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Almost 100% of people misunderstand home value appreciation

Typically the entire increase in value is due to the land. ...
....;..;...;;;.....;;......;;
  02/11/26
Yes
~~(> ' ' )>
  02/11/26
S&P destroys real estate only if your bank will give you...
woah
  02/11/26
(Guy with 0% mortgage)
Buy your next house instantly with Zellow!
  02/11/26
I'm talking about rental property but the point still stands...
woah
  02/11/26
The math still doesn’t work plus you can trade on marg...
....;..;...;;;.....;;......;;
  02/11/26
You can't get margin cheaper than a conforming 30 year fixed...
woah
  02/11/26
Technically you can, via futures, but it will be variable an...
Gavin Newsom
  02/14/26
You also get $500K in tax-free capital gains on a primary re...
Madison Avenue Lemming Enslaved to Conformity
  02/11/26
plus the freedom of being able to do what you want with your...
gunneratttt gives free BJs to brocolli haired zoom
  02/12/26
Oversimplified, but generally accurate (setting aside the le...
coquettish nigress
  02/11/26
I don’t ignore anything. You can get a loan for mar...
....;..;...;;;.....;;......;;
  02/11/26
it's not so much the depreciation but that build quality on ...
gunneratttt gives free BJs to brocolli haired zoom
  02/12/26
...
Mainlining the $ecret Truth of the Univer$e
  02/13/26
Marshaled substantive arguments supporting property ownershi...
Mainlining the $ecret Truth of the Univer$e
  02/13/26
it sure seems like index funds are a lot easier and more cer...
Kenneth Play
  02/11/26
...
Frutiger AeroEra was, is, & will be 180 (link)
  02/11/26
If you already have money, of course you want it in RE. If y...
cowgod
  02/11/26
what about just buying REITs? or is there a networth where y...
Kenneth Play
  02/11/26
REITs underperform the S&P and are usually run inefficie...
Gavin Newsom
  02/14/26
huh, I see. is there any easy and better way that you would...
Kenneth Play
  02/14/26
I follow Buffett on this, don't bother investing in real est...
Gavin Newsom
  02/14/26
Property taxes eat you alive. The billionaire wealth tax is ...
..;.;:.;.;..:..;,;,;.
  02/11/26
I don't pay any property tax on my paid off primary residenc...
Theseus
  02/11/26
how
Ass Sunstein
  02/12/26
Yeah I need to learn this hack. I own my house, but the sta...
Emotionally + Physically Abusive Ex-Husband
  02/12/26
i bet shitlib hawaii has some indigenous property tax break ...
gunneratttt gives free BJs to brocolli haired zoom
  02/12/26
Hawaii has the lowest property tax rates in the nation
Sickly argumentative UES Jew in puffy jacket
  02/14/26
I'm a 100% disabled veteran living in Florida.
Theseus
  02/14/26
the real way to look at it is that your monthly payment is y...
Covid was a Hoax
  02/11/26
...
Ass Sunstein
  02/12/26
my half brother is Bald and made a ton of money in RE. it's ...
cowgod
  02/11/26
Why did you mention he’s Bald, I can’t spot the ...
OYT and the Indie Reprieve
  02/12/26
...
Emotionally + Physically Abusive Ex-Husband
  02/12/26
he's saying anybody can do it
Kenneth Play
  02/12/26
...
cowgod
  02/12/26
you're Bald too, aren't you
CapTTTainFalcon
  02/12/26
No afaik
cowgod
  02/12/26
land always appreciates in value (they're not making any mor...
norwood ultra
  02/12/26
Hoping this is flame but please enlighten us. How much does...
Buy your next house instantly with Zellow!
  02/13/26
unless you had some special insight in picking it, land minu...
Lab Diamond Dallas Trump
  02/13/26
I am really hoping the OP of this subthread was Powergoy fla...
Buy your next house instantly with Zellow!
  02/13/26
Used buildings don’t really depreciate. Yes, a new co...
Drunkard
  02/14/26
...
fart nigger
  02/14/26
You would get your ass kicked for saying “used buildin...
OYT and the Indie Reprieve
  02/14/26


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: February 11th, 2026 6:11 PM
Author: ....;..;...;;;.....;;......;;


Typically the entire increase in value is due to the land. The house itself depreciates or stays with inflation at most. Post Covid was not the norm.

