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"Statistics" in social science is retarded

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Amber pit
  05/13/16
It'c cause they don't use real statistics. They just play wi...
vivacious gas station
  05/13/16
...
Amber pit
  05/13/16
multiple regressions explain everything. just put all the sh...
garnet bawdyhouse
  05/13/16
statistical methods are useful but they don't make social sc...
cowardly state hairy legs
  05/14/16
...
Disturbing stage
  05/14/16
Wtf is a "shadow" variable
Aphrodisiac Insane Halford Fanboi
  05/14/16
i think i just made that up, hoped nobody would notice. it s...
garnet bawdyhouse
  05/14/16
Was excited to learn about a new advancement in lib stats
Aphrodisiac Insane Halford Fanboi
  05/14/16
Physics says half the variables are shadow variables.
misunderstood boyish reading party private investor
  05/14/16
precisely! those damned shadow variables, confusing us, elud...
garnet bawdyhouse
  05/14/16
If anything, statistical analysis in the social sciences is ...
High-end onyx main people trump supporter
  05/14/16
controlling for variables is for physics faggots. in social ...
garnet bawdyhouse
  05/14/16
...
Genius Theologian
  01/21/26
That work is analytically ‘rigorous’ does not mean that it i...
adventurous claret new version orchestra pit
  05/14/16
Interesting idea though I don't think I share your fetish fo...
Amber pit
  05/14/16
this is correct, i think. not sure when i realized this, but...
garnet bawdyhouse
  05/14/16
The problem is not so much their failure to predict. An econ...
adventurous claret new version orchestra pit
  05/14/16
my sense is that even beyond the regression fetish, social s...
garnet bawdyhouse
  05/14/16
I don’t think it’s all useless. The most obvious examples ar...
adventurous claret new version orchestra pit
  05/14/16
yes, social sciences can be good frameworks to make sense of...
garnet bawdyhouse
  05/14/16
Yeah, this, exactly. 100%.
olive hospital
  05/14/16
Dude, fuck variables.
Sinister Mildly Autistic Base
  05/14/16
White people use more drugs but blacks get arrested more for...
honey-headed cracking kitchen juggernaut
  05/14/16
100% of black bodies matter. that's important
Pale odious volcanic crater
  05/14/16
...
Amber pit
  05/14/16
social "scientists" can't even replicate their wor...
sticky chapel party of the first part
  05/14/16
all social science is flame. thats one of my pet peeves. but...
garnet bawdyhouse
  05/14/16
...
America's Next Top Shabbos Goy
  01/21/26


Poast new message in this thread



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Date: May 13th, 2016 8:56 PM
Author: Amber pit



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3222887&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310909#30473905)



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Date: May 13th, 2016 8:57 PM
Author: vivacious gas station

It'c cause they don't use real statistics. They just play with numbers until their Marxist ideology is supported.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3222887&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310909#30473911)



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Date: May 13th, 2016 8:58 PM
Author: Amber pit



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3222887&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310909#30473927)



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Date: May 13th, 2016 9:00 PM
Author: garnet bawdyhouse

multiple regressions explain everything. just put all the shadow variables in and you are good to go!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3222887&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310909#30473951)



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Date: May 14th, 2016 6:50 AM
Author: cowardly state hairy legs

statistical methods are useful but they don't make social science rigorous when the theory is so SPS.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3222887&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310909#30476095)



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Date: May 14th, 2016 7:25 AM
Author: Disturbing stage



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3222887&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310909#30476152)



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Date: May 14th, 2016 7:11 AM
Author: Aphrodisiac Insane Halford Fanboi

Wtf is a "shadow" variable

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3222887&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310909#30476138)



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Date: May 14th, 2016 7:15 AM
Author: garnet bawdyhouse

i think i just made that up, hoped nobody would notice. it sounded fancy though, didnt it?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3222887&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310909#30476144)



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Date: May 14th, 2016 4:46 PM
Author: Aphrodisiac Insane Halford Fanboi

Was excited to learn about a new advancement in lib stats

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3222887&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310909#30478994)



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Date: May 14th, 2016 7:21 AM
Author: misunderstood boyish reading party private investor

Physics says half the variables are shadow variables.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3222887&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310909#30476149)



