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1/3 new voters registered in PA over last few weeks from Philly/Pittsburg
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Date: October 1st, 2024 4:53 PM Author: """'""""'' majority from Philly + Philly suburbs + Pittsburg. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604636&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310919#48151192) |
Date: October 1st, 2024 4:56 PM Author: DC They're gonna fortify the shit outta this election but isn't 1/3 less than expected from those areas? Gotta be more than 1/3 the pop, no? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604636&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310919#48151203) |
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Date: October 1st, 2024 5:01 PM Author: """'""""'' 1/3 is just allegheny county and Philadelphia proper (i.e., not the suburbs).
If you add in the core Philly suburbs it totals well over 50%. |
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Date: October 1st, 2024 5:04 PM Author: DC You're not being very clear wtf is going on. What is "it" here? State your case and your goddamn conclusions JFC. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604636&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310919#48151232) |
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Date: October 1st, 2024 5:16 PM Author: """'""""'' The conclusion is that democratic parts of the state are growing faster in terms of new voters than GOP areas.
about 1/3 of the growth is in ultra-dem counties. Then if you add in Philly suburbs it's much larger.
For instance, last week numbers change:
Statewide 9/23 = 8,937,079 voters. 9/30 = 8,964,447 voters. Change = 27,368
Philadelphia 9/23 = 1,074,452 9/30 = 1,080,140 Change = 5,688
Alleghany (Pittsburgh) 9/23 = 923,991 9/30 = 926,962 Change = 2,971
5,688 + 2,971 = 8,030 = 30% of 27,368 |
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Date: October 1st, 2024 5:03 PM Author: Charles Tyrwhitt Dad Was intrigued. Metro Philadelphia stats always include the NJ side but we can likely safely assume 2/3s will be PA counties + city. Metro is six point something, so assume four million for PA-Philadelphia, plus 2.5 M for metro pittsburgh (surprisingly high but that's Mr. Google for you). So, yes, half the state's population in those two metros. Meaning 2/3s of the new regs are outside those two metro areas.
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Date: October 1st, 2024 5:19 PM Author: """'""""'' no because I was only including Philly and Pittsburgh, not the Philly suburbs in the 1/3. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604636&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310919#48151282) |
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Date: October 1st, 2024 5:21 PM Author: """'""""'' These are the current numbers for those areas:
Philly = 1,080,140
Pittsburgh = 926,962
Philly Suburbs (Montgomery, Chester, Delaware, Bucks) = 1,914,823
State = 9,054,837 |
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Date: October 1st, 2024 5:00 PM Author: gtt (gunneratttt) so 2/3 are from the rural trump country? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604636&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310919#48151221) |
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Date: October 1st, 2024 5:02 PM Author: """'""""'' no, about 1/3 from Philly + Alleghany county, another 25% or so from Philly suburbs. A portion from swingy areas, the rest rural. I will provide better estimates below. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604636&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310919#48151226) |
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Date: October 1st, 2024 5:12 PM Author: MASE Love to see a source for that. In the meantime, it looks like PA mail-ins are far more red than they were in 2020 proportionally. Whoops! https://x.com/ericldaugh/status/1841138810995790316 https://x.com/maloney/status/1840839151307968832 |
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Date: October 1st, 2024 5:17 PM Author: """'""""'' https://www.pa.gov/en/agencies/dos/resources/voting-and-elections-resources/voting-and-election-statistics.html (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604636&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310919#48151275) |
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Date: October 1st, 2024 5:17 PM Author: """'""""'' LMAO that you think these numbers are good for you
🔵 Democratic: 62.18% [-3.8] 🔴 Republican: 26.68% [+2.7] ✅ Net GOP shift: R+6.5 |
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Date: October 1st, 2024 5:18 PM Author: """'""""'' 2024 vs 2020 (at this time)
Dems down -414,296 requests
GOP down -87,367 requests
That means that Trump is in a better spot to win by 326,920 requests.
did you ever consider that there was a fucking pandemic in 2020? |
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Date: October 1st, 2024 5:19 PM Author: MASE You know my reply triggered the Kamala-heads because the quotemo triple posted 🤣 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604636&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310919#48151286) |
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Date: October 1st, 2024 5:21 PM Author: DC dey maf (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604636&forum_id=2\u0026mark_id=5310919#48151293) |