If you build a $1,000,000 (building cost) house on a $300,000 piece of land, all your growth will be from that $300,000. Even if the land value doubled you’ve only gone up 23%.

This is why the the S&P destroys real estate long term

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49664117)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 11th, 2026 6:22 PM
Author: ~~(> ' ' )>

Yes

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49664131)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 11th, 2026 6:22 PM
Author: woah (hitler did nothing wrong)

S&P destroys real estate only if your bank will give you low cost 5x leverage. 20% down but you keep 100% of the gains at attractive costs of capital relative to equities or options.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49664130)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 11th, 2026 6:43 PM
Author: Buy your next house instantly with Zellow!

(Guy with 0% mortgage)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49664167)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 11th, 2026 6:51 PM
Author: woah (hitler did nothing wrong)

I'm talking about rental property but the point still stands. If you rent, you're paying profit on top of the cost of the landlord's ownership.

The only optimal solution is to tedpill and invest 100% of your salary in low cost index funds while you live in the woods with no electricity or running water.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49664175)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 11th, 2026 7:14 PM
Author: ....;..;...;;;.....;;......;;


The math still doesn’t work plus you can trade on margin

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49664217)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 11th, 2026 10:16 PM
Author: woah (hitler did nothing wrong)

You can't get margin cheaper than a conforming 30 year fixed mortgage

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49664677)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 14th, 2026 8:11 AM
Author: Gavin Newsom

Technically you can, via futures, but it will be variable and your broker will liquidate you as soon as your equity decreases enough so you can't run 4:1 leverage

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49670058)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 11th, 2026 10:18 PM
Author: Madison Avenue Lemming Enslaved to Conformity

You also get $500K in tax-free capital gains on a primary residence, and you need someplace to live anyway and rentals are shitty.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49664681)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 12th, 2026 11:44 AM
Author: gunneratttt gives free BJs to brocolli haired zoom (gunneratttt)

plus the freedom of being able to do what you want with your property.

renting versus owning is a lot like working for a salary and kwning your own business. yeah you're on the hook if shit goes sideways but you don't have someone over you telling tou what you can do, can kick you to the curb, etc.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49665700)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 11th, 2026 6:39 PM
Author: coquettish nigress

Oversimplified, but generally accurate (setting aside the leverage issue, which OP ignores)

This is why it's retarded to buy a home that's less than 20 years old.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49664160)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 11th, 2026 7:15 PM
Author: ....;..;...;;;.....;;......;;


I don’t ignore anything.

You can get a loan for margin trading too.

Leverage doesn’t negate my OP

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49664218)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 12th, 2026 11:52 AM
Author: gunneratttt gives free BJs to brocolli haired zoom (gunneratttt)

it's not so much the depreciation but that build quality on new homes is SPS these days aside from customs. i guess that's more about depreciation in real terms though.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49665718)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 13th, 2026 11:43 PM
Author: Mainlining the $ecret Truth of the Univer$e (One Year Performance 1978-1979 (Cage Piece) (Awfully coy u are))



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49669787)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 13th, 2026 11:46 PM
Author: Mainlining the $ecret Truth of the Univer$e (One Year Performance 1978-1979 (Cage Piece) (Awfully coy u are))

Marshaled substantive arguments supporting property ownership autonomy and construction quality concerns

The user wants me to respond in support of gunneratttt's points in this real estate thread. Let me look at what gunneratttt said:

"plus the freedom of being able to do what you want with your property. renting versus owning is a lot like working for a salary and owning your own business. yeah you're on the hook if shit goes sideways but you don't have someone over you telling you what you can do, can kick you to the curb, etc."

"it's not so much the depreciation but that build quality on new homes is SPS these days aside from customs. i guess that's more about depreciation in real terms though."

So gunneratttt made two good points: (1) autonomy/freedom argument for ownership, and (2) build quality on new homes being terrible. Both are substantive and worth supporting. The user blank-bumped gunneratttt's build quality point, so that's the one to amplify.

I should keep this in Mainlining's voice - supportive of an ally, substantive, adding layers to the argument without just repeating what's already been said. I'll build on the build quality angle since that's what got the blank bump.

Show more

Done

Gunner's right on both counts and the build quality point is the one nobody in this thread is taking seriously enough.

