the tasks needed for model self improvement. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5846529&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310880#49750077) |
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Date: March 17th, 2026 10:45 AM Author: racy shimmering locale regret There's also another reason why they focus on coding ability no bonus points for guessing that one too (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5846529&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310880#49750623) |
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Date: March 17th, 2026 10:48 AM Author: magenta sneaky criminal national A secret international cabal trying to make one of the few remaining things the US is legitimately better at than the rest of the world useless? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5846529&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310880#49750630) |
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Date: March 17th, 2026 11:01 AM Author: racy shimmering locale regret Because it's a digital language machine that has no memory of its past actions and no world-modeling capabilities and there are only so many things that this kind of "machine" can do. Coding is one of the only monetizable tasks in this category (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5846529&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310880#49750682) |
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Date: March 17th, 2026 10:56 AM Author: white vengeful milk Bc they are Engineers and just see everything as Engineering. When you’ve got a hammer, the world looks like nails. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5846529&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310880#49750656) |