\
  The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
BackRefresh Options Favorite

A Trump win margin of 0-1% in the national popular vote = 97% prob of victory

https://x.com/NateSilver538/status/1807080583941570823 Tr...
Vermilion point background story
  10/26/24
A former president is running against a zero popularity 90 i...
scarlet party of the first part ape
  10/26/24
You’re assuming there will be future elections.
fear-inspiring bat-shit-crazy useless brakes temple
  10/26/24
...
beady-eyed church preventive strike
  10/26/24
...
Vermilion point background story
  10/26/24
Nate silver has the nationals at 1.2% lead for Kamala. So 63...
fear-inspiring bat-shit-crazy useless brakes temple
  10/26/24
Now 0.4% for Trump
Vermilion point background story
  10/29/24
That’s in imagination land where everyone votes. These...
beady-eyed church preventive strike
  10/29/24
...
.....,,,,,...,,,,,..,.,,,,,.,,.
  11/08/24
you know, this board gives Nate Silver a ton of shit, but he...
we are definitely claiming fraud trumpmos
  11/08/24
His last update before the election was a bullshit hedge tha...
.....,,,,,...,,,,,..,.,,,,,.,,.
  11/08/24
they all do that at the end because they get nervous, but hi...
we are definitely claiming fraud trumpmos
  11/08/24


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: October 26th, 2024 9:36 PM
Author: Vermilion point background story

https://x.com/NateSilver538/status/1807080583941570823

Trump is winning the national polls by 0.1% according to RCP

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618812&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310910",#48244771)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 26th, 2024 9:39 PM
Author: scarlet party of the first part ape

A former president is running against a zero popularity 90 iq brown hooker and is still maybe just barely winning

If globohomo lets the orange retard win and he doesn’t deport 50 million illegals, we will have a permanent one party democrat state moving forward

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618812&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310910",#48244777)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 26th, 2024 10:33 PM
Author: fear-inspiring bat-shit-crazy useless brakes temple

You’re assuming there will be future elections.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618812&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310910",#48244916)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 26th, 2024 9:40 PM
Author: beady-eyed church preventive strike



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618812&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310910",#48244782)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 26th, 2024 9:57 PM
Author: Vermilion point background story



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618812&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310910",#48244831)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 26th, 2024 10:30 PM
Author: fear-inspiring bat-shit-crazy useless brakes temple

Nate silver has the nationals at 1.2% lead for Kamala. So 63% odds for Trump if that’s true. 85% if RCP is right.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618812&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310910",#48244909)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 29th, 2024 7:30 PM
Author: Vermilion point background story

Now 0.4% for Trump

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618812&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310910",#48255799)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 29th, 2024 7:57 PM
Author: beady-eyed church preventive strike

That’s in imagination land where everyone votes. These morons can’t estimate turnout relative of each cohort. irl the Scumfuckers have to get out and vote and the Suburban Women need to stay home.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618812&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310910",#48255970)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 8th, 2024 12:41 PM
Author: .....,,,,,...,,,,,..,.,,,,,.,,.




(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618812&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310910",#48310860)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 8th, 2024 12:42 PM
Author: we are definitely claiming fraud trumpmos

you know, this board gives Nate Silver a ton of shit, but he was pretty good with his predictions this cycle.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618812&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310910",#48310865)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 8th, 2024 12:50 PM
Author: .....,,,,,...,,,,,..,.,,,,,.,,.


His last update before the election was a bullshit hedge that gave Kamala a slight edge.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618812&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310910",#48310918)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 8th, 2024 12:51 PM
Author: we are definitely claiming fraud trumpmos

they all do that at the end because they get nervous, but his actual predictions prior were accurate.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618812&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310910",#48310925)