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A Trump win margin of 0-1% in the national popular vote = 97% prob of victory

https://x.com/NateSilver538/status/1807080583941570823 Tr...
Milky twinkling uncleanness market
  10/26/24
A former president is running against a zero popularity 90 i...
passionate smoky location digit ratio
  10/26/24
You’re assuming there will be future elections.
Ruby Rigpig
  10/26/24
...
medicated burgundy degenerate station
  10/26/24
...
Milky twinkling uncleanness market
  10/26/24
Nate silver has the nationals at 1.2% lead for Kamala. So 63...
Ruby Rigpig
  10/26/24
Now 0.4% for Trump
Milky twinkling uncleanness market
  10/29/24
That’s in imagination land where everyone votes. These...
medicated burgundy degenerate station
  10/29/24
...
.....,,,,,...,,,,,..,.,,,,,.,,.
  11/08/24
you know, this board gives Nate Silver a ton of shit, but he...
we are definitely claiming fraud trumpmos
  11/08/24
His last update before the election was a bullshit hedge tha...
.....,,,,,...,,,,,..,.,,,,,.,,.
  11/08/24
they all do that at the end because they get nervous, but hi...
we are definitely claiming fraud trumpmos
  11/08/24


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Date: October 26th, 2024 9:36 PM
Author: Milky twinkling uncleanness market

https://x.com/NateSilver538/status/1807080583941570823

Trump is winning the national polls by 0.1% according to RCP

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618812&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310919",#48244771)



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Date: October 26th, 2024 9:39 PM
Author: passionate smoky location digit ratio

A former president is running against a zero popularity 90 iq brown hooker and is still maybe just barely winning

If globohomo lets the orange retard win and he doesn’t deport 50 million illegals, we will have a permanent one party democrat state moving forward

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618812&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310919",#48244777)



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Date: October 26th, 2024 10:33 PM
Author: Ruby Rigpig

You’re assuming there will be future elections.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618812&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310919",#48244916)



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Date: October 26th, 2024 9:40 PM
Author: medicated burgundy degenerate station



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618812&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310919",#48244782)



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Date: October 26th, 2024 9:57 PM
Author: Milky twinkling uncleanness market



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618812&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310919",#48244831)



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Date: October 26th, 2024 10:30 PM
Author: Ruby Rigpig

Nate silver has the nationals at 1.2% lead for Kamala. So 63% odds for Trump if that’s true. 85% if RCP is right.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618812&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310919",#48244909)



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Date: October 29th, 2024 7:30 PM
Author: Milky twinkling uncleanness market

Now 0.4% for Trump

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618812&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310919",#48255799)



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Date: October 29th, 2024 7:57 PM
Author: medicated burgundy degenerate station

That’s in imagination land where everyone votes. These morons can’t estimate turnout relative of each cohort. irl the Scumfuckers have to get out and vote and the Suburban Women need to stay home.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618812&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310919",#48255970)



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Date: November 8th, 2024 12:41 PM
Author: .....,,,,,...,,,,,..,.,,,,,.,,.




(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618812&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310919",#48310860)



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Date: November 8th, 2024 12:42 PM
Author: we are definitely claiming fraud trumpmos

you know, this board gives Nate Silver a ton of shit, but he was pretty good with his predictions this cycle.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618812&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310919",#48310865)



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Date: November 8th, 2024 12:50 PM
Author: .....,,,,,...,,,,,..,.,,,,,.,,.


His last update before the election was a bullshit hedge that gave Kamala a slight edge.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618812&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310919",#48310918)



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Date: November 8th, 2024 12:51 PM
Author: we are definitely claiming fraud trumpmos

they all do that at the end because they get nervous, but his actual predictions prior were accurate.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618812&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310919",#48310925)