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The Strait of Hormuz is already open again?

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Hideous claret bawdyhouse round eye
  03/09/26
nothing near it on the online ship tracking sites
Razzle-dazzle Khaki Indirect Expression Heaven
  03/09/26
they're turning off their transponders while traversing the ...
olive lay
  03/09/26
the strait is only like 500 yards wide. they can just stick...
french spot
  03/09/26
How much damage do you think an RPG can do to a ship the siz...
olive lay
  03/09/26
rpgs can tear right through double 1" hulls dawg
french spot
  03/09/26
cr. though i suspect they'd be aiming at the superstructure ...
Razzle-dazzle Khaki Indirect Expression Heaven
  03/10/26
The outer no problem but shaped charges can't do shit about ...
olive lay
  03/10/26
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/305890348_SPH-FEM_s...
Razzle-dazzle Khaki Indirect Expression Heaven
  03/10/26
Interesting abstract, but without the details about the simu...
olive lay
  03/10/26
Captain TDNW to First Mate: "The attack only pierced ou...
Frozen dashing orchestra pit
  03/10/26
Friend in Dubai rented a jet ski and rode around in it all d...
pungent razzle liquid oxygen
  03/09/26
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Galvanic patrolman
  03/09/26
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spectacular psychic state
  03/09/26
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Histrionic Chest-beating Kitty Cat
  03/10/26
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Aquamarine adventurous house
  03/10/26
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Hideous claret bawdyhouse round eye
  03/09/26
Iran says that any Arab or European country that expels the ...
geriatric dun stead incel
  03/09/26
Lol at that replies in that tweet. but but - international m...
spectacular psychic state
  03/10/26
chink and indian tankers apparently were tranversing it with...
violent station
  03/10/26
"closing" the straight is a meme
pale unhinged puppy
  03/10/26
It never closed, the lugenpresse made that up
Exciting mentally impaired national
  03/10/26


Poast new message in this thread



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Date: March 9th, 2026 3:19 PM
Author: Hideous claret bawdyhouse round eye



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5843545&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310915#49729287)



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Date: March 9th, 2026 3:21 PM
Author: Razzle-dazzle Khaki Indirect Expression Heaven

nothing near it on the online ship tracking sites



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5843545&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310915#49729294)



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Date: March 9th, 2026 3:24 PM
Author: olive lay

they're turning off their transponders while traversing the strait - you can see them pop up on the other side after.

The Iranians can't really do much about it at this point, their ability to track ships is down to zero - any radar that emits is going to eat a HARM or a JDAM now. They could try to park some howitzers by the shore and lob shells out, but I would bet the area is saturated with US reapers by now. In the worst case, we also have Burkes in the region that were basically designed for this task.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5843545&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310915#49729301)



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Date: March 9th, 2026 7:42 PM
Author: french spot

the strait is only like 500 yards wide. they can just stick guys with rpgs on the beach

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5843545&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310915#49730383)



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Date: March 9th, 2026 9:31 PM
Author: olive lay

How much damage do you think an RPG can do to a ship the size of a skyscraper? Modern supertankers have double 1" thick hulls. I'm also not 100% sure of the US force composition in the region but I wouldn't be surprised to see some Marine Corps vipers on patrol if surveillance suggests this possibility.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5843545&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310915#49730707)



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Date: March 9th, 2026 11:49 PM
Author: french spot

rpgs can tear right through double 1" hulls dawg

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5843545&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310915#49731060)



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Date: March 10th, 2026 12:09 AM
Author: Razzle-dazzle Khaki Indirect Expression Heaven

cr. though i suspect they'd be aiming at the superstructure anyway. in any case i can't imagine any responsible carrier would follow trump's advice and yolo it.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5843545&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310915#49731082)



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Date: March 10th, 2026 5:15 AM
Author: olive lay

The outer no problem but shaped charges can't do shit about double hulls. That's what makes cope cages/slat armor so effective because the explosively formed penetrator deteriorates rapidly in the air gap.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5843545&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310915#49731228)



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Date: March 10th, 2026 12:09 PM
Author: Razzle-dazzle Khaki Indirect Expression Heaven

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/305890348_SPH-FEM_simulation_of_shaped-charge_jet_penetration_into_double_hull_A_comparison_study_for_steel_and_SPS

also keep in mind that tank armour can be multiple feet of specially designed materials, compared to like 3cm of soft steel on an oil tanker.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5843545&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310915#49731685)



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Date: March 10th, 2026 2:39 PM
Author: olive lay

Interesting abstract, but without the details about the simulated warhead and material properties of the steel in the hull it doesn't tell us much. I'll go ahead and concede my priors were wrong and that a 15+15mm double hull probably isn't stopping an RPG-7 HEAT projectile.

The RPG has a reported effective range from 300 to 600 meters to penetrate armor - let's be generous and say 1 km for an unarmored supertanker. The strait is actually 39 km at its narrowest, well outside the range of a man-portable rocket launcher.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5843545&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310915#49732173)



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Date: March 10th, 2026 12:24 PM
Author: Frozen dashing orchestra pit

Captain TDNW to First Mate: "The attack only pierced our outer hull. Continue at full speed to China, but call ahead and tell them we'll be a few hours behind schedule."

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5843545&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310915#49731749)



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Date: March 9th, 2026 3:28 PM
Author: pungent razzle liquid oxygen

Friend in Dubai rented a jet ski and rode around in it all day didn't see any missiles or sea mines

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5843545&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310915#49729318)



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Date: March 9th, 2026 10:39 PM
Author: Galvanic patrolman



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5843545&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310915#49730914)



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Date: March 9th, 2026 11:50 PM
Author: spectacular psychic state



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5843545&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310915#49731063)



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Date: March 10th, 2026 12:30 AM
Author: Histrionic Chest-beating Kitty Cat



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5843545&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310915#49731110)



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Date: March 10th, 2026 12:09 PM
Author: Aquamarine adventurous house



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5843545&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310915#49731688)



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Date: March 9th, 2026 7:39 PM
Author: Hideous claret bawdyhouse round eye



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5843545&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310915#49730373)



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Date: March 9th, 2026 11:59 PM
Author: geriatric dun stead incel

Iran says that any Arab or European country that expels the ambassadors of Israel and the United States from its territory will, starting tomorrow, have full authority and freedom to pass through the Strait of Hormuz.

https://x.com/New_tres/status/2031158515826569429?s=20

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5843545&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310915#49731070)



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Date: March 10th, 2026 12:01 AM
Author: spectacular psychic state

Lol at that replies in that tweet. but but - international maritime law!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5843545&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310915#49731071)



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Date: March 10th, 2026 12:32 AM
Author: violent station

chink and indian tankers apparently were tranversing it with their transponder turned off, a ship with 1m barrels did this and turned it back on near mumbai

but birdshit tankers and jew ones no way

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5843545&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310915#49731113)



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Date: March 10th, 2026 7:28 AM
Author: pale unhinged puppy

"closing" the straight is a meme

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5843545&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310915#49731318)



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Date: March 10th, 2026 2:45 PM
Author: Exciting mentally impaired national

It never closed, the lugenpresse made that up

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5843545&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310915#49732197)