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Date: May 14th, 2016 7:33 AM
Author: garnet bawdyhouse

precisely! those damned shadow variables, confusing us, eluding the truth from our eyes.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3222887&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310909#30476155)



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Date: May 14th, 2016 7:26 AM
Author: High-end onyx main people trump supporter

If anything, statistical analysis in the social sciences is far more rigorous than any other subject. It's not like analyzing data in a faggy subject like "physics" in which you can set up some simple experiment in a lab and can control all the variables.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3222887&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310909#30476153)



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Date: May 14th, 2016 7:35 AM
Author: garnet bawdyhouse

controlling for variables is for physics faggots. in social science is where the hardest work gets done. bending the impossible to fit the model isnt easy work. you also got shadow variables to contend with. social science is where all the smartest men go to find their intellectual challenge.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3222887&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310909#30476156)



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Date: January 21st, 2026 9:58 PM
Author: Genius Theologian



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3222887&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310909#49607733)



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Date: May 14th, 2016 8:17 AM
Author: adventurous claret new version orchestra pit

That work is analytically ‘rigorous’ does not mean that it is good or worthwhile. The non-analytical social sciences are of course contaminated by a good amount of ideological drivel, but much of the analytical work done in these fields is itself hollow and meaningless.

Social scientists became obsessed with demonstrating their work to be rigorous and ‘scientific’ to a point at which they arguably became more concerned with method than with good thought and scholarship itself, or, perhaps more precisely, to a point at which they equated analytical rigor with good scholarship.

Until the mid-20th century or so theory informed and motivated method across the social sciences. Analytical utilitarianism of the sort done by the old Chicago school is seen by many as shallow, but there is at least a coherent and defensible philosophy behind it for those who take the time to understand it. But physics envy and insecurity regarding the rigor of their work drove social scientists to fetishize empiricism and positivism for their own sake.

Method is now the standard by which work is judged to some extent rather than a tool by which to develop theory. There are very few material unifying theories motivating thought in the social sciences today because nobody thinks it worthwhile to think broadly and ‘philosophically’ (broadly speaking) about society. Little of the analytical work done today is driven by incisive and substantive theories of society. It is enough for them to build a clever regression to win the respect of their peers.

The vast majority of the social sciences have thus been split between liberal ideologues writing Slate articles in slightly fancier language and applied statisticians who are better at playing with their models than they are thinking seriously about the world. Where scholars were once concerned with developing coherent and insightful social theories there is now a void.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3222887&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310909#30476203)



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Date: May 14th, 2016 9:54 AM
Author: Amber pit

Interesting idea though I don't think I share your fetish for social "theory". It all seems like speculation, even when "informed" by empirical methods. The problem is you can use these methods to support whatever theory you like

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3222887&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310909#30476415)



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Date: May 14th, 2016 4:44 PM
Author: garnet bawdyhouse

this is correct, i think. not sure when i realized this, but probably around the time when i realized no matter how clever they get at their regression models, those models fail to predict anything of substance.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3222887&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310909#30478985)



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Date: May 14th, 2016 5:31 PM
Author: adventurous claret new version orchestra pit

The problem is not so much their failure to predict. An economic model, for example, might be informative in helping to explain how different economic phenomena relate to each other, but it can demonstrate such relationships only by holding all else equal. This is indeed precisely why they can demonstrate such relationships, but also why they are not always of great help when used to predict – there are always more variables at play in reality than in the model. We can’t hope to model the economy in its entirety, and therefore can’t hope to predict everything with certainty, but models can be informative regardless.

The greatest problem with modern empiricism is that the empirics are often not used to make an argument, so to speak, nor to prove or disprove a theory. Empirics can be constructive when used to confirm or deny a hypothesis. “Analytical” work in the social sciences should be in the practice of developing ideas as to how various aspects of society function, developing models by which to test them, and evaluating the results. Instead, a significant amount of statistical work in these fields simply deals in regression-running. The researcher finds a data set, thinks about what variables might be related, and runs some clever regressions to look for evidence of causality. If he finds some, he has a paper.