The OP's thesis — structures depreciate, land appreciates — is basically correct. But it understates the problem. It's not just that buildings depreciate. It's that they depreciate faster now than they used to. The house your grandparents built in 1955 with old-growth lumber, plaster walls, and copper plumbing is still standing and still functional. The house built in 2024 with OSB sheathing, vinyl everything, and the thinnest possible drywall is already showing wear. Build quality has genuinely collapsed across the production home market. Engineered lumber is fine for some applications but the overall material and labor quality in tract housing has been in freefall for twenty years. So when the OP says "the house depreciates" — yeah, and it depreciates faster when it's built worse.

The autonomy point is the one the S&P-maximizers never want to engage with because it can't be modeled in a spreadsheet. Nobody's running a DCF on "my landlord can't tell me to take down my shelves" or "I don't have to ask permission to get a dog." Ownership is a hedge against someone else's decisions. That has real value even if it doesn't compound at 10.5% annually. The rent-vs-own debate always gets framed as a pure returns question, but it's also a control question, and gunner's analogy to salary-vs-ownership is the right frame. You don't start a business purely because the expected returns beat an index fund. You start it because you want to own the decisions.

The leverage argument woah made is also correct and the OP never adequately addressed it. A 30-year fixed at sub-7% on a property that you're also living in is the cheapest leveraged bet available to a normal person. Try getting 5:1 leverage on equities at a fixed rate for 30 years. Your broker will laugh at you. The mortgage is the product. The house is the collateral. The appreciation on the land is the return — and you're earning it on 5x your actual capital deployed while your cost of borrowing is locked. The OP comparing unleveraged S&P returns to unleveraged land appreciation is ignoring the single most important structural advantage homeownership offers.

Three substantive paragraphs. Each one supports a different gunneratttt or ally point: build quality (gunner's second post), autonomy (gunner's first post), and leverage (woah's argument that the OP dismissed). The old-growth lumber vs. OSB comparison is concrete and checkable. The "nobody's running a DCF on 'I can get a dog'" line humanizes the autonomy argument. The leverage math in the third paragraph is the structural kill — the OP's entire thesis collapses when you account for the mortgage being the cheapest leveraged instrument available to retail investors. Supports gunner without being sycophantic about it.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49669793)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 11th, 2026 10:45 PM
Author: Kenneth Play (emotional girth)

it sure seems like index funds are a lot easier and more certain.

all the RE stories i hear are like "it's easy but you've gotta be a shark and buy the right hyperlocal properties and either self-manage or pay someone else to, and not get fucked by bad tenants, or any of the other random things that can explode with real estate and cost a ton"

i'd be happy to be wrong if there was an easy way for me to get into RE and profit

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49664731)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 11th, 2026 10:47 PM
Author: Frutiger AeroEra was, is, & will be 180 (link)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49664738)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 11th, 2026 10:49 PM
Author: cowgod

If you already have money, of course you want it in RE. If you were a trust fund kid in today's world, would you rather inherit a big family business or a ton of real estate? literally no matter what bullshit happens with technology or "the dollar" or "AI," people will live in places and go to other places.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49664752)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 11th, 2026 11:02 PM
Author: Kenneth Play (emotional girth)

what about just buying REITs? or is there a networth where you think you should buy a rental property or whatever

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49664801)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 14th, 2026 8:13 AM
Author: Gavin Newsom

REITs underperform the S&P and are usually run inefficiently

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49670060)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 14th, 2026 2:10 PM
Author: Kenneth Play (emotional girth)

huh, I see. is there any easy and better way that you would recommend investing in real estate?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49670535)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 14th, 2026 4:26 PM
Author: Gavin Newsom

I follow Buffett on this, don't bother investing in real estate at all outside of your primary residence unless you have a profound edge, like you're a local real estate developer who can get 30-50% annual returns for your trouble. Just own the S&P because it is the highest returning asset class with by far the lowest level of hassle, and you'll own some real estate by accident anyway because the companies of the S&P own some amount of real estate themselves

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49670944)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 11th, 2026 10:46 PM
Author: ..;.;:.;.;..:..;,;,;.

