If Trump wins comfortably then 90% of cons were gaslit and MASE was right
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Date: September 30th, 2024 10:05 PM Author: cracking disrespectful stage internal respiration
it is very easy to believe mase is correct.
it is very easy to believe he is not.
for the sake of the country, assuming you wish it the best, any win by trump will suffice. it doesn't need to be a blowout or a squeaker, just a win.
libs have shit for brains. america has many libs.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310919",#48148251) |
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Date: September 30th, 2024 10:09 PM Author: Startling kitchen useless brakes
I think most cons fears that he is not is simply that: fears, mostly unfounded, although the inclination is understandable after what happened last time.
You have to be intentionally blind or not looking for proof that he is winning by a lot. It was close last time - 10k votes in WI, 80k in PA. This time he will win comfortably.
I encourage you to come up with a mental model for how this election will go based on available data. It is hard to find any that is not bullish for him.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310919",#48148265) |
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Date: September 30th, 2024 10:17 PM Author: cracking disrespectful stage internal respiration
the polls over and over show the generic democrat doing well against trump.
harris has done everything possible to be the generic democrat since biden fell apart. that she is still the same pathetic horrible shitlib she's always been is not the point.
libs have shit for brains.
another point worth bringing up is that trump brings out the lib hate unlike anyone we have ever seen in our lifetimes.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310919",#48148291) |
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Date: September 30th, 2024 10:24 PM Author: Startling kitchen useless brakes
These are just principles. Not metrics.
Yes, Kamala leads Trump in some polls. By all polls, she polls significantly worse than either Clinton or Biden. By significantly worse I mean 6-7 points worse than Biden 2020 and 1-2 points worse than Clinton 2016.
Trump leads more polls than he did in either previous election.
Toplines on polls are bullshit though. I’m more interested in where his support is increasing with. Black men. Union workers. Latinos.
The real question is how high will white turnout be? By all accounts, enthusiasm is higher than it’s ever been for Trump.
I don’t know. Libs have always hated Trump. But there are less of them than ever.
https://news.gallup.com/poll/651092/2024-election-environment-favorable-gop.aspx
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310919",#48148332) |
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Date: September 30th, 2024 10:40 PM Author: Startling kitchen useless brakes
I want you to answer me this: who is voting for Kamala Harris in the white voting bloc that wasn’t already voting for Biden (a man that was going to lose this election by such a large margin that his own party forced him out of the race)?
The Trump campaign decided early on that after three elections with Trump in the mix, there are not a lot of undecided voters left. For the most part, everyone has made up their kind. In that kind of environment, this is not a game of convincing independents, it’s a turnout game.
Whites are the most powerful electoral group, but here’s the problem. Kamala’s portion of the demo are already voting for her. White educated libs vote every election. They are vastly outnumbered by working class and middle class whites, both which go to Trump. The problem is getting these guys to vote. If there was 100% white turnout, Trump would dominate every election.
So there’s the battle. Getting gains with black men and Latinos are nice, but if you can get low propensity white voters out, it’s game over.
Do you think that’s not happening? Do you not see that these people are more motivated to vote than they’ve ever been?
Let me know if you disagree and I’ll start carpet bombing you with receipts.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310919",#48148396) |
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Date: September 30th, 2024 10:54 PM Author: claret bearded psychic
>They are vastly outnumbered by working class and middle class whites, both which go to Trump.
I'm not necessarily sure this is true. Look at Montgomery, Bucks, Allegheny counties. They're more UMC lib types. Biden won because he drove all the suburban white people out. Trump got a record number of votes in 2020 and still lost. That should scare us.
If Kamala loses it's due to low enthusiasm. She needs to hit fever pitch metrics to win. If you look at the Philly Main Line Biden was able to gain 5% from Hillary in 2016. These are culturally UMC areas. Not blue collar whites. I agree whites sway the election. And Kamala is somewhere between Biden and Hillary popularity wise. That's why the polls are so tight. She's a little better than Clinton and a little worse than Biden. Hence the cointoss.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310919",#48148443) |
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Date: September 30th, 2024 10:33 PM Author: cracking disrespectful stage internal respiration
as i said first "it is very easy to believe mase is correct."
i'm just afraid you aren't.
also, besides having shit for brains
libs have scum for brains
libs are evil
they cheat and are very good at it
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310919",#48148379) |
Date: September 30th, 2024 10:20 PM Author: Harsh Persian Base
he's not going to win comfortably. LMAO
he can't even get 500 people to attend his shitty rallies anymore.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604087&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310919",#48148307) |
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