And in his paper he’ll throw into his conclusion some ideas as to why the observed relationship might exist. But by providing explanations and theories as to why society might function in a certain way *after* observing the evidence, rather than before, he makes it very easy for himself to push his pet beliefs. Such analytical work doesn’t put his ideas to the test, as would be the case if he developed his theory beforehand and then constructed ways to test his ideas specifically. Instead, he simply fishes for analytical relationships with whatever datasets he can get his hands on and rationalizes the results with his prior beliefs without subjecting those beliefs to critical analysis (or without even trying to develop meaningful theories of society in the first place, as with the lazier researchers).

This is the sense in which empirical methods can be used to support most any ideology or theory, as MIG suggested above. Regressions are run, and the results, when convenient, are rationalized to conform to the researcher’s priors. This is not ‘rigorous’ scholarship, however ‘analytical’ it might be.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3222887&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310909#30479219)



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Date: May 14th, 2016 5:42 PM
Author: garnet bawdyhouse

my sense is that even beyond the regression fetish, social sciences are doomed from the start. seems like you respect at least that in theory there is understanding to be had about the world of human action. ive come to believe its all bunk, beginning with hegel and freud.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3222887&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310909#30479279)



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Date: May 14th, 2016 6:02 PM
Author: adventurous claret new version orchestra pit

I don’t think it’s all useless. The most obvious examples are in basic economics, where relationships are more concrete and verifiable than they are in the softer social sciences, but where they are not abstract to the point of becoming meaningless. The relationship between supply, demand, and price is at some level common sense, but is in itself a theory, yet one which can be tested, and one which proves true in practice. Once your models of society begin to rely on highly advanced mathematics, your models are perhaps less likely to be accurately representative of society – or, even if they are, less likely to be conveniently testable. But there are opportunities to discover truths nonetheless.

And even where theories are less concrete, I think, scholarship can be of value. Locke’s work on property is quite valuable in a modern setting. There is no absolute and verifiable ‘truth’ to be discovered through his work, perhaps, but philosophical frameworks through which to understand society are valuable regardless – often vital.

I worry that, between liberal ideologues and applied statisticians, not enough attention is given to this latter point today in the social sciences.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3222887&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310909#30479438)



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Date: May 14th, 2016 6:05 PM
Author: garnet bawdyhouse

yes, social sciences can be good frameworks to make sense of things at a broad level. some theories, like demand and supply effect on prices can be very illuminating in the abstract, i agree. but when they try to quantify every little thing, i mean come on.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3222887&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310909#30479461)



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Date: May 14th, 2016 5:48 PM
Author: olive hospital

Yeah, this, exactly.

100%.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3222887&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310909#30479326)



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Date: May 14th, 2016 6:04 PM
Author: Sinister Mildly Autistic Base

Dude, fuck variables.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3222887&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310909#30479455)



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Date: May 14th, 2016 8:28 AM
Author: honey-headed cracking kitchen juggernaut

White people use more drugs but blacks get arrested more for drugs therfore cops racist.

How the fuck is that not perfectly rigorous and undeniably clear?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3222887&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310909#30476223)



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Date: May 14th, 2016 8:29 AM
Author: Pale odious volcanic crater

100% of black bodies matter. that's important

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3222887&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310909#30476224)



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Date: May 14th, 2016 9:54 AM
Author: Amber pit



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3222887&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310909#30476417)



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Date: May 14th, 2016 4:50 PM
Author: sticky chapel party of the first part

social "scientists" can't even replicate their work. look up the replication crisis in psychology, which turned out to be merely the beginning.

it's not that they have made shit up, exactly, but social science "experiments" often rely on "effects" which are inferred from fairly thin evidence, and thus become more like some researcher's just-so pet theory rather than a rigorous inquiry into reality.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3222887&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310909#30479017)



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Date: May 14th, 2016 5:25 PM
Author: garnet bawdyhouse

all social science is flame. thats one of my pet peeves. but if all flame was exposed, what would all these smart high iq people do for a living? i guess in a meaningless cartoon world, we can find space for fake social science. but i just dont want these people thinking they are discovering the atom, is that too much to ask? just be humble.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3222887&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310909#30479200)



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Date: January 21st, 2026 4:07 PM
Author: America's Next Top Shabbos Goy



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3222887&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310909#49606810)