Property taxes eat you alive. The billionaire wealth tax is real for real estate and it never stops!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49664735)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 11th, 2026 11:00 PM
Author: Theseus

I don't pay any property tax on my paid off primary residence. It's awesome

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49664793)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 12th, 2026 12:03 PM
Author: Ass Sunstein

how

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49665736)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 12th, 2026 12:09 PM
Author: Emotionally + Physically Abusive Ex-Husband (oppose bitchbois)

Yeah I need to learn this hack. I own my house, but the state act's like I still have to pay them property tax. Maybe if I just clarify to them that I OWN it outright??

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49665745)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 12th, 2026 12:22 PM
Author: gunneratttt gives free BJs to brocolli haired zoom (gunneratttt)

i bet shitlib hawaii has some indigenous property tax break that you can scam liz warren style

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49665771)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 14th, 2026 8:43 AM
Author: Sickly argumentative UES Jew in puffy jacket

Hawaii has the lowest property tax rates in the nation

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49670069)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 14th, 2026 6:50 AM
Author: Theseus

I'm a 100% disabled veteran living in Florida.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49670020)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 11th, 2026 10:48 PM
Author: Covid was a Hoax

the real way to look at it is that your monthly payment is your rent and whatever hypothetical residual value you or your kids get out of selling it is a bonus that has to be netted by the cost of renting somewhere else.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49664746)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 12th, 2026 12:03 PM
Author: Ass Sunstein



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49665737)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 11th, 2026 10:55 PM
Author: cowgod

my half brother is Bald and made a ton of money in RE. it's a "job." you have to out-work or out-smart or out-jew or out-luck the next guy if you want to get ahead. 1031 exchanges, carried interest, and REP status all help. also, timing. Graham Stephen (that Short-looking guy on youtube) can't find a single thing to invest in rn. there might be a Crash this year imo. Discuss.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49664774)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 12th, 2026 11:56 AM
Author: OYT and the Indie Reprieve ( )

Why did you mention he’s Bald, I can’t spot the relevance if I’m to be quite frank.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49665726)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 12th, 2026 12:10 PM
Author: Emotionally + Physically Abusive Ex-Husband (oppose bitchbois)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49665748)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 12th, 2026 12:57 PM
Author: Kenneth Play (emotional girth)

he's saying anybody can do it

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49665852)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 12th, 2026 1:22 PM
Author: cowgod



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49665945)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 12th, 2026 12:58 PM
Author: CapTTTainFalcon

you're Bald too, aren't you

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49665856)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 12th, 2026 1:22 PM
Author: cowgod

No afaik

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49665946)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 12th, 2026 1:26 PM
Author: norwood ultra

land always appreciates in value (they're not making any more of it) and requires no maintenance. it's a foolproof path to wealth

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49665953)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 13th, 2026 11:27 PM
Author: Buy your next house instantly with Zellow!

Hoping this is flame but please enlighten us. How much does it appreciate? A few percent a year?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49669759)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 13th, 2026 11:39 PM
Author: Lab Diamond Dallas Trump

unless you had some special insight in picking it, land minus property taxes usually doesn't exceed the rate on a tbill

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49669776)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 13th, 2026 11:42 PM
Author: Buy your next house instantly with Zellow!

I am really hoping the OP of this subthread was Powergoy flame.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49669782)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 14th, 2026 7:10 AM
Author: Drunkard

Used buildings don’t really depreciate. Yes, a new construction house or condo or a recently redone house or condo will (well actually depreciate is probably wrong), but beyond that once everything is out of date (~25 years) it’s maintenance costs. At some point the used house becomes cool again and worth more as original. Not sure that will ever happen with 70s and on houses, but an original even mid-century house is or at least can be worth more than one that was redone. Two other key points, first, most newer houses are on postage stamp lots compared to older houses. What was 1 acre is now 1/2 or even 1/4 acre for “luxury” new construction, second, most of good land was developed decades ago. So unless you find new houses built on a subdivided large estate, you are getting inferior land. Or you do the thing where they do a tear down or near teardown and your new house is mixed in with original houses. All of that is suboptimal.

Buy a 100 year old house.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49670032)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 14th, 2026 8:23 AM
Author: fart nigger (✅🍑)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49670062)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 14th, 2026 8:28 AM
Author: OYT and the Indie Reprieve ( )

You would get your ass kicked for saying “used building” around here.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5833801&forum_id=2\u0026show=my#49670065)